We've just published a huge set of polling from @FrankLuntz on the new values and language of British politics. You can find the full thing here, but I thought I'd summarise the most arresting findings. (Warning: long, but worthwhile) cps.org.uk/media/press-re…
First things first: the public is really pissed off! Solid majority for 'fuck 'em all' to both business and political leaders
Likewise, when we asked them to pick the words that represented their feelings towards same, they were overwhelmingly negative
(Quick ops note: Frank's method is to give people a load of choices and ask them to pick their top two/three/four. Hence percentages adding to more than 100.)
Not to belabour the point, but when you ask people what politicians are in it for, this is the answer you get...
And likewise, these were their top picks when asked to describe British businesses.
As I wrote in my @thesundaytimes column, there's a huge challenge here for free market types like me - it's not just that people don't like business, but that messages and language around aspiration, competitiveness, entrepreneurship just don't resonate thetimes.co.uk/article/aspira…
So what do voters want instead? Well, here are their top picks.
They're worried about the NHS...
They're worried about crime and increasingly about cost of living - expect both to start hitting the headlines much more often...
And they're worried about the gap between rich and poor, especially Labour voters.
Politically, the big gap between Tory and Labour (which I want to write about more) is optimism vs pessimism. That may be down to who's in power, or it may be deeper-rooted. The gap in these three questions is fascinating in terms of, essentially, whether Britain is broken
There's lots in the survey about woke, cancel culture etc, but that's been covered elsewhere so I won't go into it here. But the age breakdown here is utterly fascinating, which goes hand in hand with the party breakdown above.
There is loads of utterly fascinating stuff in the survey (that link again here cps.org.uk/media/press-re…), but I'll finish on some personal highlights
This is from the business questions we asked, but applies more widely. Climate change isn't a partisan issue any more. Uniquely (says Frank), the right and the left are both concerned about it.
(Uniquely as in vs other countries.)
Climate is also the exception to the rule that, as Frank told the Sunday Telegraph, people mostly just want companies to shut up about CSR and purpose and focus on doing a better job for their workers and customers telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/07/0…
Other striking findings: always call yourself an employer, never a business, and delete 'corporation' from the dictionary.
Even Tory voters care about protecting the poorest and most vulnerable
Overwhelmingly, we all think we put in more than we get out...
...and that government is wasting the cash it already spends, either on the rich (Labour) or immigrants/scroungers (Tories). (Stunningly low figures for 'the poor', 'people like me', 'hardworking taxpayers' etc.)
I don't think it's in the slide deck, but it is also impossible to overstate how much Tory voters hate foreign aid spending. Sorry, Andrew Mitchell, but they're not with you on this.
Finally, a quick illustration of why the Tories are in a better position than Labour. Both the public and Tory voters prefer the party of today to Cameron's (though there is a lingering pash for Thatcher). But everyone still misses Mr Tony
And obviously please follow me, Frank and @CPSThinkTank for more insight, both from his survey work and our amazing team of researchers
PS For those asking why the language differs on the final slide between ‘hate’ and ‘strongly oppose’, it’s a typo. We changed it for both but didn’t update properly.
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Let me explain. The essay question was to explain what we actually know about the Tory vote, based on the very different results in Batley, Chesham and Hartlepool. Was it all about housing? Hancock? Lockdown? North vs south?
Luckily, @CPSThinkTank is about to publish a massive (and absolutely fascinating) survey by @FrankLuntz on the new language and values of politics and economics. Mostly still under wraps, but one thing I can reveal...
Assuming we win this, Euro 2020 will represent 20% of all England wins in WC/EC knockout games since 1966. If we won the tournament, that would rise to 33%.
We've been really really shit for half a century is what I'm saying.
(Eight wins 1966-2019. This and Germany would be 2/10, and semis and final would be 4/12.)
This is a really important piece from @PhilAldrick. Basically, it turns out much of our picture of what was happening in the British economy in recent decades was wrong. Which has one huge implication (1/?) thetimes.co.uk/article/if-it-…
The new consensus is that growth depends on government. That the state making investment decisions and carrying out microsurgery on the economy is not only desirable but essential.
I’ve always been a naysayer on this. I do not trust the British government (in particular) to allocate capital wisely - to choose the sectors or industries or technologies to support according to some far sighted vision. (See utter disasters passim ad nausea.)
This is one of those days when there's only one story in town. But I still think, as I would, that my column on borders/immigration is flagging up something important. Quick thread follows. thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit…
Brexit reduced the saliency of immigration. But it's still a major public concern. See this @YouGov issues tracker - it's the pink line.
And the public - probably driven by Covid border rows - don't think the govt are handling it very well. (This also via @yougov)
This @thetimes story about Eton setting up new free schools is fantastic news. But it also shows the poverty of the Government's own ambition on this. Mini thread follows. thetimes.co.uk/article/eton-t…
Since the free schools programme got started, it has provided galvanising energy to the education sector. Not all schools have succeeded - but many of those that have, have been downright extraordinary.
London Academy of Excellence, the similar school started by Eton and others in Newham, has now sent 150 kids to Oxbridge in eight years, a third of them on free school meals and 92% of the latest cohort BAME. lae.ac.uk/183/news/post/…
Our view is that Dilnot or variants of it fall down on the house price issue. 'Vanilla' Dilnot doesn't protect people's homes. Trying to fix that results in a policy which protects the massive housing wealth of the south at the expense of the north.
And the idea of incorporating it within the NHS falls down because a) the NHS really doesn't want the headache and b) you're taking stuff people are already paying for privately and substituting state funding.