Populists - voters who are culturally conservative, economically liberal, make up 14% of the electorate. In contrast, Libertarians - voters who are economically conservative, culturally liberal - make up 6% of the electorate.
The percentage of voters who are Strong Conservatives and Strong Liberals are roughly the same percentage of the electorate as Populists are.
The Conservative and Liberal quadrants align heavily with their respective parties, whereas the Libertarian quadrant leans more towards Democrats, and the Populist group is split evenly across party lines.
Clinton won Populists 41%-34% against Trump in 2016. Conservatives had the highest turnout rate at 93%, while Populists had the lowest at 82%.
Trump won Populists 53%-38% against Biden in 2020 - a 19-point increase from his performance among Populists in 2016. Biden also won Liberals by 15 points more than Clinton.
38% of Populists self-identify as ideologically moderate, while 33% identify as conservatives and 19% as liberals.
1 in 5 Strong Liberals self-identify as ideologically moderate, compared to just 1 in 20 Strong Conservatives.
The Liberal and Populist quadrants skew younger, with over half being under 50. 25% of Liberals are between 18 and 29, while the other quadrants only have an 11% share of 18-29 year old's.
Liberals and Populists are the most racially diverse quadrants, with each having around ⅓ non-white voters.
Populists - like Conservatives - list jobs and the economy as the biggest issue facing the country today, whereas Liberals believe the environment/climate change and healthcare are the most important issues.
To determine where voters were on the quadrant, we asked if they agreed more with the liberal or conservative stance on a variety of cultural and economic issues.
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67% of voters now believe the worst part of the pandemic is behind us🌤️ - the highest % since we started tracking in August of 2020.
Voters are slightly more in favor of reopening🔓, a decrease in hesitancy from last month. 42% now believe that waiting too long to reopen the country will damage the economy and cost job, the highest proportion since May of 2020.
A majority of voters want new infrastructure spending to be paid for by other spending💵 cuts, not tax increases or adding to the national debt. 68% of GOP voters feel the same, compared to just 31% of Democrats.
A plurality of voters prefer a smaller $500 billion spending package focused solely on infrastructure🛣️ projects compared to Biden's proposed $2 trillion spending package, $1.5 billion of which is allocated to non-infrastructure projects.
While both parties are near-equal in their concern for economic damage from COVID-19, there is a sharp gap on concern for spread: 87% of Democrats say they’re extremely/very concerned about the spread of COVID-19, compared to just 55% of Republicans🐘.
Of likely primary issues tested only with Republicans: illegal immigration, lack of support for the police🚔, and high taxes are listed as their primary concerns, with 81% saying they’re extremely/very concerned about illegal immigration.
New insights from our February Omnibus (fielded from Feb 12-18, n=1005 RVs nationally, and n=430 GOP+Lean):
Republican sentiments towards Trump running in 2024 have warmed since January: 55% of GOP🐘+Lean voters now want to see it happen, compared to just 45% in January.
The 10-point lead between GOP voters supporting the Republican Party over Trump and those supporting Trump over the Party has narrowed📉 since January, with just 44% now supporting the Party over Trump and 42% supporting Trump over the GOP.
Net support for Trump in a hypothetical 2024 primary went from +7 in January to +22 in February, with 41% of GOP+Lean voters saying they would definitely vote🗳️ for Trump.
QAnon was viewed favorably by only 5% of total voters. Republicans were more likely to have not heard📢 of QAnon than Democrats: 27% of GOP voters said they had never heard of QAnon, compared to just 17% of Democrats.
39% of voters rate COVID-19😷 as the biggest issue facing the country today. 53% of Democrats rate COVID-19 as the biggest issue, while just 24% of Republicans say the same.
Almost all of the 20% of voters who believe Trump won the election were unmoved after reading the facts. Only 5% reversed course and responded that Biden was in fact legally elected🗳️.
Republicans have shifted from supporting Trump over the GOP: 48% support👍 the GOP over Trump, while 38% said the opposite. In October 2020, only 30% supported the party over Trump.