Thread by @MateuszTaszarek

1/7 (comment on recent severe storms in Europe)
Is the warming climate our biggest problem or lack of proper #socialscience research? Recently on #wxtwitter and in the media you can read that every single severe weather outbreak in Europe is explained by #climatechange. Did ...

2/7 ... everyone really forget that severe hail / tornado / wind / flooding have occurred on a regular basis in the past climate in Europe? Warming climate is an important problem and we should work together on limiting its negative effects, but our current bigger issue ...

3/7 ... is that Europe is still not prepared for dealing with severe weather outbreaks. We consistently advance predictability of these events but we omit an important aspect of social sciences in this topic. So much work needs to be done on improving society's severe weather ...

4/7 ... awareness and effective communication of warnings. We reached the point in which operational forecasters can predict these events well, but this information is not properly used by society and emergency managers. We have a big historical record of severe weather ...

5/7 ... outbreaks in @essl_ecss #ESWD and good research on this topic. Yet, people are not learning from the past events. Devastating floods in Ahr Valley happened before in 1804 and 1910 (via @ThiloKuehne). What was done over the years to learn from these events and be better ..

6/7 ... prepared in future? This is an area in which the U.S. is so much better than Europe, they learn from the past events and invest into social sciences to better understand not only a forecaster perspective, but also a user perspective. You can make excellent forecasts ...

7/7 ... but they will be useless if not properly communicated. Too many people in Europe think "it cannot happen to me". We need to understand why people disregard warnings, why warnings cannot reach them and why they don't know how to react - then try to find a way to fix it.

Papers on related topic (focusing on tornadoes) by @bogdanantonescu, @EloquentScience, @alois_holzer and @pgroenemeijer worth reading:
doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D…
doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D…