Thread by @JakeSherman

Good morning. A deeply reported @PunchbowlNews AM this morning about the governing climate

We spent the day talking to members of Congress and aides about the debt limit — and we believe it’s going to be a big issue.

Let me explain.

@PunchbowlNews The W.H. and Senate Dems had an easily and straighforward path: lift the debt limit as part of the reconciliation bill. In a 3.5T bill, i dont believe ppl would’ve voted no if a debt limit hike was in there.

Dems did the opposite. they want to lift debt limit as part of regular order — most likely a stop-gap funding bill that will come due at the end of september.

McConnell says no way no how will any Republicans vote for it. His view is if you think you can pick off my members, try

The W.H. and Dems are making the argument that this should be shared responsibility. Some in the WH believe that they can indeed pick off 10 Rs on a government funding bill w debt limit. i think that’s a miscalcualtion — at least sitting here today on Aug. 10.

this is a similar hand that @BarackObama played in 2011 — saying he wont negotiate around debt ceiling. but this is a different GOP.

@BarackObama Maybe Dems think they can attach this to infrastructure when it comes out of the house in a few months, but i think that’s a very risky play as well.

Dems could go back and am,end the budget, but if they plan to do that, why not include it at the outset?

@BarackObama Anyhow — Sept., Oct., Nov., will be a mess

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