16 months ago today, six San Francisco Bay Area county suburbs jointly announced a “3-week” stay at home order, the first in the USA to do so.

Today, “3 weeks” (+ 15 months) later only 18.1% of SF metro workers have returned to their offices, the lowest in the nation.

Not surprisingly, 52% of all California small businesses have closed. This is because 83% of businesses r in cities (>than 50k pop), many of them catering to office workers in central business districts (bars, restaurants, gyms, theaters, dry cleaners, taxi, boutiques, etc)

Everyone should experience a week of the pandemic (lockdown) in both an urban downtown & rural community. The former are ghost towns w nothing but homeless addicts & boarded up retail vacancies. Lifestyles didn’t change in the latter (& yet the populations weren’t wiped out)

In the central business districts (CBDs), those that could least afford it were hurt the most. Finance/tech workers went home to their leafy suburbs or vacation homes to WFH for 16 months while small business owners & workers (disproportionately minorities) lost everything.

It's doubtful these work from home policies saved any life given the avg age/risk profile of young urban office workers vs "essential" workers who ended up suffering the burden as the virus ran its natural course. More likely the opposite is true & these policies cost lives.

As the 80+% begin to finish patting themselves on the back for their virtuous efforts over the last 16 mo's & trickle back to offices, many will witness for the 1st time the scale of devastation they abetted. They’ll likely just complain about lack of Ubers & lunch options.


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More from @the_brumby

14 Jul
Many comments on my thread earlier this week re China/lockdowns. Think about what's happened over the last 18 mo's & tell me if it sounds more like a repressive communist regime or a Western liberal democracy. None of this was remotely fathomable until China showed us the way
🔹You have been inundated with terrifying & false propaganda all day

🔹Information has been tightly controlled by a small group of monopolistic technology companies collaborating with government to censor all counter-narrative material

🔹Law enforcement closed parks & playgrounds, you were forbidden from traveling more than a few miles from your home, & only for essential gov’t-sanctioned activities

🔹You were not permitted to interact with any people outside your own household

Read 9 tweets
12 Jul
China Psychological Tactics -- Korean War

During the Korean War, the Chinese were more successful than the North Koreans extracting info from American POWs. The Chinese used sophisticated psychological tactics while North Koreans employed harsh physical punishment/torture
Dr. Henry Segal, chief of the neuropsychiatric evaluation team examining returning POWs, reported that war/political-related beliefs had been substantially altered: “many expressed antipathy toward the Chinese Communists but at the same time praised them for ‘the fine job…
they had done in China.’ Others stated that ‘although communism won’t work in America, I think its a good thing for Asia’”

Continuing, Dr Segal said if we measure China’s success in terms of “defection, disloyalty, changed attitudes & beliefs, poor discipline, poor morale…
Read 12 tweets
8 Jul
Sorry masking kids is an objectively losing position

1st consider the following:

-mask mandates haven’t accomplished anything anywhere

-all adults who want vax have had it

-Covid is much less threat to kids than flu

-Unvaccinated kid’s risk is less than vax’d 30yr old

Then-putting aside potential physical harms-its impossible to overstate the importance of children seeing their friends’ smiles, joyful engagement w one another, & degree to which recognition & expression of nonverbal communication is a critical skill for participation in society
The only people still in favor of masking kids are (i) those seeking to display moral superiority or (ii) those in deep blue metro areas that are still hiding in their apartments and have no idea kids have been blissfully interacting maskless in most of the country for months.
Read 4 tweets
25 Jun
In case anyone was worried about how the top 10% are holding up in the USA during lockdowns, they’re doing just fine.

Inequality was already acute, but the lockdowns have greatly exacerbated. Assets increased appx $20trillion for the top 10% vs a blip for entire bottom 50% Image
They are busy buying up $1 million + priced homes (which have exploded) while middle and lower priced homes have barely budged despite record low interest rates. Image
See also the rates of employment in the lowest wage brackets between “lockdown lover’s paradise” California (chart 1 – down 38%) and “never lockdown again” Florida (chart 2 – fully recovered & then some). The futile winter lockdown absolutely crushed low-earning Californians ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
24 Jun
In the book When Prophecy Fails by Leon Festinger (father of "cognitive dissonance"), the author & colleagues infiltrate a 1950s UFO cult who believe the end of the world is near in order to understand how cultists will react when their prophecy inevitably goes unfulfilled.
They found that, instead of admitting error, those committed became even more steadfast in their beliefs, began to seek greater publicity,& developed rationalizations for why the event had not come to pass. Many concluded their piety was recognized & indeed had saved humanity
To minimize the negative impact of their failure, believers chose to forgo reason & proselytize even harder, doubling their recruiting efforts. After all, “If more & more people can be persuaded that the system of belief is correct, then clearly it must after all be correct"
Read 6 tweets
9 Jun
Its enjoyable/cathartic for me to write these longer semi-random threads & people seem to appreciate them as they can like and/or retweet the whole thread or individual tweets in the thread if so inclined (h/t to @MarkChangizi for teaching me how to tweet 🤣)

So here goes
1. Oh look, what a surprise … overdose-associated cardiac arrests (OCAs) were up 42.1% last year and the increase curve correlates exactly with the unemployment rate. Who could have possibly seen this coming? @EWoodhouse7 @snorman1776
2. From the book Surveillance Capitalism: "Google's ideal society is a population of distant users, not citizenry. It idealizes people who are informed, but only in the ways the corporation chooses." 😲

Are we there yet?
Read 22 tweets

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