MONDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: If you're a glass half-full kind of person, it's not all bad news. Sure, patient count is up... again... but cases, while going up, still aren't spiking

HOSPITALIZATIONS
covid+ ONLY

Today: 353 (up 26)
Last week: 291

#9News
CASES

Consistent increase over last 2 weeks.
BUT
Better than an arrow straight up
POSITIVITY

Actually nudged down... VERY SMALL amount tho

(but better than steep increase)
Want to walk you through how I tend to look at these with a "non-epi expert" eye...

(I'm sure there's a scientific term for this)

Look at the rate of increase over previous spikes (I've labeled a, b and c)

Look how rate of increase falls with each wave. This is a good sign
Now look at, for example, Louisiana

The rate of increase is VERY VERTICAL

(this is not great news)
What about our hospitalizations?

Again, in Colorado, each passing wave is getting less intense. That's good
Not so in Louisiana

BIG and SHARP vertical rise in hospitalizations too

(thanks @nytimes)
Basically, with every passing wave, Colorado is getting better at this

But that's not always the case in the US

Basically, I'd rather be Colo. right now
What's it all mean?

Watch the rate of increase too... Particularly with hospitalizations.

Slower rate of increase and lower peaks are good news.

I'll leave it up to the experts as to why this is happening.
As always

take care of yourselves.

and have a good rest of your week!

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More from @chrisvanderveen

4 Aug
WEDNESDAY #COVID19Colorado Update

Headline: (SIGH of relief). Hospitalizations dip.

HOSPITALIZATIONS
covid+ ONLY

today: 367 (down 16)
last week: 297

#9news Image
CASES

Probably being a little optimistic... but if you look closely you can see a tiny little plateau on the far right.

Yeah. It's early. And "one day don't a trend make"

But will be good to watch this is next few days Image
POSITIVITY

Look at this as well!

Slight plateau on far right?

(Good news is that fast increase has, at least for the time being, slowed) Image
Read 6 tweets
4 Aug
QUICK THREAD re: states & covid

Louisiana...

Note: Nearly identical CASE and HOSPITALIZATION rise continues

(thanks @nytimes) Image
Florida

Steeper HOSPITALIZATION curve Image
Alabama

Same deal Image
Read 8 tweets
3 Aug
DENVER

It's clear Denver is now seeing a steady increase in COVID cases

Nearing 100 in one-week incidence rate

The rise, at least right now, is a bit steeper than the state rise. We should watch that closely.

#COVID19Colorado Image
Also leading to increased hospitalizations.

Just starting to go up Image
Looks like the two main drivers...

20-29
and
30-39 Image
Read 5 tweets
3 Aug
Journalists (myself included) haven’t asked enough tough questions about forcing the previously infected to get vaccinated

Yes. I know. It’s recommended

But there’s clearly a level of protection & the assumption they’re massively contributing to spikes doesn’t seem to be true
To be clear…I’ll still follow the guidance that says previously infected are even better protected with one dose.

And I realize the logistics here wouldn’t be easy.

But I think it’s time we ask more questions.

Open to a (civil) discussion below.
I’m also wary of the numerous red herrings the anti-vax crowd has routinely thrown out.

Loads of people simply believed they had COVId, particularly early on. They’re now trying to suggest they’re good when they have no proof that they are.
Read 4 tweets
2 Aug
Ok.... round two of news conferences today

@GovofCO about to brief the media

Will update with pressing deets below

Yeah, I said, "deets"...

Sue me...

#COVID19Colorado
Ok... slight delay...

I blame @willswope1 for suggesting this one might actually start on time

womp womp
I feel like this now
Read 7 tweets
2 Aug
BREAKING -- @CityofDenver elects to forgo mask mandates.

BUT

chooses to mandate VACCINATIONS for city employees...

AND

high-risk occupations (first responders, home health, hospitals, nursing homes)

(BIG DEAL)

#COVID19Colorado
This is a VERY BIG step for city.

It's one thing to mandate vaccine for its own employees.

It's quite another for city to mandate it in private-sector (high risk jobs)
City is essentially saying this is the most effective way to slow spread

Basically admitting that mask mandate alone won't do it... this is a BIGGER step.
Read 5 tweets

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