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1 Aug, 6 tweets, 2 min read
The US reported +429 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 629,074. The 7-day moving average rose to 320 deaths per day.
The US had +101,098 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday, the highest number since February 12, bringing the total to nearly 35.7 million. The 7-day moving average rose to 76,995 new cases per day.
New hospital admissions in the US due to COVID-19 rose +44.4% from a week ago, to their highest level since February 17.
27 US states had over 1,000 new cases yesterday. Florida led that pack with over 17,000 new cases (and topped that with over 21,000 today. It was followed by Texas with over 13,000 new cases.
Given the record-setting number out of Florida today, I will wait a few hours before continuing with the state by state breakdown.
In the meantime, here is the latest map from nytimes.com showing where COVID-19 has been spreading most rapidly in the US, over the past week.

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Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
2 Aug
Ray Dalio is saying Beijing's recent crackdown on private enterprises is nothing to be concerned about, and that anyone who says otherwise is "not close to what's happening". But I've heard Chinese fund managers, in China, say the exact opposite. linkedin.com/pulse/understa…
It's amazing when you read this, and Dalio rationalizing all these recent political interventions in markets as just a different form of "capitalism". It represents a fundamental misunderstanding of what made China's economic development over the past 40 years possible.
I suppose Dalio would say I'm "confused" because I'm "not close to what's happening". Presumably because, while I've spent the past 35 years traveling to China, and lived there for a decade, I don't have Xi Jinping on speed dial.
Read 5 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
2 Aug
This is why you've been hearing news about a renewed shutdown in Australia:
Only 24.1% of Australia's population is vaccinated so far.
Australia is vaccinating an average of 168,000 people per day, and steadily rising.
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
2 Aug
Japan has been having record numbers of new COVID cases this past week.
So far, at least, this has not translated into a rise in deaths in Japan.
Only 1/3 of Japan's population is vaccinated so far.
Read 5 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
1 Aug
About 1/2 of Americans have the vaccine. Without it, I don't think we'd have 2x the cases and hospitalizations we have now. I think you could square it.
I don't think this is literally true (100,000 x 100,000 = 10 billion) but you get the idea. The effect would be exponential.
And of course, with hospitalizations, you reach a cap. Then it's just "good luck". (We reached that in New York last spring. If you didn't need a ventilator, they sent you home).
Read 5 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
1 Aug
The US reported +241 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 629,315. A great many states is not report. The 7-day moving average rose slightly to 321 deaths per day.
The US reported +51,898 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday, bringing the total to over 35.7 million. As mentioned, many states did not report. The 7-day moving average rose to 74,986 new cases per day, its highest level since February 17.
The big news yesterday, of course, was Florida, which reported 21,683 new cases, a new record.
Read 14 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
1 Aug
1. What did I do today? I flew a helicopter for the first time in my life. Not in a sim, in the real world.
2. Now I’m going to preface this thread by recognizing that undertaking any serious helicopter training while learning to fly an airplane is not a good idea. It’s too easy to transfer habits and instincts from one to the other than can get you in a world of hurt.
3. But in this case, I saw it as just a short mental break, a chance to expose myself to something new and appreciate the huge differences between two ways of flying.
Read 18 tweets

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