Early in his criminal career, Trump got away with destroying documents he was ordered to produce in a lawsuit - and he has repeatedly gotten away with withholding documents.

All of that “success” lulled him into being unafraid of documenting his criminal tax evasion.

1/
After all, if you have always gotten away with shredding the evidence or simply not turning it over, you get a little overconfident about whether documents can hurt you.

From yesterday’s indictment, it appears the Trump Org. kept meticulous records of off-books tax evasions.

2/
And it appears those records have landed in prosecutors’ hands.

Trump’s businesses may be a labyrinthine tangle virtually impossible to pull apart…

but any jury can understand the very simple fraud of paying someone X but only reporting Y on their taxes.

3/
I thought these initial charges sounded somewhat minor in comparison to Trump’s overall criminality but there’s some strategic wisdom to opening the floodgates with simple, clear, slam-dunk charges.

Amps the pressure on Weisselberg up considerably, it would seem.

4/
It’s one thing to believe you’re looking at a long and complicated trial over charges a jury might have a hard time following.

It’s another thing to know you’re looking at a short trial, conviction and prison stay.

5/
And between the evidence prosecutors appear to have in their hands already and cooperation they seem to have lined up from Weisselberg’s #2, who’s to say they even need Weisselberg?

People may be underestimating the strength of the case against Trump even without Weisselberg.
//

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More from @TheRealHoarse

4 Jul
I’m going to tell a quick story about Tony Posnanski which he will probably not appreciate me telling.

A few years ago, I had a moment when I didn’t know how I was even going to fill my gas tank.

I didn’t know how I was going to get through the next weekend.

1/
It was the last and lowest moment of a long, horrible stretch that crescendoed when my father died on my son’s birthday.

If you’ve read my pinned thread, you know some of this already.

It was the very bottom after an endless string of terrible things.

2/
Without asking me, Tony found my PayPal and sent me enough money to breathe.

I hadn’t asked. I would not have said yes if he had asked.

He knew that. So he just did it.

It was oxygen at a time when life was asphyxiating.

3/
Read 10 tweets
28 Jun
I have returned.

That was… a bit of a cluster.

If you’re just joining us, maybe start with the prelude.

Everyone else, let’s dive down in, shall we.

1/
So, I sign off and get ready to enter my garment bag man-hive for a final assault on The Terrible Hornet.

But, I’ve got flashbacks to yesterday’s go-round in my head.

One of those bastards stung me *four* times in about two seconds flat just for walking by. Zap-zap-zap-zap.

2/
I would very much prefer not to repeat that, so I decide to put on my heaviest rain gear as an added layer of protection.

In my pocket: a flashlight, beer and bottle opener. I could be in that vinyl mausoleum for awhile.

3/
Read 16 tweets
28 Jun
We are approaching zero-hour and tensions are running high at Mission Control.

Soon, the greedy jaws of night will consume the last of daylight leaving only an inky nothingness.

It is then when I will rise to smite my sworn enemy:

The Terrible Hornet.

1/
Tonight, the hive of bald-faced hornets, winged spearman from hell, must face its final reckoning.

I will be dispensing them straight to sulfuric hellfire from whence they came.

Or, ya know, that’s sort of how I’m hoping it goes.

Results may vary.

2/
Anyway, it has been said “To defeat the hornet one must become the hornet.”

I cannot be a *human being*.

I must be a *hornet doing*.

I have thought of little else this day.

And I have surveiled my quarry.

3/
Read 12 tweets
27 Jun
Someone “warned me” they would unfollow me if I killed the aggressive hornets that have stung me twice in my yard.

These aren’t honeybees. They are bald-faced hornets. They are very aggressive. They attack over almost nothing. Vibrations. Movement close to their hive.

1/
They actually remember faces.

When they sting, they leave a chemical summoning the hive to swarm.

They are dickheads.

2/
And they are nesting right next to where my neighbors’ boys have a soccer goal - and they are going to kick the ball into that bush at some point this summer.

The problem ain’t bees. I sit with bumble bees all around me on flowering bushes. I leave them alone; and vice versa.

3
Read 5 tweets
27 Jun
So, I got stung by something while doing yardwork today and that, of course, cannot be let to stand without recourse.

I regard the sting as unprovoked.

Therefore, according to man-bee law, unless it was a pollinator, I am within my rights to exact a terrible vengeance.

1/
The minor issue is that I didn’t actually see what stung me, so I really didn’t have enough to indict a culprit.

An investigation was needed. Research. Detective work.

There are a lot of stinging insects, you see. This wouldn’t be an easy case.

2/
When I interviewed the victim (me) I was told there was another incident last night. Another attack occurred near the same bush.

Pissed off insect(s); sudden ambush.

Victim reported a mild sting and some screaming and running like a young schoolgirl.

Interesting.

3/
Read 17 tweets
26 Jun
Trump left office with billions in debt he needed to refinance.

Even worse, many of his properties turn operating losses. They need inflows of new money to even stay in business.

All it would take to kill the Trump Org. is one domino: Deutsche Bank calling his loans.

1/
Trump is leveraged to the hilt. His business is a house of cards built on debt he can’t afford to service.

One tiny push and he would suddenly have to hastily sell off assets in a fire sale… which would make all of his other loans suddenly even riskier to lenders.

2/
High-debt businesses reliant on constant access to credit can go down in flames surprisingly fast.

Happens with retail brands a lot. They eke by until it just implodes. Doesn’t matter how big the retail chain is. Once they are in a credit squeeze, it’s a steep spiral.

3/
Read 11 tweets

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