“Get Covid & live longer” was quote in message obtained by my colleague @bbclaurak - difficult to know what that means but worth attempting to unpack. surely not an attempt at humour?

Suggesting connection between “getting COVID” and “living longer” is obviously innumerate… Image
Innumerate because:

Life expectancy is a mean, not a median - this makes a significant difference.

Life expectancy at 80 years old now, is 9 more years for a man, 10 for a woman...

More here from actual actuaries:

But actually the eyebrow raising thing here is suggesting some sort of causal relationship, even if Covid fatality average age was definitively below life expectancy... many other factors, for example, might have been certain age groups were almost totally shielded from infection
Context: time message sent (Oct 15) Starmer called for circuit breaker 2 days before, anti-lockdown Great BArrington Declaration made week before/ taken up in papers... eg average Covid death age v life expectancy comparison bold Mail headline week before dailymail.co.uk/debate/article… Image
Source for 82.4 years average is CEBM / Oxf uni report tweekend before, so that is accurate...

Reference (joke?) to Covid extending life, was made publicly by anti lockdown campaigner Simon Dolan “prolongs life” day before, and comic Lee Hurst the week before “live longer”... ImageImage
Why does this matter? Because the economy used as the central argument for delaying the Autumn lockdown and then proceeding with “saving Christmas”… but such was the wave of deaths and cases, that the economy had to be locked down anyway… no direct straight forward trade off…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Faisal Islam

Faisal Islam Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @faisalislam

19 Jul
Spent a couple of days in York speaking to businesses about Grand Reopening..

Overall sense are that things pretty tentative. HEre of course the lack of international tourists overwhelming factor.

At new hotel domestic tourists have fully booked up, but owner cant find staff...
Twenty per cent staff at his hotel group chain in Yorkshire are isolating, tho owner backs PM’s “if not now when” message...

Coffee shop owners working on basis much social distancing maintained voluntarily (York’s cafe spaces small), and domestic tourists spend less on coffee..
At “York Chocolate story” boss Juliana at pains to downplay rhetoric about Freedom Day “we dont like that phrase” will welcome more guests, but says her polling shows that people expect to be protected against virus, masks “strongly encouraged” for customers, compulsory for staff
Read 4 tweets
14 Jul
Inflation rate up again a bit, a little further above 2% target, driven by, for example, used car sales prices up 4.4% in June alone, which we covered last month.

Base effects, eg comparisons with pandemic price falls a year ago, driving a lot of this…
used car price surge is also a result of pandemic, eventually. Demand has shot up, because new car production slowed at a time when demand rebounded, forcing people to buy second hand. microchip production was diverted away from new cars to electronics last year during pandemic
Heading for peak of about 3% in coming months, above target, but not as high as after recent crises or as seen now in US.

would trigger a letter of explanation from the Governor to Chancellor, which would say, “these are mainly bottlenecks and arithmetic effects of reopening”
Read 5 tweets
11 Jul
These two? Image
Sancho coming on
And sir Marcus rashford
Read 4 tweets
11 Jul
Outside Wembley now… @LukeShaw23….
Perhaps underrated by Mourinho, but actually dynamite 🧨
Sweet caroline…
Pretty chaotic outside stadium… they stopped activating tickets at outer barrier because of those rushing security checks, which means they don’t work at gate…and you have to go back to outer gate. but also some enterprising people trying to get in with screenshots of tickets!!
Read 7 tweets
6 Jul
OBR chief Richard Hughes coming up on Today in a mo, previewing the new Fiscal Risks Report…
Triple Lock uprating due to 8% earnings “anomaly” forecast to coast £3 billion in payments to pensioners, says OBR’s chief Richard Hughes to @bbcnickrobinson on Today... and already no provision for £10bn of ongoing annual extra post pandemic spending...
Important OBR report onto medium term fiscal risks... and covid response

... UK fall in GDP in 2020 second worst behind Spain, worst in G7 reflecting big pandemic health hit
Read 5 tweets
1 Jul
NEW: Bank of England Governor Bailey at Mansion House says economy is “bouncing back rapidly” that inflation rise “will continue through the rest of this year.. further above target” but that this is expected to be a “temporary feature of the bounce back”...
Unexpectedly few references to the football in the Governor’s speech.... but he does cite the competing inflationary impact of the Beckham family ... a 29 year high in personal grooming inflation of 8%, though Victoria Beckham is cutting the avg price of her dresses by 40%
Chancellor at Mansion House: “I see no reason of substance why the UK should not continue to provide clearing services for countries in the EU” - says UK’s principles and values on regulation/ rule of law should reassure
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!