>@PunchbowlNews AM

MESSTEMBER

September is shaping up to be a historic mess on Capitol Hill, with critical deadlines piling up, the Biden agenda waiting to be completed.
@PunchbowlNews GROWING POSSIBILITY of a concurrent fight over govt funding and the debt limit. Both parties are talking past each other right now, which makes it feel like a replay of the 2011 debt crisis.
@PunchbowlNews That episode resulted in the first-ever downgrading of the U.S. credit rating. This time, a possible government shutdown is thrown in for good measure. This is Fiscal Cliff-like (Remember 2012-2013?).
@PunchbowlNews Biden, Pelosi and Schumer seem to think McConnell and Rs will blink on the debt limit, but they dont seem to be interested in that in any way shape or form
@PunchbowlNews DEADLINES, DEADLINES, DEADLINES.

→ Sept. 6: Enhanced federal unemployment benefits approved under the American Rescue Plan expire. A number of GOP-run states have already begun to withhold them.
@PunchbowlNews → Sept. 11: This is the 20th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks Biden initially ordered an end to the U.S. combat mission in Afghanistan by this date, but the deadline was moved
up to Aug. 31.
@PunchbowlNews → Sept. 15: House and Senate committees must finish drafting their portions of the Democrats’ big reconciliation bill. This is going to be particularly difficult to do if there’s a debt limit-government funding crisis.
@PunchbowlNews → Sept. 30: Govt funding runs out. Remember all the possible options here: a yearlong omnibus (not very likely), a minibus (also not very likely) and then continuing resolutions of various lengths. A CR, though, would keep Trump-era spending intact, which is not what Ds want.
@PunchbowlNews → Sept. 30: Surface transportation program authorization expires.

→ Sept. 30: National flood insurance program authorization expires.

→ Oct. 3: Latest federal eviction moratorium expires, if a federal court doesn’t strike it down first.

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More from @JakeSherman

10 Aug
Good morning. A deeply reported @PunchbowlNews AM this morning about the governing climate

We spent the day talking to members of Congress and aides about the debt limit — and we believe it’s going to be a big issue.

Let me explain.
@PunchbowlNews The W.H. and Senate Dems had an easily and straighforward path: lift the debt limit as part of the reconciliation bill. In a 3.5T bill, i dont believe ppl would’ve voted no if a debt limit hike was in there.
Dems did the opposite. they want to lift debt limit as part of regular order — most likely a stop-gap funding bill that will come due at the end of september.

McConnell says no way no how will any Republicans vote for it. His view is if you think you can pick off my members, try
Read 7 tweets
3 Aug
G’morning. In @PunchbowlNews AM: "Democrats are in an eviction jam”

@CoriBush, @AOC and co — from the east front of the Capitol — show that Dem leadership and the White House have a big problem on their hands when it comes to the eviction moratorium.
@PunchbowlNews @CoriBush @AOC Bush and AOC have refused to back down. But House/Senate Dem leadership say they can’t pass it. And the White House says it doesn’t have a way to extend the moratorium unilaterally.
What we are seeing here is a fascinating exercise of outside political power. Bush, AOC, Gomez, etc have drawn media attn, and therefore attn of the leadership and WH.

W the margins that Dems have, this is critical to pay attn to.
Read 5 tweets
30 Jul
Good morning from the Capitol — a few quick nuggets from @PunchbowlNews AM this morning

House is getting into the action. Rules meeting now, as @SpeakerPelosi tries to deliver on @JoeBiden’s late request to extend eviction moratorium until Dec. 31.
@PunchbowlNews @SpeakerPelosi @JoeBiden Lots of Dems furious at the late request. we have NO IDEA whether this bill will pass the House and its a long shot for the Senate.
@PunchbowlNews @SpeakerPelosi @JoeBiden 2) Senate in. Procedural vote at 11:30a — no reason it shouldn’t pass. There were some problems on broadband language yesterday, but that seems to have cleared up
Read 5 tweets
29 Jul
In @PunchbowlNews this AM: “They did it. How, and what's next.”

Give them credit. The G10 -- the bipartisan infrastructure group of 10 senators -- and the White House got an infrastructure proposal locked down on Wednesday.
@PunchbowlNews And then they got a large majority to vote to advance it on the Senate floor. Final passage could come at some point next week, a potentially huge breakthrough after weeks of intense negotiations that almost fell apart several times.
@PunchbowlNews How did this happen?

@JoeBiden wanted it. Biden and @SenCapito weren’t able to get there, but when a president leans in and empowers competent and focused staff, things happen.
Read 16 tweets
28 Jul
GOP yesses so far

blunt
burr
capito
cassidy
collins
crapo
graham
mcconnell
murkowski
portman
risch
romney
tillis
young
add Grassley here
Thune a no! that’s interesting. Split with McConnell
Read 5 tweets
21 Jul
Happy Wednesday. @PunchbowlNews this AM: "☀️ 🚨McConnell dishes to us about the debt limit”

Big news this AM. @LeaderMcConnell
spoke to @bresreports
last night about the debt limit.

A quick 🧵 on this…
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderMcConnell @bresreports “I can’t imagine there will be a single Republican voting to raise the debt ceiling after what we’ve been experiencing,” @LeaderMcConnell told us
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderMcConnell @bresreports “I can’t imagine a single Republican in this environment that we’re in now -- this free-for-all for taxes and spending -- to vote to raise the debt limit,” McConnell said. “I think the answer is they need to put it in the reconciliation bill.”
Read 4 tweets

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