Greenoaks is the best investment firm that you’ve never heard of. They've returned 51% annually since 2012 on the back of early bets on Coupang, Deliveroo, etc.
But because they’re ultra-secretive, they’re talked about way less than they should be. I'll try to change that.👇
1/ First, some more details on Greenoaks. They’re tech-focused, based in SF, and manage well over $15bn (exact AUM is not public) with a <15-person investment team.
2/ They focus on privates, and are hands-on w/ portfolio companies. Some current investments include Brex, ScaleAI (which they passed on before co-leading the Series E), Discord, Robinhood, Toast, Airtable, Cockroach Labs, TripActions, etc.
3/ Neil Mehta and Benny Peretz founded the firm in 2012 but today it is run jointly by Mehta, Peretz, and Ben Solarz, a Yale Investments Office alum.
4/ Neil was ~27 when he founded Greenoaks. All three are <40 y/o today. Like most great investors, they started young. And like most great investors of the last 10-20 years, they focused on tech.
5/ They are also concentrated. They make <5 investments/year and 10-12 investments in total per fund.
This kind of concentration is more common in public markets, but rare in private markets because you’re stacking two significant risks: illiquidity risk + concentration risk.
6/ One early investment was Coupang, of which Greenoaks owns more than 15%. They’ve backed Coupang for years and Mehta is still the lead independent director on the BoD.
Coupang was one of those early, firm-defining investments - when Coupang IPO'd, their stake was worth $13bn+.
7/ They build relationships w/ companies over a long period of time before investing. Mehta & Greenoaks got to know the team at Brex for a while, but only invested when...
8/ founder Henrique Dubugras called Neil Mehta after previous investors backed out of a secondary round. Mehta re-evaluated the biz in hours and decided to do the entire round, according to FT.
9/ They also do very deep diligence - analyzing the biz down to a neighborhood level when working on Deliveroo - but at the same time are fast. Just a week after the intro call, Greenoaks led a $100m funding round into Kavak (Carvana of LatAm).
10/ What allows them to do this is they do a bulk of their research before even speaking to management. This is an approach/mindset that most venture investors are not used to, but is natural to public markets investors.
11/ They’re also not buy-and-hold-forever - they sell if their viewpoint changes. They sold most of their stake in Oyo Hotels for 15x their money after Softbank got involved, according to FT.
12/ You have to be willing to sell when the facts change. A lot of investors seem to have become "never sell" investors during this bull market - but you need to constantly cut the mediocre businesses out of your portfolio.
13/ Interestingly, Greenoaks doesn’t invest in China. They don’t think they have the “requisite expertise and networks to successfully invest directly into China.”
14/ This is interesting as it’s directly in contradiction to the success formula of the Tiger Cubs - which was heavily focused on China. That they’ve done so well w/o any Chinese investments is notable.
15/ My last point is on the team: “Greenoaks broadly distributes carried interest across the entire platform, and also maintains 15% of the economics to be allocated to outperforming investment professionals.”
16/ According to Mehta, they seek to be “a place where high performing investors can spend their entire career.”
17/ This is really key. The fund managers who want 99% of the economics are not going to attract & retain top talent.
IMO, how economics are distributed is an underutilized predictor of alpha.
18/ All in all, Greenoaks is an undisputed rising star. Their concentrated private strategy is unique (& risky) but they've executed it well.
Their track record is as much a beneficiary of rising valuations as anyone else's, but my guess is they'll continue to do well.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Last week, I did a deep dive into the backstory of Tiger Global. After, I got a lot of requests for a similar deep dive into their $48bn peer Coatue, another super successful Tiger Cub.
So here it is: everything you need to know about Coatue and its founder, Philippe Laffont. 👇
1/ Philippe graduated from MIT in 1991 w/ a degree in Computer Science.
He applied for jobs in 3 different divisions at Apple, and got rejected from all 3. Instead of becoming an engineer, he decided to take a job at McKinsey in Madrid.
2/ FWIW, Philippe has said that he's not sure his technical background has really been that useful as a tech investor.
Many of the best tech investors do not have technical degrees, and most PhDs are not particularly talented investors, so he doesn't think it really correlates.
Everybody has heard of Tiger Global these days. But the firm and its founder, Chase Coleman, are notoriously secretive... so I did some research on the backstory.
Everything you need to know about Chase Coleman and the rise of Tiger Global (warning: long thread)👇
1/ Coleman was born into wealth, and he was childhood friends with Julian Robertson's son on Long Island.
His first job out of college was as an analyst for Robertson at Tiger Management.
2/ He covered tech for Robertson, and made partner within just three years. Most other partners were far older.
Why I think $ANGI could be a $70bn+ company in 10 years (vs. ~$7.5bn today). Long thread below 👇
In short, it's fixed price, fixed price, fixed price.
1/ First, some context.
Angi is the clear leader in home services. Nobody else is even close. And it’s a really hard market to get into - you have to (1) onboard hundreds of thousands of SPs, many of whom are not very tech-savvy and (2) build demand from millions of customers
2/ Reminds me of $SFIX in some ways - massive TAM and they are the clear leader, but it’s super hard to get the details right & experience to be great - which means they've penetrated TAM slower than expected.
At the same time, it's really hard for new entrants to come in.
$GDS reported earnings last night. It’s the leading carrier-neutral data center operator in China, and it’s a company I follow pretty closely. My takeaways from earnings, both the good and bad 👇
1/ First, a bit about the company: GDS operates in T1 cities in China (mainly, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou) where land & power for DCs within 100km of city center is very scarce.
2/ GDS customers (like BABA, Tencent, etc.) really want DCs near cities, since latency w/ end users is better.
Yesterday, I bought $DGNS (Dragoneer’s 2nd SPAC) and $AGCB (Altimeter’s 2nd SPAC) at $10.65. Seemed pretty asymmetric at that price. 👇
Max downside is $0.65 per share (assuming you hold until deal announcement/SPAC expiry).
Upside is essentially a call option on tech froth or a good deal announcement.
On tech froth, Altimeter/Dragoneer SPACs have traded at $15+ pre-deal. That’s pure speculation, but if that happens again, the upside on the SPAC is almost 7x the downside.
The more I think about it, the more I think $ANGI mgmt is totally sandbagging their guidance for the size of fixed price (FP) in the future.
In other words, I think FP will be much bigger than they’re saying it’s going to be. Read why below:👇
1/ On the latest earnings call, CEO Brandon Ridenour guided towards FP being about half the overall business by revenue, 5-7 years from now.
2/ The thing is, FP is accounted for on a gross revenue basis while the traditional business is on a net revenue basis - so them being the same size by revenue would imply the traditional business being much bigger in terms of gross transaction value (GTV) over the platform.