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THIS year, keep VA Blue in ‘21: secure.actblue.com/donate/vablue21

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More from @charles_gaba

1 Aug
This pie chart also helps explain the rise of Trumpism, xenophobia, White Supremacy and so forth nationally: White people will no longer be the majority of the population within a decade or two and many of them aren’t taking it well, to put it mildly.
By 2027, less than 50% of all minors will be White. By 2045 less than 50% of the total U.S. population will be.

They’ll still be the largest PLURALITY for decades more to come, but they’re freaking out about it.
When one group systematically treats other groups like shit for hundreds of years they assume that the other groups would do the same in return if their positions were reversed. I’m pretty sure most BIPOC don’t want revenge, they just want White folks to stop being assholes.
Read 4 tweets
1 Aug
My wife and I decided to start watching “Farscape” on Amazon Prime this evening. I had heard of the show but knew absolutely nothing about it other than it being some sort of sci-fi series. I vaguely remembered the promos making it seem a little like Babylon 5 or similar. 1/
Anyway, the pilot episode started off pretty cheesy, but about halfway through I commented to my wife that some of the alien characters reminded me a lot of The Dark Crystal characters…they seemed very “Jim Henson-like”. 2/
Then, near the end of the pilot when it became clear that the premise was a half-dozen assorted alien species including one human dude, mostly escaped prisoners, thrown together and on the run from the authorities I commented that it felt vaguely Guardians of the Galaxy-ish. 3/
Read 8 tweets
31 Jul
⚠️ UPDATED/CORRECTED w/explanation: Has the GOP's sudden vaccination 180º lit a fire under the asses of BLUE counties? Well...maybe:
acasignups.net/21/07/31/has-g…
Last night I posted a new analysis which drew a pretty eye-opening conclusion. Just moments after doing so I realized that I had made two major screw-ups in my methodology: One on timing (I should've waited a few more weeks), the other on...well, read to the end to find out.
I immediately pulled the piece, deleted the tweet link and issued an apology until I could straighten out my mistakes and explain the correction this morning. Kicking myself on both counts, but it should serve as a teachable moment about being careful with data analysis.
Read 4 tweets
30 Jul
Since July 1st, new COVID cases are running 50% higher per capita in red counties & deaths are running 62% higher per capita in red counties.

Due to them not releasing county-level data:
--Case rates don't include Nebraska;
--Death rates don't include Nebraska *or Florida*. Image
Nebraska stopped releasing county-level data as of June 30th (at least they announced it publicly).

Florida stopped releasing county-level *death* data around the same time...seemingly without any announcement. They just sort of...stopped doing so.
If anyone has current COUNTY-level case/death data for Nebraska *or* COUNTY-level death data for Florida, please let me know!

Some individual county websites have this info but most likely don't, and it'd be a painstaking process to track it all down even if they did.
Read 4 tweets
30 Jul
Thanks, Congressman. I should note that I've also run the county-level vaccination rates via several non-political metrics...NONE of which has nearly as high a correlation as who people voted for in the 2020 Presidential election: 1/
I plugged in median household income levels (as of 2019) and education levels (% of adults w/a bachelor's degree or higher, 2015 - 2019). Yes, there's a correlation between each...but neither one is as strong as "% of 2020 vote for Donald Trump": 2/
acasignups.net/21/07/29/vacci…
I also plugged in every county's *population density* as well as their *urban/rural* status...and, surprisingly to me, found a very WEAK correlation: 3/ acasignups.net/21/07/28/how-m…
Read 5 tweets
29 Jul
Attended the public comment portion of my local school board meeting to argue for a mask mandate (for all) and a vaccine mandate (for adults/students 12+). Observations of those who spoke: 1/
Out of around 2 dozen or so who commented, around 20 were women, vs only 4 men (including myself). I was pleased to note that it was around 3:1 in favor of a mask mandate (I’m the only one who called for a vaccination mandate as well).
Of those opposed to a mandate, around 4-5 seemed like your standard “Karen types” but at least they seemed somewhat rational. The exception was one Q-Anon-ish woman who ranted about the evils of vaccines and claimed there’s “tons of evidence” that “masks don’t work”.
Read 4 tweets

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