@Laura__Fox @fascinatorfun
This website gives the breakdown of Pfizer /AZ /Moderna jabs given up to 2 weeks before. gov.uk/government/pub…

Used the wayback machine to piece together the rollout.

Look at Pfizer in early April.

Look at this article: pharmatimes.com/news/uk_buys_a…
Unless the Government has a secret supply of Pfizer, it looks to me like they procured enough for 20M 1st doses last year then procured another 30M worth on 28th April.... but it is not getting here until the Autumn.

I am becoming more certain the opening up is a
"Hail Mary" move to conceal the fact that their magnificent vaccine rollout success is turning to sh1t before their eyes. If everyone under 30 gets Covid, and thus has to wait 4 weeks before they can be vaccinated then no-one will know we ran out...
Cunning, eh, Baldrick?
Correction: Early May, not April - when vaccination started opening to the under 40's (who shouldn't take AZ) and running down for the older cohorts (who can take AZ)

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More from @mac_puck

10 Jul
@fascinatorfun I think Dilettante Voice has found the smoking gun. Last year HMG ordered enough Pfizer for 20M first doses. By 30th June it had 0.9M left... with more than 15M under 40's to go and AZ contra indicated for them since 7th April.

1/
They frantically managed to place an order on 28th April for 60M more doses... but it doesn't start arriving until autumn!

Anyone who wasn't a sociopath would just 'fess up and say "sorry folks we are going to have to hang

2/

theguardian.com/society/2021/a…
tight until the Autumn."

But Bojo has been signing off PMQ's every week with "we vaccinate, while you procrastinate". If the vaxx programme slams to a halt, he is holed beneath the waterline.

So I reckon he has said "let her rip: they can get immunity by infection instead"
3/
Read 4 tweets
7 Jul
@vonderleyen @MarosSefcovic @EP_President

I believe the UK Gov. is adopting its new, highly unusual, "let it rip" Covid policy, to conceal a vaccine procurement failure that would be politically devastating for the UK Gov (& for brexit).

Look at the 1st & 2nd dose graphs
Vaccination capacity should increase over time not drop by 60%.

But Johnson would rather feed British kids into the covid mincer than ask the EU for help; it would end his career.

Why not offer to help? It would save lives in Britain *and* in the EU (particularly IRL).
And if it helped UK voters to realise the EU is not the enemy - in fact cares more about the health of Britain's children than its own government does - then all the better.
Read 5 tweets
5 Jul
@chrischirp
Q: What *exactly* does "70.4% effectiveness" mean?

Does it mean 70.4% will gain total immunity no matter how huge the viral load / number of exposures?

Or does it mean, everyone gets a bit of an immune boost, so an individual needs 100÷(100-70.4)=3.37 x as..
..big a viral load to succumb (or 3.37 x as many encounters).

This is a genuine question and the answer has big implications for the UK.

Because it seems like the Gov policy is to deliberately raise a child army of covid vectors and unleash them.

As I understand it
"effectiveness" is calculated by comparing infection rate in say 50K vaccinated and 50K unvacfinated people in the same community, ie the same exposure profile... what happens when the government throws virus-bomb into the population, creating artificially high exposure?
Read 4 tweets
5 Jul
Given the blizzard of lies emanating from Lord Frost right now, this BBC article is a useful reality check. It dates from 17.10.2019 - the day that the text of the "oven ready deal" was agreed.

bbc.com/news/uk-500830…
It makes it clear that all goods would face customs checks, and those deemed at risk of being transported to Ireland would pay taxes at the GB/NI point of entry.

This history has been rewritten into "only 'at risk' goods were supposed to be checked". "EU moving the goalposts"
Simply not true.

Then there is the issue of regulatory checks. The BBC article of 17.10.2019 made it perfectly clear the UK agreed to checks between GB & NI, EU officials present, with power to overule.

Now Frost is acting all surprised.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jul
When all you have is a hammer everything looks like a nail. But the Bastani / Jones strategy of hyper-motivating a core of "working class voters" demonstrably failed in GE19.

1/
And the Blue Labour response - target the working class voters who switched to the Tories via UKIP & Brezi's, by saying "look! we can be racists too!" is the ultimate blind alley. Why buy Pepsi when you can have the real thing?

2/
What if there is another path? An offer to the "ordinary decent Tories" in the shires? They are probably only a third of Tory voters (the rest being xenophobes and/or authoritarians) but I am convinced there is a constituency of small c conservatives who are

3/
Read 7 tweets
26 Jun
Basically we are seeing a gang war between two of the most powerful families within the Tory OCG. Cummings is a button man for Gove, capo in the Murdoch regime.

He has carried out a botched hit on Hancock, who is now, figuratively, on a saline drip in an unguarded hospital room.
Hancock is a made man in "the Tufton Street gang", running a crew for underboss Neil Record.

So far the Bratva (Russian mafia) have not got involved. Their front man, Boris Johnson, is under orders to keep a lid on things and not draw too much heat from feds.
His boss, Lebedev, is a consiglieri who reports directly to underboss Vladimir Putin, who is second only to boss of bosses, Semion Mogilevich.

The 2 other main families in the Tory OCG are: corrupt property developers and "the firm" - a group of high ranking Met police officers.
Read 4 tweets

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