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Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
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9 Jul, 4 tweets, 2 min read
From the Not Ready For Twittertime Players
It is Live, from New York, it's Thursday Night (or Friday?)

You remember John Belushi & Dan Aykroyd from SNL original cast, doing Olympia Cafe? The sketch of 'Cheeseburger, Cheeseburger, Chips..'

This is a homage, to mock Matt Gaetz..
OLYMPIA CAFE
Episode Seven Men From Florida

[Seven men walk into the cafe]

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: What do you want?

MATT GAETZ: Can I have a teenager?

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: Cheap?

MATT GAETZ: Sure, cheap

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: Teenager! Cheap!

GEORGE DIONISOPOULOS: Teenager, cheap
PETE DIONISOPOULOS: And you?

JOEL GREENBERG: I'll also have a teenager, cheap?

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: Teenager! Cheap!

GEORGE DIONISOPOULOS: Teenager, cheap.

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: You others? How many, one, two, three... five. You all take teenagers?

[other 5 nod silently]
PETE DIONISOPOULOS: Teenager! Teenager! Teenager! Teenager! Teenager!

GEORGE DIONISOPOULOS: Teenager, teenager, teenager, teenager, teenager.

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: What do you take with the teenagers?

MATT GAETZ: Coke?

PETE DIONISOPOULOS: No Coke, Pepsi

• • •

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More from @tomiahonen

Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
7 Jul
Preliminary Trump Sentencing Thread 1/

I am doing my first preliminary estimate of TOTAL prison time awarded to Trump, now that we see his trials are coming, and have some visibility on the TYPES of crimes with Giuliani, Weisselberg, Roger Stone etc

("Number are my buddies!")
Preliminary Trump Sentencing Thread 2/

This thread builds partly on the reasoning in my Thread about the schedules of Trump trials coming up. You may find it helpful to first read this thread:

Preliminary Trump Sentencing Thread 3/

This thread is about YEARS of prison time. But often prison sentences are LIFE sentences. There are years associated with Life sentences that vary (state vs Federal etc). Here is short thread about Life and Years:

Read 46 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
7 Jul
To understand time - prison time - we need briefly to discuss life. Life sentences.

Many people who receive a Life Sentence in state prisons are released after about 15 years served, because of parole. So a 'typical' life sentence in a STATE conviction is about 15 years, roughly
To understand time - prison time - we need briefly to discuss life. Life sentences.

Federal life sentences do not have possibility of parole. But their duration is most typically 20 years

Then there are 'Determinate' Life sentences without parole, for actual 'life remaining'
Those federal Life sentences that actually mean the full remaining life span, are for very serious crimes like treason, mass murderers, terrorists.

In our case, with Trump, Weisselberg & Giuliani old men in their 70s, let's estimate that life would end in about 25 years, roughly
Read 4 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
5 Jul
Scheduling Update Thread 1/

Trump faces criminal & civil trials in over 20 cases. These 4 will get him life in prison (each)

1. Weisselberg (NY State: tax fraud)
2. Giuliani (Federal: Ukraine)
3. Matt Gaetz (Federal: bribes Presidential pardons)
4. Roger Stone (Federal: Jan 6) Image
Scheduling Update Thread 2/

My TW feed was the first anywhere to give you expected schedule of indictments

Weisselberg indicted July 1 (as I said, July or Aug)

Next up:
Giuliani will be indicted in July or Aug
Matt Gaetz in Aug or Sept
Roger Stone Autumn 2021 to Spring 2022 Image
Scheduling Update Thread 3/

The Weisselberg path (5 SEPARATE criminal cases, Manhattan DA/NY Taxes is only FIRST of 5) is the FASTEST to get Trump in prison

Allen was indicted Thursday. There are MORE criminals who committed SAME tax fraud with Allen. More than 1 more. Image
Read 30 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
5 Jul
Tweeps? These 3 confessions. Trumps REALLY are this stupid. Their plan is to escape a speeding ticket by admitting to the speeding but saying others also speed at that point.

That is EXACTLY what they are doing. They have ALL confessed now. They go to prison on tax evasion
Remember this is VERY serious tax fraud, systematic tax fraud over 16 years, for which the prosecutors have the double accounting records.

The penalty for Don Jr & Eric is of scale of 5 years in prison and $3 million in back taxes and penalties. Each.
For Donald Trump the time is equivalent to Weisselberg so 12 years on this tax fraud scheme and grand larceny related to it. And Trump taxes due and penalties, I estimated at $60 million dollars

On this one tax fraud criminal case alone (= Weisselberg 1 out of 5 cases to come)
Read 7 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
3 Jul
Weisselberg Flipping Thread 1/

I will do my ADDITIONAL reasons, after these 10 excellent reasons by Richard Signorelli. I will retweet EACH of his brilliant Tweets, and comment on a few points, before I add my reasons. This is excellent analysis, Richard. Thank you!
Weisselberg Flip Thread 2/

Richard's first 3 reasons. VERY IMPORTANT point number 3: Weisselberg is no fool. He is affluent. He has hired INDEPENDENT and competent attorney (not a lunatic like say Giuliani would be telling bedtime stories to Trump).

Weisselberg Flip Thread 3/

Richard's second set of reasons. Item Nr 5. Trump WILL TURN on Allen Weisselberg. Trump HAS to blame Allen that this is an evil plot by an evil accountant who stole money from Trump behind his back. This is a 'killer' argument

Read 16 tweets
Tomi T Ahonen Profile picture
2 Jul
My Take on Weisselberg Day Thread 1/

Thursday was Weisselberg Day as Trump's accountant and his company CFO surrendered, was indicted on 15 counts of criminal financial frauds including tax evasion.

This thread summarizes what I learned incl great discussions with my Tweeps
Tomi's Take on Weisselberg Day 2/

We learned Weisselberg has been indicted on 15 counts. He is due $1 million dollars in unpaid taxes and could get 5 years. He is charged with Grand Larceny on systematically falsifying tax documents over 16 years which could add 7 years.
Tomi's Take on Weisselberg 3/

Weisselberg arrived at 6:15 AM voluntarily to surrender. He was cuffed. He entered plea of not guilty to all 15 charges. He was considered a flight risk. He surrendered his passport. He was released without bail because these are non-violent crimes.
Read 19 tweets

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