The Delta variant just dashed the hope that a global economic recovery would begin two years into the pandemic. While most of the opinions expressed have been about pandemic response, both good and bad, the no one has dared to point out the elephant in the
philstar.com/business/2021/…
room that is the only clear path to putting an end to the pandemic; increased vaccine supplies. Viruses mutate continuously while circulating. That is a fact. Yet rich countries continue to prioritize their own population for vaccination. This year we have seen how Covid has
ravaged South America, Brazil and Peru, in particular in that region. India has suffered worst than Brazil with record cases and deaths. The same is being replicated now in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly Indonesia, which is passing India's numbers. Australia, Malaysia,
Thailand, Vietnam and Myanmar, are all enforcing lockdowns in a bid to contain the spread of Delta. But this is hard to do considering this variant is 1,260 times more contagious and has a shorted incubation period. The first community transmission was confirmed in the country on
Thursday evening. Just as everyone thought it was safe to reopen, it is not again. Filipinos have been grappling with uncertainty since the Luzon lockdown took effect. That prevented a heavy first wave but complacency caught up in March when cases spiked fueled by the UK variant.
Healthcare capacity was strained but not to the point that people were dying on the streets. It was nowhere near the catastrophe that befell India and now, Indonesia. The IATF-EID still doesn't have a uniform contact-tracing system in place. There is no adherence to the 3Ts; test
trace and treat. By the time the surge was contained in NCR+, another spike began in the regions. New cases haven't fallen below 3,000 on a daily basis since March. While the government has passed key legislation charting the path to economic recovery, the mindset is still that
Covid can be beaten. Unfortunately, this will not happen until majority of the global population remains unvaccinated. The virus will continue to mutate. Rich countries cornered vaccine supplies last year after the pharmaceutical companies announced a breakthrough in vaccine
development. The equitable distribution of vaccines under the WHOs Covax facility largely went for naught because supply was short. The rich countries stockpiled vaccines good for three times their populations. It was inevitable that we would come to this point again. Singapore
has been more pragmatic in its approach. Their mindset is now Covid is endemic. The government is taking measures for its citizens and the economy to transition to the new normal. The Philippines should do the same. Our work is cut out for us because the government has no
digitization plan in place. Connectivity is an issue even in NCR+. What more in the regions? For economic recovery to begin, there is the need for disruptive reforms in both the public and private sector. The Luzon lockdown put in focus the underdevelopment of the regions. This
makes the 2022 election crucial because clear platforms of action need to be presented by candidates running for office. The economy, education and public health are the main issues the public deems as having the highest impact in their daily lives since the pandemic began.
The opposition is constantly haranguing the government for social amelioration and stimulus when it is hard-pressed to increase revenue collection in the midst of the recession caused by the pandemic. Infrastructure development is better because it generates employment and
economic activities. The so-called economic experts just want to agitate the poor so they can win them over their side in time for the election. The Delta variant is a serious threat not only to the economy but also the citizenry. It falls upon us to take the necessary
precautions. We should be united as a nation in facing the challenges posed by the pandemic and finding solutions. Divisiveness will not get us anywhere. The President has been appealing for unity since he won in 2016. This has fallen on the deaf ears of the opposition. Just
imagine why would they still hold protest rallies on Monday when the President delivers his final SONA given the health risks? The public should realize that divisions only serve to worsen the situation. Instead of criticisms, it's best if out-of-the-box solutions are proposed
instead. This is the only way to move forward and minimize the element of uncertainty that each and every Filipino is dealing with at present.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with The Buried Lead on GRP - Ramon Ortoll

The Buried Lead on GRP - Ramon Ortoll Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @marortoll

23 Jul
Where is the substance in this piece by Mang Tonyo? Numbers he cited comes from Ibon's Sonny Africa. That's biased to begin with. Tonyo also displays a lack of grasp of economics and public finance. The basic is, any revenue shortfall of the government is
mb.com.ph/2021/07/24/p10…
financed by borrowings; external and Internal. The ideal is to have a balanced budget. Government is not a business that's run for profit. It's easy for Tonyo to say the monies are there without taking into account the budget deficit, debt service and funding extraordinary
contingencies arising from fortuitous events such as the projected Delta surge. He deigns to compare the Philippines with the US which is a rich country and has the dollar as fiat currency. Has he looked at the current US budget deficit? The inflationary pressure tax-and-spend is
Read 7 tweets
22 Jul
The gadfly strikes again. The inference to the Lacson-Sotto tandem is there for everyone to read. The practice has been institutionalized for the longest time. It may have been prevalent in past Presidential contests where there was a high element of
manilatimes.net/2021/07/23/opi…
political instability but this time around, with an opposition in its death throes, what would the public's alternative be if there was no Lacson-Sotto to put up a challenge against the administration? It's no secret that politics is a lucrative "profession" in the country. This
is specially true at the local level among Governors, Mayors and Congressmen. Political contributions are invested in legitimate businesses which provides employment and tax revenues for the government. Ask any elected official and this is their usual defense against allegations
Read 15 tweets
22 Jul
The SONA blues. The President will deliver his last SONA on July 26. Various news outlets have began taking the public sentiment on what they want to hear from the President when he delivers his valedictory address before Congress. Duterte would've
opinion.inquirer.net/142346/urgent-…
"graduated" with honors if not for the pandemic rudely interrupting his term. Pandemic response gets a passing grade because of how relatively bumbling the IATF-EID has performed. Still no unified contact-tracing system and adherence to the 3Ts - test, trace and treat. With the
confirmed community transmission of the Delta variant, we again face economic uncertainty because most of the Asia-Pacific region is suffering from a Delta-induced surge. It remains to be seen how we will weather this latest outbreak. Delta is more contagious than the original
Read 15 tweets
21 Jul
The members of the opposition should read this. The US withdrawal from Afghanistan casts serious doubts on US defense commitments to treaty partners such as the Philippines. The author proposes that ASEAN member countries add collective defense as one of
asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Asia-s…
group's goals given the heightened tensions between China and the US. This doesn't have positive prospects in the near-term given the ASEAN member countries vested interests, particularly those with competing claims in the disputed body of water. This is made more difficult by
the pandemic which has seen a cutback in training exercises given the prevalence of the Delta variant in the region. It is also hard to commit 2% of GDP as defense spending given the less progressive members having to borrow funds to finance pandemic response, primarily vaccine
Read 4 tweets
21 Jul
The traditional economic boost an election cycle brings to the economy may or may not materialize this cycle due to the exigencies of the pandemic. Mass gatherings are banned so there will be no usual campaign sorties and rallies in the provinces. This
opinion.inquirer.net/142240/electio…
begs the question how will the campaign be conducted? It will be done online through social media platforms, traditional broadcast outlets such as TV, radio and CATV in the regions where connectivity doesn't exist or is spotty at best. There will be more ads on these platforms
which will fuel temporary employment for those who are adept in digital sales and marketing. It will be an effort on the part of the candidates and the voters to meet halfway and exchange information. There will be an increasing reliance on internal surveys to determine if the
Read 10 tweets
21 Jul
Surveys as a deyerminant of voter base isn't accurate. Why? What if the candidate doesn't really have a voter base? As stated in a previous piece, Isko's voter base is Manila. Give him NCR as the benefit of the doubt. Though it is one of the most populous
manilatimes.net/2021/07/22/opi…
regions in the country, it doesn't mean each and every voter will go for Isko. The same is true with Manny Pacquiao and Grace Poe. The same is true with Rodrigo Duterte in 2016. But in the end, it's the electricity in the air which an individual with excellent political gut feel
will sense that a candidate will win. This is true with Duterte in 2016. What then is Contreras touting as the middle ground with Pacquiao, Isko and Poe? I've always opined that an Isko-Poe tandem is viable. But as a winner, that's another thing altogether. Their combined glass
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(