After 20 years of “tiresome” Afghan war, the US is set to end its mission in a matter of days. But despite the reported 300,000 Afghan army and police trained by the Int’l Community, the Taliban are on the verge of taking over most of the country. What is the lesson for Somalia?
The Africa Union Mission has been in Somalia since March 2007. AMISOM numbers just under 20,000, and is now looking for a way out. AU experts recently proposed a hybrid mission of the AU & UN after 2021, with a mix of police (50%), military personnel (35%) and civilians (15%).
The Somali forces are set to take the lead in security responsibilities after 2021, but are they ready? Security officials say they are, but officials want the AU to align its operations with Somali-led transitional plan including readying mobile forces and not just sit in bases.
In terms of numbers, SNA was to number at least 18,000 strong forces excluding special forces and airforce, per 2017 security architecture; plus 32,000 federal & state police including coastguard and Darawish, and additional 500 Danab forces in each of the 8 SNA sectors.
The 2017 security architecture was devised by the federal govt & federal member states - policy & strategy for national security council; implementation for regional security council. Relations at federal & regional level were stagnant since 2018. Will it change after elections?
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