1/ Market for Financial Advice: An Audit Study (Mullainathan, Noeth, Schoar)

"Advisers encourage returns-chasing behavior and push for actively managed funds with higher fees, even if the client starts with a well-diversified, low-fee portfolio."

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
2/ "The advisers we study are usually paid based on the fees they generate but not based on AUM or the performance of the portfolio.

"We do not include tax advisers, advisers who also provide estate planning services, or providers of other wealth management services."
3/ "Financial advice generates $20-$50bn fees/year, depending on definition & compensation models.

"When advisers mentioned fees in our study, they did so in a way that downplayed them without lying (e.g., “This fund has 2% fee, but that is not much above the industry average.”"
4/ " “Mentioning fees” may include statements like “this is a no-load fund”, i.e. not all relevant fees are mentioned.

"Our audit methodology allows us to enables us to control for the selection of clients to advisers, addressing one of the problems with non‐experimental data."
5/ "We sent trained auditors to impersonate customers seeking advice on how to invest retirement savings outside of a 401k plan."

Given the small purported client wealth, most of the advisors "are paid on commission based on fees & volume they generate" rather than % of AUM.
6/ "Audit data was collected Apr-Aug 2008 (after Bear Stearns problems surfaced but before the Lehman bankruptcy).

"Changing economic conditions were especially important for the chasing returns treatment, since the outperforming industries of the previous year had changed."
7/ "Advisers had a much higher propensity to suggest actively managed mutual funds (50% of visits) than index funds (7.5% of visits).

"This discrepancy is a first indication that advisers might be trying to guide clients to high‐fee investments."
8/ "Overall, advisers seem to support strategies that result in more transactions and higher management fees.

"Advisers go against the revealed preferences of the client and suggest changes away from the current strategy (though they try to be more positive it initially)."
9/ Table 5: "We cluster observations at individual client level to control for base-rate characteristics & include month-fixed effects.

"Results strongly suggest that advisers dissuade clients from an efficient portfolio, possibly b/c it minimizes fee income for the adviser."
10/ "Advisers did not seem to tailor asset allocation based on the scenario auditors come in with (none of the comparisons are significant).

"Advisers were more likely to recommend actively managed (vs. index) funds, especially to auditors who came in with an index portfolio."
11/ "In a large fraction of the visits, we did not get very detailed quantitative advice about which specific funds to invest in, since many advisers insisted that the client should first place the funds with the adviser’s company."
12/ "This situation is puzzling, since it forces the client to choose an adviser without being able to get any indication of the person’s quality upfront. The result in Table 9, column 4 shows that this behavior was most pronounced towards female auditors."
13/ "In general, advisers did not proactively reach out to clients to rebalance the portfolio due to changing circumstances of the client but only to sell them new funds and generate fees."
14/ "In this audit study, auditors were willing to go back to 70% of the advisers they visited but now with their own money (see Table 2).

"In other words, most advisers succeeded in convincing their potential clients and thus have no need to change their advice-giving."
15/ Note: The "efficient" portfolio described in the paper may not necessarily be the best-performing one. More about this:

Mapping Investable Return Sources to Macro Environments


Can Risk Parity Outperform If Yields Rise?
16/ Related reading on financial advice:

Misguided Beliefs of Financial Advisors


Financial Advice & Bank Profits

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More from @ReformedTrader

6 Jul
FA: Financial advice is not about beating the market; it's about reaching your goals.

Client: OK. Can I retire?

FA: No. Expected returns are too low.

Client: Can you get me better returns?

FA: Financial advice is not about beating the market; it's about reaching your goals.
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6 Jul
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"Revolutionary discoveries first appear crazy but undergo a grueling process that makes them repeatable." (p. 13)

amazon.com/Longevity-Diet…
2/ "Professional guidelines, fear of legal action, heavy caseloads, and the complexity of illness work to keep doctors narrowly focused on standard-of-care treatments. Often, patients aren’t given integrative options even if they ask." (p. xv)
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1/ Who Profits From Trading Options? (Hu, Kirilova, Park, Ryu)

"Retail investors using simple strategies lose to the rest of the market. Volatility trading earns the highest return, and risk-neutral strategies deliver the highest Sharpe ratio."

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
2/ "We use a unique transaction-level data set with detailed account information.

"The KOSPI 200 index listed only futures and options during our sample period, allowing us to observe an investor’s full exposure to the underlying index to determine each investor's strategy."
3/ "Each account in our data set has a unique encrypted ID. There are no restrictions in Korean derivatives markets regarding retail participation, and KOSPI options have low notional values.

"Institutional (retail) investors as a class tend to be liquidity takers (providers)."
Read 19 tweets
3 Jul
1/ Retail Bond Investors and Credit Ratings (deHaan, Li, Watts)

"Retail investors appear to select bonds by first screening on a credit rating level, then sorting by yield. They systematically trade in the opposite direction of accounting fundamentals."

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
2/ "Ratings are known to lag observable fundamentals & prices and can be biased due to ratings agencies' incentive conflicts, so investors have good reasons *not* to use ratings.

"At least two major online brokers' bond search tools allow investors to screen on credit ratings."
3/ "Formal discontinuity tests confirm the buy-sell imbalance break across the investment-grade cutoff.

"Our tests indicate that retail investors seem to use rating levels at least as a starting point for making bond trading decisions and generally prefer safer-rated bonds."
Read 22 tweets
2 Jul
1/ The Wealthy Renter: How to Choose Housing That Will Make You Rich (Alex Avery)

"As the biggest expense of our lives, how well we manage the cost of our housing has a greater impact on our cost of living than any other factor." (p. 7)

amazon.com/Wealthy-Renter… Image
2/ "Our housing choices determine how long it takes to get to work, how much time we spend with friends and family, where our kids will go to school, how well we do our jobs, how much money we have for other things (travel, cars, clothes, jewellery, electronics, & collectibles).
3/ "It’s the biggest factor in when/how we retire.

"We’re conditioned to want beautiful places to live. Homeownership is aggressively marketed. Pro–home ownership policy is so pervasive that it has become part of the fabric of our society. It’s enmeshed in our belief system.
Read 86 tweets
2 Jul
1/ Polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate change risks (Kahan et al.)

"Those with the most science literacy & reasoning capacity were not most concerned about climate change; they were the group w/ the most polarization."

nature.com/articles/nclim…
2/ Sample of 1540 U.S. citizens

"We instructed subjects to rate the seriousness of climate change risk."

SCT = Science Comprehension Thesis: "Members of the public do not know/think as scientists; they fail to take climate change as seriously as scientists believe they should."
3/ CCT = Cultural Cognition Thesis: "Individuals tend to form perceptions of societal risks that cohere with values characteristic of groups with which they identify. Members are motivated to fit their interpretations of scientific evidence to competing cultural philosophies."
Read 13 tweets

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