Thread by @alexandreafonso

If you're interested in that kind of thing, my article on the drivers of aggregate support for the radical right (Chega) in Portugal has just been published by @Res_Pol (open access)
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/20…

In the article, I explain variation in the vote share of André Ventura in the 2021 Presidential election across Portuguese municipalities.

I do find a positive relationship between the % of social assistance recipients and the size of the local Roma community, meaning that the presence and size of "outgroups" (or groups that can be construed as such) are associated with higher vote shares for the radical right.

However, there is no relationship with unemployment rates, average incomes, house prices or their variation over time.