The @IPCC_CH report will be released in the early AM tonight. I helped author it, and tomorrow I'll tweet about some of the findings re: #drought which was one of the things I worked on. In the meantime, it's worthwhile knowing a few things about the process 1/
IPCC authors like myself do not get paid! We volunteer. It's a three year commitment and it becomes a deep part of your life. Why do we do it? Because we care about making sure the world knows about what has happened and what will happen if we don't cut emissions. 2/
The text in the IPCC report went through two rounds of public peer review, during which time anyone (I mean anyone!) could read the draft and submit comments. The authors have to respond to *every* comment (there are thousands). #accountability 3/
The IPCC report doesn't have "new" data. Everything in the report is already published in the scientific literature. The report is an "assessment", which means it synthesizes what is out there and decides how well we understand what has happened/will happen 4/
As you'll see tomorrow, the report has a lot of parts. Let's break them down. The meat of the report is made up of 12 chapters and an Atlas. Each chapter has a dozen or so main authors and a list of contributing authors. Let me explain the authorship thing... 5/
The Coordinating Lead Authors (listed first) do what their name implies, they coordinate the production of the chapter, take on a lot of extra admin-style work, and are ultimately responsible for meeting deadlines 6/
The Lead Authors (like me) do a lot of the writing and figure making. In some cases we are responsible for entire subsections within the chapter. We get help though from the Contributing Authors, who we might ask to draft up a paragraph or two about a specific topic 7/
Contributing Authors are not officially part of the IPCC process (drafting, reviewing, etc) but are folks in the community who are specialists and helped by contributing some text or sometimes a figure 8/
Back to the "parts". One step up from the full report is the Technical Summary, which is what it sounds like, a detailed summary of the full report. 9/
Two steps up from the full report is the Summary for Policymakers, which is probably what you will read tomorrow. This is an even more concise summary, and it has to be approved by governments line by line, which is what has been happening in the last two weeks. 10/
So in order of shortest to longest, it goes Summary for Policymakers -> Technical Summary -> Full Report. Don't be afraid to read stuff in the full report! There is good stuff that for brevity didn't make it to the top docs! 11/
Finally, because people are asking about impacts and mitigation, know that the report released tomorrow is just the Working Group I (WGI) report, "The Physical Science Basis". Impacts and mitigation are in WGII and WGIII respectively which are coming out next year 12/
Hope that helps explain things some! Tomorrow there will be a lot of science to digest. fin/

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More from @leafwax

9 Aug
This has been the news recently, so let's go over what the @IPCC_CH has to say about whether the Gulf Stream will shut down in the coming decades. Short answer: it's not likely to happen. Long answer: keep reading 1/ washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
Chapter 9 has an *awesome* FAQ (shout out to @baylorfk ) about this which I encourage you to read. It starts by clarifying what exactly the Gulf Stream is, which is important 2/ Diagram of the Gulf Stream ...
The Gulf Stream is a warm current that flows off of the eastern United States. At these latitudes it is part of the subtropical gyre, which is driven by winds. These winds (trades, westerlies) are going to blow no matter what, so there will always be a Gulf Stream 3/
Read 12 tweets
9 Aug
The @IPCC_CH report is out, so let's talk about #drought. There are major advances in the report on this. In the last report (8 years ago) scientists weren't sure whether some of the bad droughts we were seeing were caused by humans. Things have changed. 1/
First, what is a #drought? It's complicated! You need low rainfall, but things that "remove" water from land (wind, temperature, evaporation) are also important. In Chapter 8 you'll find a diagram with all these factors. We tried to make it simple, but 🤣 2/ Diagram of drought drivers,...
Where has human influence made drought worse so far? Two hot spots are western North America and the Mediterranean. These places are labeled in the SPM with brown hexagons and double dots (more confidence in human influence) 3/ Areas of the world where hu...
Read 10 tweets
21 Feb
So, do you all know who the lead author is of that 42,000-yr climate event Science paper? It's this guy. nature.com/articles/d4158…
This totally fits with the energy of the paper, which makes unsupported claims about both the genetics and paleoclimate data. Here's a great thread about problems with the former
For the latter, all you have to do is have a quick look at some of the best climate records we have - ice cores (high latitude) and speleothems (tropics), to see that *nothing happens* at 42,000 years.
Read 6 tweets
12 Feb
It's #FigureFriday, so let's chat about my favorite subject: color palettes 🎨 for climate science visualization! (1/12)
First, why is it important? Put simply: a beautiful figure can communicate your results more effectively than text. It can make a figure more understandable to a public audience. So it is worth it to put care into your figure design. (2/12)
First, if you're plotting up climate model data, especially anomalies, I highly recommend Cynthia Brewer's palettes on ColorBrewer. BrBG is my go-to for precip anomalies, and RdBu is a natural for temperature. (3/12) colorbrewer2.org/#type=divergin…
Read 12 tweets
5 Nov 20
The timing could be better 🥺 but our major review paper on past climates has just dropped in @ScienceMagazine. In this review, we argue that past climate climates are key to predicting the future 🗝️ science.sciencemag.org/content/370/65…
Our future climate trajectory is still unknown, but it's going to be toasty: comparable to many of the warm climates of the past 100 million years.
Earth history tells us what the climate system does under higher carbon dioxide. Not only should we study it more, but we should use paleoclimates in model evaluation. For example, to test whether the high ECS in some of the new climate models is legit. 🧐
Read 7 tweets
26 Aug 20
Our paper on Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) cooling and climate sensitivity is out today in @nature! This represents four years of work, so it feels really good to see it released. Here's a short thread on what it means... nature.com/articles/s4158…
First we compile almost 2,000 geological measurements of sea-surface temperature, which believe me took some time! Then, we ran new simulations of the LGM with the @NCAR_Science CESM model, and used data assimilation to combine the info. This gives us global maps of temperature! Image
This new analysis suggests that globally, the LGM was 6C (11F) colder than preindustrial times. This is a little colder some previous estimates but agrees well w/ others Image
Read 6 tweets

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