Longevity has the potential to be to traditional medicine what crypto is to traditional finance. It changes the terms of the debate.
Starting with Bitcoin's rejection of central banking & endless inflation, the cryptoeconomy has challenged virtually every premise of the state-controlled, paper-based financial system that we've inherited.

So far? Plenty of risks, plenty of loss — and undeniable progress.
The conventional macroeconomic wisdom is that high inflation is bad, but that deflation is also bad, so a little inflation is good.

But there's bad deflation, often due to contraction of money supply. And then there's good deflation, due to genuine productivity increases.
Similarly, the conventional medical wisdom is that untimely death is bad, but that life extension is unrealistic or undesirable. So a "little death" is good.

But there's bad life extension, being physically old forever. And there's good life extension, which is reversing aging.
It was hard to watch the financial crisis and imagine that DC & Wall Street had figured it all out, even if they papered it over with printed money.
It was hard to watch COVID and imagine that DC & legacy medicine had figured it all out, even if it was also papered over with $$$.
Because crypto rejected fundamental premises of the legacy system — that a little inflation was good, that holding your funds was too risky, that short-term volatility was unacceptable, and so on — it was able to stake out a new, opt-in environment very different from the old.
Similarly, longevity rejects the most fundamental premise of the legacy medical system — namely that death is inevitable, and arguably desirable — and thus branches the entire biomedical tech stack in a new direction.
What does v1 of the longevity stack look like? Maybe:

- Aging biomarkers as primary metrics
- Constant monitoring of multiple analytes > tests only upon symptoms
- Telemedicine & self-care > infrequent checkups
- Fasting & keto > 3 high-carb meals a day
theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
Anyway, I'm proud to be putting a bit of money where my mouth is. I'm an investor in @beondeck, where @realNathanCheng + team have launched a new longevity fellowship.

Could well be a seminal program in terms of getting more people into the field...
Nathan is an execution machine and cited my post from last year (balajis.com/the-purpose-of…) as part of the inspiration for his work on longevitymarketcap.com.

Very proud of what he's done so far, and looking forward to speaking in the program.
Also, sign up to his free newsletter. Helps me keep abreast of the longevity space.

Which, if my thesis is correct, will go from niche to everything just as crypto became all of finance. Because all of medicine is implicated in longevity...
I'm gradually ramping up longevity investing. Part of the thesis is that this takes over all of biomedicine eventually.

Two more interesting things in the space: loyalfordogs.com (where I'm an investor) and vitadao.com (where I'm not, but watching closely).

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More from @balajis

1 Jul
The creator economy is becoming part of the cryptoeconomy. Because legacy social media platforms have no real concept of digital property rights.
Substack, Twitter Revue, and Facebook Bulletin are all great. But they are in a sense intermediate steps.

Ghost goes further. You can run it at a domain you control.

Decentralized social media platforms go further still. You hold the private keys.
Under communism, there was no such thing as personal property. Everything that transpired in the PRC & USSR was downstream of that economic illogic, the root cause.

The restoration of private property was one of the keys to unlocking the Chinese economy.
npr.org/sections/money…
Read 6 tweets
28 Jun
Good news: the reduction [1] in Bitcoin mining hashrate from China is visible but survivable. There's a lot of mining capacity elsewhere.

Bad news: blocks may be slower for a while [2]. But holders are unaffected.
[1] bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bit…
[2] bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bit…
Notes:

1) One day charts are highly volatile and we need to see where everything averages out. Some kind of drop looks real, but capacity may come online in other places.

2) The first chart (hashrate) is over years, the second is over months - otherwise you can't see the blip.
One somewhat vexing thing:

(a) when hashrate drops a lot, you want a quick difficulty adjustment
(b) but when hashrate drops a lot, blocks take longer to mine, so difficulty adjustment takes longer to come

Not ∞ time. This site *estimates* 26 days.
bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin/
Read 5 tweets
27 Jun
Fiat company
- paper incorporation
- paper contracts
- paper payments
- paper accounting

Crypto company
- on-chain incorporation
- on-chain smart contracts
- on-chain payments
- on-chain accounting
Yes, those "paper" forms are currently being sent electronically as PDFs. But we've just taken the paper workflow, scanned it, and put it online.

That was fine as a first step, but it isn't the inherently digital version. Crypto companies are.
archive.is/aP2hv#selectio… Image
Internetification is like electrification. We're still digesting it. The digital native era is just beginning.
slate.com/culture/2007/0… Image
Read 7 tweets
22 Jun
Keep your identity small by keeping your identity invisible. The pseudonymous economy.
To exit from a currency, you need to be able to move your digital wealth to a new identity.

To exit from a community, you need to be able to move your digital reputation to a new identity.

This is the only way to really keep your identity small. See:
One of the reasons people get radicalized by Twitter is that they're locked into their communities.

Reputation is real, and as quantifiable in some ways as currency - by backlinks, karma, sentiment, & other metrics.

Portable, pseudonymous reputation could reduce radicalization.
Read 6 tweets
20 Jun
Proof-of-work is absolute truth, proof-of-stake is relative truth. Both have their role. But for the most important transactions it's better to produce more clean energy than to give up on the undeletable history that accumulated work provides.
It's hard to express this compactly to a non-technical person, but basically: it's harder to fake the results of a massive calculation done over ten years with datacenters full of hardware than it is to convince a fixed set of humans to change their minds and rewrite history.
This is what we get when there is no absolute truth.

Using Merkle trees, we can prove the existence of arbitrary amounts of data using just one tx on the Bitcoin blockchain.

Data availability is nontrivial (IPFS?) but proof that the original photo existed would be feasible.
Read 9 tweets
18 Jun
Thesis: coin market caps encourage mimesis.

Google didn't *initially* compete with other companies *primarily* on its stock price but on its product.

Assets should likewise have unique features. Good example: Zcash's privacy sets & shielded transactions. electriccoin.co/zcash-metrics/ ImageImageImage
> Google didn't *initially* compete with other companies *primarily* on its stock price but on its product

Note: yes, when raising capital you're competing with other companies based on your stock. But the customer for your stock isn't identical to the customer for your product.
Now, it's true that customers of product (users) are increasingly becoming customers of stock (shareholders). Robinhood makes it possible to buy stock in products you use. Crypto makes this default.

That's powerful, but also turns many off. More product culture will be helpful.
Read 5 tweets

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