- 18M users
- $959M in 2020 revenue
- 245% revenue growth from 2019
- Expected valuation of $40B
Solid numbers.
1. They want you to trade a lot
Robinhood mostly makes money when you trade, through something called "Payment for Order Flow." That means they want you to trade a lot.
2. They want you to trade options
RH earns more money when you trade *options* which are riskier. They earn $2.90 per options trade and just $0.40 for a typical equities trade. This has caused some controversy (we unpack).
3. They're making money from memes
RH offers crypto-trading. Dogecoin trading activity drove 34% of Q1 crypto revenue. RH is the home of meme finance, and it shows.
3. Revenue is on fire🔥
Total 2020 revenue surpassed $950 million, up 2.5x. It's only growing. They brought in $522M in Q1, a run rate of +$2B. That was a 309% increase from the previous year.
4. Management has clear strengths and weaknesses
Vlad is apparently excellent at scaling product and eng teams. He's also great and seeing the big picture. But his communication skills could apparently use some work.
5. They're profitable
(Basically.)
They're adjusted EBITDA came in at +$150 million in 2020, and $115 million in Q1 of this year. This is not just another unprofitable unicorn.
6. They've built a huge audience
RH's first acquisition was a media company. That looks like it's paid off. RobinhoodSnacks has 32 million subscribers. That's a lot of people hearing RH's messaging.
7. They've got competition
RH has to fight on multiple fronts. Traditional finance, neobrokers, other fintech, and entertainment companies all battle with the business.
8. Their valuation is high?
I could see this popping to +$60B. Still, compare RH to Coinbase and it looks expensive. Coinbase is being valued at 6.5x its run rate, and is growing faster. RH is being valued at 19.2x.
9. They're facing a lot of lawsuits
These likely won't harm the company much. So far fines have been immaterial and bad press has spurred signups. Still, something to keep an eye on.
10. They're trendsetters
No company has been played a bigger role in making investing a cultural phenomenon than RH.
There's so much more to this business. Join +39K more and join below.
- 🇳🇬 Nigeria has a great fintech scene
- 🇪🇬 Egypt is active in edtech and logistics
- 🇰🇪 Kenya is dominant in agtech
- 🇿🇦 South Africa has a strong enterprise market
These can become massive ecosystems in time.
2. VC investment is growing *fast*
In 2020, $1.43B was invested into African startups. That sounds small, but it's growing fast.
Since 2015, capital investment has grown *40%* per year. That is nuts.