Running backs I was higher on than consensus in 2020 who finished higher than consensus

David Johnson
Chris Carson
David Montgomery
Jonathan Taylor
D'Andre Swift
Antonio Gibson

#football #NFLTwitter #nfl #FantasyFootball #fantasyfootballadvice
Running backs I was lower on than consensus in 2020 who finished lower than consensus

Christian McCaffrey
Saquon Barkley
Joe Mixon
Austin Ekeler
Kenyan Drake
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Running backs I was higher on than consensus in 2020 who finished lower than consensus

Ezekiel Elliott
Miles Sanders
Todd Gurley
James White
Mark Ingram
Cam Akers
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
Jordan Howard
Running backs I was lower than consensus on in 2020 who finished higher than consensus.

Derrick Henry
Josh Jacobs
Aaron Jones
Melvin Gordon
What does this all mean?

My old rankings system was more or less just look at previous season finishes, add in injured players as of they were healthy, and then try to adjust for changes.

Though I had some good hits, I also had some good misses. It could be better.
Another weakness of this method is that it likes to hold on to older and injured players for a little too long.
This year my method is drastically different and detailed in a series of articles starting here:

jakobsfantasyfootball.blogspot.com/2021/06/before…
I also wish I would've ranked more running backs.

I was also higher on Jerick McKinnon and James Robinson.

Two guys who were solid pieces on a lot of my teams. They all fell come fantasy playoff time, but my higher than consensus backs were huge scorers in the fantasy playoffs

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More from @JakesFFootball

15 Aug
When people say, this running back has receiving upside, and that one doesn't.

What does that mean to me?

A thread by @JakesFFootball

Tag your friends who use or hate the phrase receiving upside

#nfl #NFLTwitter #fantasyfootball #football #FantasyFootballAdvice
People say I'm low on Nick Chubb. I projected out his 2020 workload for 17 games and:

275 carries. 1,400 yards. 14 TDs. 25 catches. 200 receiving yards. 0 Rec TDs. 4 Fumbles. 261 fantasy points.

That seems good, however I can see a lot of other backs passing that up.
Here's what I think of DeAndre Swift, getting used like Alvin Kamara/Austin Ekeler:

200 carries. 1,000 rushing yards. 10 Rush TDs. 65 catches. 500 receiving yards. 4 receiving TDs. 4 Fumbles. 291 fantasy points.

30 more points than Chubb. More catches, and more receiving yards
Read 10 tweets
14 Aug
Derrick Henry is a very good running back who is getting drafted No. 3 overall in most PPR drafts.

That is way too high.

A thread by @JakesFFootball

#FantasyFootball #football #nfl #NFLTwitter #fantasyfootballadvice
Derrick Henry is coming off of a 2,000+ yard season. That's a huge season and will likely stand as the best season of his career. Why? Let's take a look at every other previous 2,000 yards rusher and what the season after their 2,000 yard season looked like.
1973 O.J. Simpson. 2,003 Yards. - in 14 games.

1974 O.J. Simpson. 1,125 Yards.

Not much changed for Simpson from one year to the next, he wasn't as efficient and didn't get as many carries. The few years after he did well again though.
Read 13 tweets

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