House punting the budget resolution to the Senate, reports @lindsemcpherson rollcall.com/2021/07/01/hou…

The budget resolution is going to effectively determine the infrastructure toplines. And House isn't going to directly weigh in.

Point for Team Manchin.
@lindsemcpherson Why isn't the House putting forth their own resolutions? Because it would be too hard to reach consensus: "The panel's chairman, John Yarmuth, D-Ky., had hinted as much earlier in the week, noting the split within his party on the subject..."

Disunity weakens leverage...
The Senate is also not unified: "[Yarmuth] heard that Sanders is struggling to unify his committee around a proposal. Yarmuth said he was told that Sanders has only locked in support of nine of the 11 Democrats on [the budget cmte]"...

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More from @billscher

7 Jun
Some *major* historical context missing here

Byrd backed a compromise lowering cloture threshold to 60 for legislation while *keeping* it at 67 for rules changes

Byrd voted *against* a nuclear option attempt, which would be needed to lower the threshold to 55

Story time...
In February 1975, a bipartisan coalition led by Walter Mondale and James Pearson proposed lowering cloture to 60 across the board...

legislativeprocedure.com/blog/2019/3/8/…
They tried to get around the 67-vote cloture threshold through a "nuclear option" maneuver (though it wasn't called that), blowing past cloture and overruling a point of order by simple majority...
Read 29 tweets
7 Jun
The filibuster didn't start to foster bipartisanship, and it didn't start to perpetuate slavery or Jim Crow.

It started in Ancient Rome.

I explain here
realclearpolitics.com/articles/2021/… but first a thread...
The person who deserves the most credit for inventing the filibuster is Cato the Younger, though the Romans called it "diem consumere" or to consume the day. (See @GoodmanRob1 & @jimmyasoni theatlantic.com/politics/archi… & politico.com/magazine/story… ) ...
Cato's (talking) filibusters were not designed to foster compromise. They were obstructionist tactics designed to stop wealth consolidation and authoritarianism.

He tried to slow Caesar's roll. When he failed, rather than live under Caesar's rule, he killed himself...
Read 18 tweets
11 May
Only 3 times since Reconstruction has the president's party gained House seats in the midterm.

But what's the common thread through those 3 times?

Crisis.

I wrote about it for @monthly washingtonmonthly.com/2021/05/10/dem…

But let's look at those 3 cases...
@monthly 1934: FDR begins to dig out the Great Depression with the New Deal. Net gain 9 seats.

1998: GOP launches impeachment inquiry during economic boom, boosting Clinton. Net gain 5 seats.

2002: Post 9/11 national security concerns boost Bush & GOP. Net gain 8 seats.

...
@monthly We have also one more case of the president's party losing less than 5 House seats.

1962: JFK's Democrats lose just 4 seats one month after the Cuban Missile Crisis.

...
Read 8 tweets
10 May
"Roughly 4 in 10 of [Biden's] votes came from people of color ... Trump’s voters, by contrast, were overwhelmingly white, 85% ... with just 15% coming from people of color, mostly Latinos"
"Biden also gained from increased support for Democrats among white voters with college educations ... Biden didn’t improve among whites without a college degree ... but he didn’t lose any further ground among a group that remains a majority of voters in many key states."
"In 2020, Latino and Asian voters increased as a share of the electorate, while the white share declined. The share cast by Black voters remained steady."
Read 4 tweets
20 Apr
In my latest for @monthly, which talks of the value in threatening to court-pack (but not actually doing it), I delve into the debate over the impact of FDR's court-packing attempt. I include some details you may not know...

washingtonmonthly.com/2021/04/20/sho…
@monthly ...Some argue FDR's court-packing bill instigated the "switch in time that saved nine," as the Court flipped from anti-New Deal to pro-New Deal rulings after that.

But the "switch" happened before the bill's introduction...
...FDR announced his bill on Feb. 5, 1937 presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/mess…

But as Justice Owen Roberts explained in a 1945 memo academic.brooklyn.cuny.edu/history/johnso… he cast the "switch" vote on Dec. 19, 1936, so FDR's announcement could not have pressured him...
Read 17 tweets
20 Apr
Walter Mondale to Gary Hart: "When I hear your 'new ideas,' I’m reminded of that ad, 'Where’s the Beef?'"

When you see the clip, you can see how hard Mondale worked to talk over Hart and get that canned line out ... and how pleased he was with himself afterwards
For the youngsters out there: this was considered *the* pivotal moment of the 1984 Democratic presidential primary
Read 4 tweets

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