🧵 I think we do have a testing problem.

Across my union networks I'm getting feedback that waits for test results is increasing, also seeing this in one LAs daily school cases update that I get to see.
#edutwitter #JohnsonVariant
Also on the network's the app is pinging more often, but the time to isolate is a lot shorter. Ppl are getting 5 sometimes 3 days to isolate.

I think test and trace is struggling with the case load, means its probably going to get worse
We have a dip in testing, but cases are growing rapidly
Saw yesterday that in South Tyneside 21% of cases were coming back positive

If test positivity is above 5% then you aren't testing enough

I know official case numbers are always an underestimate but the scale of the underestimate could be increasing
I'm worried that while the data looks like growth is slowly, that might just be the data.

If there's an increasing lag for results then this would give the impression that the rate is slowly.
You might find that the line straightens once late results are added

This is what was happening in Sweden last year when it constantly looked like they were about to reach herd immunity, the curve wasn't flattening it was data lag
Although it looks like its mainly the North in trouble, zooming in on the map you see hotspots dotted across everywhere
"COVID-19 Map for schools" put in your school, see the local rate, I prefer it to the gov map, its their data on Google maps schoolcovidmap.org.uk
Unfortunately it looks like the speed we test, trace and isolate might be more important with Delta and we are heading in the wrong direction.

Also makes the decision to scrap isolation even more risky
So they are scrapping isolation in schools and replacing it with a single PCR in Sept, official starr mod August

Now they're going to switch off test and trace in schools!
#edutwitter
tes.com/news/covid-con…
*start mid August

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More from @karamballes

14 Jul
@halfon4harlowMP Not certain how they had to fight to be heard when they have been meeting with Tory MPs behind closed doors throughout the pandemic and are directly supported by the Telegraph and are part of a coordinated disinformation network
#edutwitter
Reminder that UsForThem have had private meetings with Johnson and other ministers, @halfon4harlowMP also invited them to provide evidence to the education select committee.

Just found one of my first threads on UsForThem, @BylineTimes
have done a lot since which is worth reading
Read 5 tweets
14 Jul
1/ @bbcnickrobinson on #r4today
Fascinating how he treats a short interview with Sweeney of SNP.
Starts with opening
"No Freedom day for Scotland, masks wearing could continue for months"

1st question, "with cases so high should Scotland be relaxing at all?"
Tries to make out that Scotland is in a considerably worse situation than England, then "so Johnson is right it must be now or never"

The Tory Party narrative has become the baseline for truth, SNP getting level of challenge, how ministers just don't get
Then he raises a financial issue regarding 600k, wish Tory MPs would get questioned on the High Court judged unlawfully awarded contract to Public First

Then interrupts with finishing question, isn't there a massive conflict of interest qmwith chief exec married to the leader
Read 4 tweets
12 Jul
We predicted this wave, everything is going according to plan

If schools going back is such an issue for removing other restrictions why don't they do something about it like ventilation or vaccination?

#edutwitter #DowningStreetBriefing #JohnsonVariant
What they are really saying is

"We have to go now because in September we plan on letting the virus rip through as many children as possible in hope of blunting a winter wave a few months later"

"Why are we doing this? Well one factor is the vaccine programme is starting to struggle, asking for help would expose this so to save face we will sacrifice peoples health"

Read 11 tweets
10 Jul
The people comfortable with allowing infections to spread through schools are the same ones who said it wasn't going to happen
#edutwitter
They really don't like people talking about @LongCovidKids

These are the same people who have argued against masks in schools throughout, and many have supported astroturf UsForThem who get to be in the Telegraph several times a week.
UsForThem who push the GBD narrative, who have links to lobbyists and politicians, who have been champion by various media sources and personalities.

Whats the plan? Just pretend covid doesn't exist
Read 8 tweets
8 Jul
🧵This wave was brought to you by the lobbyists of the GBD and Dingwall

SAGE advice is being ignored, but the GBD has gotten nearly everything they wanted

Considering ministers backgrounds it looks like lobbyists have taken over the government
We're dealing with a dangerous combination of corruption and ideology which doesn't believe in accountability.

What we are dealing with looks like a particular type of corruption, State Capture Image
Issue with state capture is that its often not illegal because its about changing laws and regulation and the awarding of positions.

They are also using culture war as an excuse to insert ppl linked to the party into every state institution. Image
Read 45 tweets
6 Jul
🧵 @GavinWilliamson Statement to the commons.
What a sham

"Important mitigations like hand washing and improved ventilation will remain"

What improved ventilation? How do they keep getting away with pushing this lie?
#edutwitter
2/ Shows how out of touch Tory MPs are that a huge cheer goes up when GW says that social distancing will end in schools.

Do they actually believe the crap they read in the Telegraph?
3/ @KateGreenSU says she's relieved bubbles are going, asks about support for ventilation, evidence for removing masks and will children be vaccinated?
Read 40 tweets

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