(1 of 6) Quick #silversqueeze thread on MONUMENTAL SHIFTS quietly unfolding now
The 4 largest paper #silver traders by net position (bullion banks) saw their shorts CRATER from 31.8% of open interest, down to 22.3%
This is the largest weekly drop EVER (by far)
continued >>
(2 of 6) For context, the green area is the size of the move which occurred this past week. Shifts of this scale have happened a few times before, but they have ALWAYS taken 6-12+ weeks to unfold
This vaporization of bullion bank shorts happened in 5 trading days
continued >>
(3 of 6) Both total OI & # of traders ticked UP last week, reversing a downtrend in place since peak #silversqueeze levels just before the mid-June massacre
Therefore this was not some mass exodus from #silver, rather a tectonic shift of concentrated positions
continued >>
(4 of 6) If OI ticking up, and one (or more) of the top bullion banks is executing a mad dash to eliminate their #silver shorts, who was writing new contracts and soaking up the short positions?
For the most part, it was the hedgies. Chasing momentum? Sour bears?
continued >>
(5 of 6) So which whale(s) is(are) dumping/closing their #silver shorts?
- A third of the top 4
- Roughly a quarter of the top 8
Remind you of any distribution curves from the metals trading/manipulator leader boards?
continued >>
(6 of 6) This LARGEST 1-wk elimination of concentrated #silver shorts in history does not look like a broader, orderly move by bullion banks.
This looks much more like one bank deciding to rush & be first to move, à la "Close all the shorts. Today" style.
(1 of 13) #silversqueeze chess being played by China et. al., while the West dumbly playing checkers
SHFE/SGE #silver trading at $3-5 USD/oz. premium over Western markets, this is intentional and won't be simply arbed out
Here's a quick thread on the exploit:
(2 of 13) By allowing & supporting #silver prices $3, $4, even $5/oz higher in Chinese markets, creates an arbitrage opportunity: traders will buy silver on Western markets, to sell into Chinese markets. This type of arb trade usually balances out global prices
(3 of 13) Due to differences on market structure, this results in the flow of REAL (physical) silver to China, in exchange for CNY:
For example, SGE is a 'full amount' trading market -- you MUST have the metals you're selling physically there on deposit, no paper 'IOUs'
(1 of 25) Thread: CBDC rollout will blast #gold & #silver into once-in-a-generation "moonshot" (e.g. $250/oz++ silver in today's purchasing power). #silversqueeze is great, but is a stratospheric trajectory; CBDCs result in a lunar orbit (only if positioned properly), here's why:
(2 of 25) I'm not saying #gold & #silver can't (or won't) shine BEFORE dUSD (digital/CBDC US Dollars) arrive, NOR that anyone should wait to get their hands on physical metals. And I'm also talking about REAL, physical metals here, not that rehypothecated paper stuff. On we go:
(3 of 25) dUSD will be introduced to us as a 'parallel' system, meaning both USD and dUSD will both be considered legal tender. It will start off with a fixed peg, and for this thread we will assume that will be 1:1 dUSD:USD. Essentially, dUSD/USD will be interchangeable at first
(1) #silversqueeze is draining the physical silver market, & past several months have seen a relentless upward trend reflected in paper #silver prices, as the system begins deleveraging. Here is a thread on the monthly cycles observed since this began & what it may mean for June.
(2) We begin w/the hourly chart, starting from end of MAR, after banks cleaned up all the crazy WSB YOLO bets and took their money. The systemic silver shortages from #silversqueeze had now started seeping into every corner of the physical market, the paper deleveraging had begun
(3) We correct for the overall #silversqueeze effect by skewing the chart, negating the upward pressure from the system deleveraging, as physical metal enters private hands and 50+ paper copies of each ounce vaporizes for each ounce exiting the system.
Perth Mint leases (borrows) the titles of classic cars stored in other people's private, secured garages. The mint has no access to the cars themselves, only borrowing the titles.
(2) Perth Mint then gets unsecured loans from plebeians for those leased titles, telling clients they are investing in a pool of classic cars, & those loans are "backed" by classic cars stored at the mint's garages. Clients can even be repaid by taking delivery on a classic car.
(3) As part of their normal operating business, Perth Mint even has a few classic cars in THEIR garage, ones they have purchased outright. This is the "showroom" to convince everyone how all that unallocated is backed by real classic cars and that delivery is indeed possible.