The SONA blues. The President will deliver his last SONA on July 26. Various news outlets have began taking the public sentiment on what they want to hear from the President when he delivers his valedictory address before Congress. Duterte would've
opinion.inquirer.net/142346/urgent-…
"graduated" with honors if not for the pandemic rudely interrupting his term. Pandemic response gets a passing grade because of how relatively bumbling the IATF-EID has performed. Still no unified contact-tracing system and adherence to the 3Ts - test, trace and treat. With the
confirmed community transmission of the Delta variant, we again face economic uncertainty because most of the Asia-Pacific region is suffering from a Delta-induced surge. It remains to be seen how we will weather this latest outbreak. Delta is more contagious than the original
virus and affects both the vaccinated and unvaccinated. With our vaccination rate still low and slow, a surge would appear inevitable. But who knows? Maybe the IATF-EID can pull off a hat trick. The economic recovery is high on the list on the President's speech. Several reform
bills are still pending in Congress. The budget season begins in August. It will be an election budget for sure. The Department of Finance is pushing for the passage of the last tranche of the tax reform program. This is one of the biggest achievements of the administration if
and when completed. As we have a consumption-driven economy, the recession was felt the most last year but it has picked up this year. Digitization should be another government priority. The President has mentioned this in his past SONAs. Now it's imperative that the bureaucracy
moves in this direction. Part of the resistance stems from the minimization I'd corruption which digitization brings. The President should put his foot down on this issue. Next up is connectivity. Digitization needs connectivity to work efficiently. There are new employment
opportunities but this requires both reskilling and upskilling. Hitting two birds with one stone can be achieved if only the underlings would put their heads into it. TESDA is lagging in the digital landscape under Lapeña. That's to be expected because Lapeña is not tech-literate
and TESDA's courses need either updating or upgrading. It wouldn't be asking too much for Congress to pass easy amendments to the economic provisions of the Constitution by way of the Public Service Act and the Retail Trade Liberalization bill. There is also that key insertion,
"unless otherwise provided for," which is essential to getting the minor roadblocks for foreign direct investment to be removed. Duterte has been known to meander from the drafted speech and it's hard to second-guess what he will say in addition. But given the pattern he has
established, he will definitely have words for the opposition. He appealed to the opposition for unity in his first SONA but this didn't happen. It's almost a certainty he will take a dig at them for one last time. He may also put an end to speculation if he is running for the
Vice-Presidency or not. There is no Constitutional prohibition contrary to what the opposition says. He can even ascend to the Presidency because the act would be succession not reelection in the event the new President is "incapacitated" for whatever reason. Overall, the
bad boy hillbilly from Leyte, Cebu and Davao did good. His father would never imagine Rodrigo would become President one day. Probably his mother as well. The most unorthodox President the Philippines has ever had bows out from office on June 30, 2022. Duterte not only outdid
himself but also his predecessors. The promdi challenged the establishment and came out victorious. The six years went by fast. There was no agony of waiting for the term to end unlike the Aquino administration when the public couldn't wait for the election to be over. A job
well-done under the circumstances Mr. President. Daghan salamat Manong Digong.

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More from @marortoll

23 Jul
Where is the substance in this piece by Mang Tonyo? Numbers he cited comes from Ibon's Sonny Africa. That's biased to begin with. Tonyo also displays a lack of grasp of economics and public finance. The basic is, any revenue shortfall of the government is
mb.com.ph/2021/07/24/p10…
financed by borrowings; external and Internal. The ideal is to have a balanced budget. Government is not a business that's run for profit. It's easy for Tonyo to say the monies are there without taking into account the budget deficit, debt service and funding extraordinary
contingencies arising from fortuitous events such as the projected Delta surge. He deigns to compare the Philippines with the US which is a rich country and has the dollar as fiat currency. Has he looked at the current US budget deficit? The inflationary pressure tax-and-spend is
Read 7 tweets
23 Jul
The Delta variant just dashed the hope that a global economic recovery would begin two years into the pandemic. While most of the opinions expressed have been about pandemic response, both good and bad, the no one has dared to point out the elephant in the
philstar.com/business/2021/…
room that is the only clear path to putting an end to the pandemic; increased vaccine supplies. Viruses mutate continuously while circulating. That is a fact. Yet rich countries continue to prioritize their own population for vaccination. This year we have seen how Covid has
ravaged South America, Brazil and Peru, in particular in that region. India has suffered worst than Brazil with record cases and deaths. The same is being replicated now in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly Indonesia, which is passing India's numbers. Australia, Malaysia,
Read 17 tweets
22 Jul
The gadfly strikes again. The inference to the Lacson-Sotto tandem is there for everyone to read. The practice has been institutionalized for the longest time. It may have been prevalent in past Presidential contests where there was a high element of
manilatimes.net/2021/07/23/opi…
political instability but this time around, with an opposition in its death throes, what would the public's alternative be if there was no Lacson-Sotto to put up a challenge against the administration? It's no secret that politics is a lucrative "profession" in the country. This
is specially true at the local level among Governors, Mayors and Congressmen. Political contributions are invested in legitimate businesses which provides employment and tax revenues for the government. Ask any elected official and this is their usual defense against allegations
Read 15 tweets
21 Jul
The members of the opposition should read this. The US withdrawal from Afghanistan casts serious doubts on US defense commitments to treaty partners such as the Philippines. The author proposes that ASEAN member countries add collective defense as one of
asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Asia-s…
group's goals given the heightened tensions between China and the US. This doesn't have positive prospects in the near-term given the ASEAN member countries vested interests, particularly those with competing claims in the disputed body of water. This is made more difficult by
the pandemic which has seen a cutback in training exercises given the prevalence of the Delta variant in the region. It is also hard to commit 2% of GDP as defense spending given the less progressive members having to borrow funds to finance pandemic response, primarily vaccine
Read 4 tweets
21 Jul
The traditional economic boost an election cycle brings to the economy may or may not materialize this cycle due to the exigencies of the pandemic. Mass gatherings are banned so there will be no usual campaign sorties and rallies in the provinces. This
opinion.inquirer.net/142240/electio…
begs the question how will the campaign be conducted? It will be done online through social media platforms, traditional broadcast outlets such as TV, radio and CATV in the regions where connectivity doesn't exist or is spotty at best. There will be more ads on these platforms
which will fuel temporary employment for those who are adept in digital sales and marketing. It will be an effort on the part of the candidates and the voters to meet halfway and exchange information. There will be an increasing reliance on internal surveys to determine if the
Read 10 tweets
21 Jul
Surveys as a deyerminant of voter base isn't accurate. Why? What if the candidate doesn't really have a voter base? As stated in a previous piece, Isko's voter base is Manila. Give him NCR as the benefit of the doubt. Though it is one of the most populous
manilatimes.net/2021/07/22/opi…
regions in the country, it doesn't mean each and every voter will go for Isko. The same is true with Manny Pacquiao and Grace Poe. The same is true with Rodrigo Duterte in 2016. But in the end, it's the electricity in the air which an individual with excellent political gut feel
will sense that a candidate will win. This is true with Duterte in 2016. What then is Contreras touting as the middle ground with Pacquiao, Isko and Poe? I've always opined that an Isko-Poe tandem is viable. But as a winner, that's another thing altogether. Their combined glass
Read 12 tweets

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