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Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
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30 Jul, 5 tweets, 3 min read
This #WaPo article on the #CDC and it's mask advice is really good, because for once we see the uncertainties in the situation.

Some key points, assuming WaPo got the story correct: The "breakthrough" infections sound quite normal, and to be expected.

archive.is/0V2J8
They occur in the nose.

The reason they occur is because it takes time for the immune system to produce antibodies once the virus arrives.

These infections don't seem to spread well to the lungs or other parts of the body. Whether they cause serious disease is also unknown.
There appears to be NO data on the infectivity of those nasal infections. Potential for spreading the disease is completely unknown.

The #CDC conclusion that people with such infections might act as disease spreaders is a SWAG.

The CDC is being VERY closed-mouth about this.
The CDC says their data will be published Real Soon Now.

The effectiveness of the vaccines against the delta virus is unknown. Studies vary wildly.

These #BreakthroughCases are almost always asymptomatic to mild. So don't panic.

Again, good article. web.archive.org/web/2021072922…
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More from @Saintonge235

Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
30 Jul
It was nice while it lasted, but it didn't last long. Only a day, in fact. While the other #WaPo article I posted about (archive.is/0V2J8
) was frank about the uncertainties in the "science," this new one is just propaganda: 'Trust the CDC, they know more than you do.'
Buried in the article (archive.is/67f7C
), after the plea to believe, are little nuggets of information that are worth mentioning:

By implication, "public health authorities" have been lying to us, and now the lies have turned around on them.

Data release tomorrow.
No data about the effectiveness of masks in preventing spread is presented.

The risk groups haven't changed: the old, the obese, the immunocompromised.

The #CDC still doesn't understand it should tell the truth, rather than spin stuff for public relations impact.
Read 5 tweets
Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
5 Jun
"Liberalism," a term whose meaning has fluctuated over the years, has both an intellectual and an emotional "foundation." (So do all other political philosophies, btw.)

Which is more important? The emotional. (Again, this is true of all other political philosophies.)
Human beings are emotional creatures, and all motivation is emotional.

The emotional foundation of liberalism is a desire to change society "for the better," better in the liberal's eyes that is. The society that exists must be improved, or reformed, or destroyed and replaced.
Concealed behind the desire to improve society is the desire to rule society, a constant of human nature. "What we are doing to you, you would do to us, if you had the power." Thus spaketh the Athenians in the Melian Dialogue.

From these emotions, a recurring pattern emerges.
Read 13 tweets
Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
21 Sep 20
Whenever I see an ellipsis like the one in the quoted tweet, I get to wondering what was left out. #EditingIsLying, after all.

Turned out Mr. Charles was himself quoting a secondary source. After some work, I found the words were from an address to the Notre Dame law school
graduating class of 2006. She said to them that "I decided to talk to you today about what it might mean for you
to be a different kind of lawyer." But different how? After four paragraphs on what she didn't mean, she laid it out.
"So what then, does it mean to be a different kind of lawyer? The implications of our Catholic mission for your legal education are many, and don’t worry—I’m not going to explore them all in this short speech. I’m just going to identify one way in which I hope that you,
Read 8 tweets
Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
21 Apr 20
I think Kaus is going at this story entirely backwards. IMAO, the key to understanding this is not 'Find out who the individuals @realDonaldTrump was talking with in January and February', it's looking at how people in general think about new and strange situations.
In Heinlein's novel THE PUPPET MASTERS, the head of an intelligence agency is described thusly:

“The Old Man had cracked the case, analyzed it, and come up with the right answer in a little more than twenty-four hours. His unique gift was the ability to reason logically with
unfamiliar, hard-to-believe facts as easily as with the commonplace. Not much, eh? I have never met anyone else who could do it wholeheartedly. Most minds stall dead when faced with facts which conflict with basic beliefs; ‘I-just-can’t-believe-it’ is all one word to highbrows
Read 24 tweets
Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
20 Apr 20
#Correction: on 1-30, Sen. Cotton called for a shutdown of commercial air travel WITH CHINA. The next day, @realDonaldTrump shut it down.

As for the "Manhattan Project" for a vaccine, that is just a magic incantation by people who have no idea what the MP was and did.
Radioactivity was discovered in 1896. After thirty three years of world-wide research, a discovery was made that pointed to way to create nuclear power. That was fission, discovered by and Lise Meitner. After almost three years of dithering, FDR ordered the Manhattan Project.
And "dithering" is not a knock on FDR; the dithering was by scientists, who were afraid the bomb could be made, and didn't want it to be. Roosevelt's willingness to gamble on a project that might not work shows what a real leader does. I'm in awe of that decision.
Read 8 tweets
Stephen St. Onge Profile picture
20 Apr 20
Well isn't that special! There are Americans at @WHO! And they communicated "real-time information" to the the U.S. Specifically, they said about #CommieVirus-19 that . . . well, somehow, there isn't a word about the information passed.

Of course, there are a few thing we know.
We know that #RedChina first detected the cases in November. We know that on Dec. 5th they had a case indicating human-to-human transmission. We know that by Dec. 25th medical staff in two hospitals seemed to be coming down with the disease, that on the 30th Dr. Li Wenliang
was warning fellow physicians to take precautions against a disease that spread human-to-human like SARS, and that on Dec. 31st, #China finally contacted @WHO—and lied to that organization, saying there was no evidence of human-to-human transmission.

We know the #Chinese cops
Read 22 tweets

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