No one updated their numbers, so I'll just do the full weekend report on yesterday's numbers.
There are currently 126 known, active cases in the region.
The test positivity rate in the region was 0.3%
There are currently 9 known, active cases in PEI, but no known outbreaks/community transmission, and no one is in hospital.
The test positivity rate in PEI was 0.66%
There are 7 known, active cases in NL, no evidence of community transmission, and 2 people in hospital (crew members from passing ships).
NL's test positivity rates this week was 0.34%
There are 84 known, active cases in NB.
There is a small outbreak in the Moncton area that has started seeding cases in neighbouring health regions.
No one is in hospital presently.
NB's test positivity rate this week was 0.98%. Noticeable testing spike recently.
NS currently has 26 known, active cases.
There is no evidence of community transmission.
One person is in hospital (in ICU).
They were unvaccinated. Get. Your. Shots.
NS' test positivity rate this week was 0.1%
You can see the entire pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region and surrounding area in the animation.
Each tick is a week since the start of the pandemic in March of last year.
Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics:
1st graph shows how many days since each province had enough doses to cover current usage.
Graphs 2-4 show vaccination speed: percent of the population age 12+ receiving 1st dose (graph 2), 2nd dose (graph 3), or either (total output, graph 4) daily.
Animation shows provinces' vaccination pace as a percent of the pace they need to each 80% 2nd dose coverage by the end of August (based on how many they have already vaccinated and how much time is left).
Provinces with lower single dose coverage are penalized proportionately.
Graph shows actual first (blue) and 2nd dose (red) coverage compared to a charitable maximum (green) that accounts for 2nd doses and gives a 5-day grace period on deliveries.
Provinces are sorted from smallest (good) to largest (bad) gap between actual/potential coverage.
These graphs show current 1st and 2nd dose coverage among the eligible population (age 12+)
Nightly quick look at how the rest of the country is doing.
That's it for tonight's update.
Take care of one another and have a great rest of the night!
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For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.
And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.