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Robert Colvile Profile picture
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3 Jul, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Assuming we win this, Euro 2020 will represent 20% of all England wins in WC/EC knockout games since 1966. If we won the tournament, that would rise to 33%.
We've been really really shit for half a century is what I'm saying.
(Eight wins 1966-2019. This and Germany would be 2/10, and semis and final would be 4/12.)
Gareth now responsible for 40% single-handedly. Arise Sir etc

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More from @rcolvile

Robert Colvile Profile picture
4 Jul
Have written my column today on what is looking like the death of Thatcherism, as revealed in @FrankLuntz's upcoming polling for @CPSThinkTank thetimes.co.uk/article/aspira…
Let me explain. The essay question was to explain what we actually know about the Tory vote, based on the very different results in Batley, Chesham and Hartlepool. Was it all about housing? Hancock? Lockdown? North vs south?
Luckily, @CPSThinkTank is about to publish a massive (and absolutely fascinating) survey by @FrankLuntz on the new language and values of politics and economics. Mostly still under wraps, but one thing I can reveal...
Read 9 tweets
Robert Colvile Profile picture
3 Jul
This is a really important piece from @PhilAldrick. Basically, it turns out much of our picture of what was happening in the British economy in recent decades was wrong. Which has one huge implication (1/?) thetimes.co.uk/article/if-it-…
The new consensus is that growth depends on government. That the state making investment decisions and carrying out microsurgery on the economy is not only desirable but essential.
I’ve always been a naysayer on this. I do not trust the British government (in particular) to allocate capital wisely - to choose the sectors or industries or technologies to support according to some far sighted vision. (See utter disasters passim ad nausea.)
Read 5 tweets
Robert Colvile Profile picture
27 Jun
This is one of those days when there's only one story in town. But I still think, as I would, that my column on borders/immigration is flagging up something important. Quick thread follows. thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit…
Brexit reduced the saliency of immigration. But it's still a major public concern. See this @YouGov issues tracker - it's the pink line.
And the public - probably driven by Covid border rows - don't think the govt are handling it very well. (This also via @yougov)
Read 12 tweets
Robert Colvile Profile picture
26 Jun
This @thetimes story about Eton setting up new free schools is fantastic news. But it also shows the poverty of the Government's own ambition on this. Mini thread follows. thetimes.co.uk/article/eton-t…
Since the free schools programme got started, it has provided galvanising energy to the education sector. Not all schools have succeeded - but many of those that have, have been downright extraordinary.
London Academy of Excellence, the similar school started by Eton and others in Newham, has now sent 150 kids to Oxbridge in eight years, a third of them on free school meals and 92% of the latest cohort BAME. lae.ac.uk/183/news/post/…
Read 11 tweets
Robert Colvile Profile picture
21 Jun
A good day to plug @CPSThinkTank's work with @DamianGreen on social care, which is still for my money the most convincing option on the table cps.org.uk/media/media-co…
Our view is that Dilnot or variants of it fall down on the house price issue. 'Vanilla' Dilnot doesn't protect people's homes. Trying to fix that results in a policy which protects the massive housing wealth of the south at the expense of the north.
And the idea of incorporating it within the NHS falls down because a) the NHS really doesn't want the headache and b) you're taking stuff people are already paying for privately and substituting state funding.
Read 7 tweets
Robert Colvile Profile picture
20 Jun
What caused the Chesham/Amersham earthquake? My answer - it's a symptom of a new kind of two-party politics (1/?) thetimes.co.uk/article/this-w…
In a sense it's classic Lib Dem opportunism - push hard on housing and HS2, even though they actually support both at a national level. But the scale of the swing suggests two other things.
First, Brexit has weakened the ties that bind (in this case Tories to their trad voters). Second, it's not that Labour are going to be displaced by the Greens (as many southern Tories have been saying privately) or Lib Dems. It's that the electoral battle is Tories v anti-Tories.
Read 8 tweets

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