The US reported +241 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 629,315. A great many states is not report. The 7-day moving average rose slightly to 321 deaths per day.
The US reported +51,898 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday, bringing the total to over 35.7 million. As mentioned, many states did not report. The 7-day moving average rose to 74,986 new cases per day, its highest level since February 17.
The big news yesterday, of course, was Florida, which reported 21,683 new cases, a new record.
New hospital admissions in Florida due to COVID-19 are up a further +50.7% from a week ago, and are now well above the previous peak in January.
New hospital admissions in the US due to COVID-19 are up +34.4% from a week ago.
The latest map from nytimes.com shows where the spread of COVID-19 has been concentrated over the past week:
Here are the hardest-hit states in the US, in terms of new COVID hospital admissions on a per capita basis:
By comparison, here are the states with the highest vaccination rates and how they are doing:
Here are the hardest-hit counties in the US, in terms of new hospital admissions per capita:
And here are the US counties with the highest vaccination rates, by comparison.
The US administered 712,000 vaccine shots yesterday, bringing the total to 346 million, or 104.1 doses per 100 people. The 7-day moving average rose to 657,000 shots per day. At this rate, it will take another 7 month to reach 75% coverage of the population.
The number of Americans getting their first vaccine shot has rebounded slightly, but is still below the levels initially achieved in January, as the vaccination campaign was just ramping up.
With 54.0% of its population vaccinated, the US has now fallen behind China (57.8%), as well as the UK, France, Germany, Austria, Italy, Chile, Ireland, Spain, Israel, Bahrain, and UAE.
It's interesting that while many people tout Israel as a vaccination success story - and evidence that vaccines don't prevent the spread of COVID - in fact after soaring initially, Israel's campaign largely plateaued, with the vaccination rate now standing at 61.6%.
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Ray Dalio is saying Beijing's recent crackdown on private enterprises is nothing to be concerned about, and that anyone who says otherwise is "not close to what's happening". But I've heard Chinese fund managers, in China, say the exact opposite. linkedin.com/pulse/understa…
It's amazing when you read this, and Dalio rationalizing all these recent political interventions in markets as just a different form of "capitalism". It represents a fundamental misunderstanding of what made China's economic development over the past 40 years possible.
I suppose Dalio would say I'm "confused" because I'm "not close to what's happening". Presumably because, while I've spent the past 35 years traveling to China, and lived there for a decade, I don't have Xi Jinping on speed dial.
About 1/2 of Americans have the vaccine. Without it, I don't think we'd have 2x the cases and hospitalizations we have now. I think you could square it.
I don't think this is literally true (100,000 x 100,000 = 10 billion) but you get the idea. The effect would be exponential.
And of course, with hospitalizations, you reach a cap. Then it's just "good luck". (We reached that in New York last spring. If you didn't need a ventilator, they sent you home).
1. What did I do today? I flew a helicopter for the first time in my life. Not in a sim, in the real world.
2. Now I’m going to preface this thread by recognizing that undertaking any serious helicopter training while learning to fly an airplane is not a good idea. It’s too easy to transfer habits and instincts from one to the other than can get you in a world of hurt.
3. But in this case, I saw it as just a short mental break, a chance to expose myself to something new and appreciate the huge differences between two ways of flying.
The US reported +429 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 629,074. The 7-day moving average rose to 320 deaths per day.
The US had +101,098 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday, the highest number since February 12, bringing the total to nearly 35.7 million. The 7-day moving average rose to 76,995 new cases per day.
New hospital admissions in the US due to COVID-19 rose +44.4% from a week ago, to their highest level since February 17.