1/ Paycheck Protection Grants - stuff you wish you don't know.
Right now, treasury is giving out $3-4Bn a day(!) in SBA PPP grants, free money for "small" business.
"" used, because Mnuchin allowed some mega churches to be paid via SBA. payment amount has grown since....
2/ so not sure who qualifies as small business any more.
so much free money is given out right now that Fiscal year to date SBA spending is the 2nd *largest expenditure* category (only behind social security).
3/ since "small" business is getting 33% more free payroll money from SBA than unemployment benefits being sent out, it is should be easy for small business to pay people a little more than unemployment?
4/ Wage inflation... if we don't see wage inflation after the government gave out $486Bn dollar to "small" business... maybe we would see some massive profit on K1 forms from "small" business owners next year?
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1/ Talked with a CVS minute-clinic nurse practitioner at Austin today.
She mentioned that lately nearly than 50% of the COVID positive tests are coming from fully-vaccinated folks (asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic, e.g. a sore throat), who are accompanying a sick relative.
2/ The underlying dynamic is potentially that one unvaccinated person gets COVID, and then turns every vaccinated persons in the household asymptomatic spreaders for a couple of days.
3/ Before the arrival of the doubly-contagious delta variant, this issue was not too concerning.
But now, this summer is going to be "interesting".
Best gap open lotto: NKE, 40 bagger before 845am.
Best intraday lotto: EXPR, 100 bagger at noon time
Best HLOD lotto: SPCE, 190 bagger (if bot near the close yesterday) at expiration.
Thursdays will be the day of the week to see the biggest rise in RRP balance.
We are going to see $25+Bn increase today. Wait for it.
This trend should continue into the week of June 29th, when Tuesdays would have a chance to exceed Thursdays (according to Treasury's current pattern).
$32Bn RRP balance increase today, like clockwork
But.. RRP is still lagging behind the reserve injection by a little bit.