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Seth Frantzman Profile picture
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2 Aug, 5 tweets, 2 min read
Iran has been working for years on developing a kind of instant air force with large numbers of capable and complex drones. What's interesting is the design and some origins and tactics too
You can read extensively in Iran's own media about its drone army...#DroneWars
tasnimnews.com/fa/news/1399/0…
What is particularly interesting is that while Iran seems to have borrowed some designs from the Sentinel, in terms of use and tactics it appears to have actually tried to copy the Harop; see the video Itay links at top and this; compare;
What you get is an Iranian drone program that sought to take and reverse engineer or use as models both Israeli and US drones...and also build on the legacy of Iranian drones from the 1980s and 1990s...and then ADD capabilities it had seen around the region.
At the same time you see recent years Iranian export of drone technology to the Houthis (since 2016), and Hamas (recent use of new drones in May 2021) and Hezbollah, Iraqi militias, and of course to Syria;

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More from @sfrantzman

Seth Frantzman Profile picture
18 Aug
The real question, as large amount of the Jerusalem forest have been burned, is whether Israel will ever replant this forest, or instead now put "local" plants...meaning basically leaving it barren and no more forest in the future.
I'm cynical. I think that reforestation was a key aspect of Zionist activism and then Israel's policies in the last century...these things take 100 years to show affects...and when burned...new policies may change or be slow or incompetent.
My sense is that in general due to "experts" or environmental or other reasons, that there is a shift to not doing reforestation, especially with "non-native species" of trees....now there are native trees, but I wonder if they are being planted in mass. My sense is no.
Read 9 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
17 Aug
I almost want to create a thread on #TalibanDiplomacy where I post all the interesting tid bits that point to widespread and rapid recognition that Taliban seem to be aiming for from 🇶🇦 🇨🇳 🇷🇺 🇮🇷 🇵🇰 🇹🇷 but also messaging from 🇦🇪 even to 🇮🇳 and 🇺🇸 and I’m assuming many many more
Not sure the extent but Iran is very keen on seeing how this plays out, route to China and want US out and stability but Iran media is pressing for diversity snd regionalism
Now see how they are messaging ☮️…
Read 23 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
17 Aug
Whatever happened to those two Iranian ships that sailed half way around the world and then to Russia?
Remember and the Sahand
There was this theory
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
16 Aug
It took decades to reforest these hills, generally after these fires Israel doesn’t bother to replant so eventually most of the hills of Jerusalem won’t have forests. It was nice seeing them while they existed. Symbolic overall of the neglect and impunity
I say this from having observed fires over the last 16 years around Jerusalem, such as near Meveseret, near Mevo Modi’in, Even Sapir and others. In my experience not enough was done after to rehabilitate. I’m sure some will claim that something was done. I just see it everyday
Am I cynical!? Yes. Because I see how fires ravage Greece and Turkey. And I remember the Carmel fire. The forests here are fragile and often seem a bit mismanaged tbh
Read 5 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
12 Aug
Fascism always begins by targeting one group and then another. First they came for journalists, dissidents, liberals, minorities like Kurds, LGBT, they targeted Armenia and ethnically cleansed Afrin…they push antisemitism…and now they reportedly attack Syrians.
Anyone who has watched the far-right drowning Turkey in propaganda for years with stories of mythical “terrorists” and leading to purges snd mass prisons and harassment of free thinkers knows what has happened
Also the state controlled media that means most of Turkish media is run by one party means there is no check or balance
Read 7 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
10 Aug
One of the things that will be interesting as US leaves Afghanistan is the US doesn't have to have the charade of working with one country that supports the Taliban while also sending soldiers to fight the Taliban....
It's strange how in US history this pattern has repeated itself so many times where the US works with countries that openly hate the US, openly seek to undermine US interests and the US role in neighboring areas...
It has happened so often that one wonders if it's like a built-in flaw in the system; the same thing happened with US policy in Syria, where the US was doing one thing in Syria via CENTCOM and other US officials were working with Ankara to do the opposite.
Read 16 tweets

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