Between 2019 and 2020 SA relative GDP per capita when compared to the world average dropped by the biggest margin since 1994. South Africans now have just under 71% of the income that average person living in the world updated data show.
Yes, this is a train smash. South Africans are now firmly in the poor half as the GDP per capita ranking is now 107th out of 191 available with recent data. We are firmly on the way to the bottom third. Just another sad story....
Even if we grow again it will take decades to get back to the world average. World average per capita income grew by 68% since 1990 and SA did increase by 11%. Emerging markets grew far quicker.
If we do the same as we did in the last 30 years, our country will not be inside the top 125 countries on the planet. Sri Lanka has already overtaken SA. India should by 2035 and Bangladesh by 2040 or so.
In effect, South Africans are now in the poorest 40% of the World population. By 2040 it seems like the poorest 20%. We are now poorer than Mongolians but richer than the person from Fiji.
An interesting fact is that Peru fell harder than SA due to Covid as Fiji. Those 2 countries along with Indonesia should surpass our income per capita this year or next year. Vietnam grew and will surpass SA income within this decade still.
Another fact is that as the world population grows at about 1% and the SA population grows at around 1,5%. If the SA economy grew by 6% and the world continues by 4% then it will take SA 25 years to catch up to the world average.
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South Africa's default answer to underlying problems like unemployment, poverty and inequality has been for government to spend more. Sounds good hey? Well in this time unemployment has increase, poverty has increased and inequality is higher than at the end of Apartheid. Why?
Money is never going to be enough if so few work and can pay taxes for the many on grants. Also, the government believes that government can fix everything but does not work hard itself. when you have the 7th high company tax burden to GDP in the world, you chase jobs away
SA also already has the 10th highest personal income tax burden in the world. Then we also have every higher wealth taxes and the threat of taking property away. No one in their right mind is investing here without government guarantees which they cannot provide outside the few.
Did some research for you. 100 000 tons of mined gold in 1966 did not exist! The amount in dollars is near 2000 times SA GDP so if it did get and was spent SA GDP would have increased 200000%! It is more money than the 500 richest people on earth combined! 1
As of 2019, there was 197 000 tons of gold. 34 000 tons are in central bank vaults and 43 000 in verifiable investment holdings. 93 000 tons in Jewellery, So the gold even if deposited now would have been noticeable. All the world's jewellery cannot make up the 100 000 deposit. 2
$600 trillion in the SA banking system would be more than the total value of SA banks - in fact, the whole stock exchange. It would have been far more than the World economy the total amount in the world banking system or the total value of all the worlds stock markets 3
Expected future Headlines.
The city wishes to thank all the drug lords for donating money to unemployed waiters, Uber drivers, chefs.
In an unexpected gesture, all three major drug cartels donated part of their proceeds to hungry unemployed hotel, restaurant and travel staff. 1
One drug lord even stated they expected nothing but goodwill back from these donations.
Police, however, are not convinced that this is a purely humanitarian gesture as they expect tourism and leisure staff to help drug dealers avoid law enforcement. 2
However, the Mayor said any help to starving tourism & leisure staff is welcomed as the state had no money to pay business or staff and so drug money is the only money available. (Now referred to as home-made pharmaceuticals) 3
Almost all people comply with C19 regulations. On social media, however, posts scream that people are not masking or social distancing. This pandemic has not been stopped, other than on islands, even with harsh lockdowns. It is a disease & no ones fault & snitches don't stop it 1
In fact, snitches make it worse as you are controlled by fear and that fear is a disease by itself. I don't even blame snitches as the Covid19 was mention in 46% of the time in all New York Times articles this year. This is a higher incidence than in either World War! 2
Similar shares in many other mainstream media and nevermind Social Media. But the biggest fear is fear itself. If this fear results in a righteous rise of sin spotting eyes, madmen will feed on this fear & lies. They will beat and kill those judged. 3
Countries that have started vaccines or will today.
1.Argentina
2.Bahrain
3.Belgium
4.Canada
5.Chile
6.China
7.Costa Rica
8.Croatia
9.Cyprus
10.Czech Republic
11.Denmark
12.Estonia
13.Finland
14.France
15.Germany
16.Greece
17.Hungary
18.Israel
19.Italy
20.Kuwait
21.Lithuania
22.Malta
23.Mexico
24.Oman
25.Poland
26.Portugal
27.Qatar
28.Romania
29.Russia
30.Saudi Arabia
31.Serbia
32.Slovakia
33.Spain
34.Switzerland
35.The United Arab Emirates
36.United Kingdom
37.United States of America
The following should start next week/ 1st week of January.
1 Brazil 2. Bulgaria 3. India 4. Ireland 5. Latvia 6. Peru 7. Sweden.
Announcements expected soon are Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Fiji, Croatia, Tunisia, Turkey, etc.
Over 4 million vaccine shots have been administrated by yesterday across 20 odd countries (probably more as not all countries have reported yet.) from Costa Rica to USA. By next week another 20 or so join the effort from Argentina to India to Slovakia. Wonder where SA is?
Maybe we hear more tonight. It looks like about 40 countries will have vaccines rolling out by mid-January. US and China already surpassed 1 million jabs each this weekend. Russia at 700k UK 800K.
See many poor countries getting plans together too. IS SA able to do this without too many hands having to be washed?