Thread by @jsm2334

Many are confused by results that >1/2 of hospitalized in Israel are vaccinated, thinking this means vaccines don't work. I downloaded actual Israeli data datadashboard.health.gov.il/COVID-19/gener… and show why these data provide strong evidence vaccines strongly protect vs. serious disease (1/8)

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I have written an article detailing these calculations and explanations: covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-d…

BTW, published report when Israel had 152 hospitalized breakthrough infections showed 40% of these cases were immunocompromised & 96% had comorbidities, so serious delta breakthrough infections in those without preexisting conditions nearly non-existent. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34245907

A few notes:
1. The data set I downloaded includes only data age 12+ which is why the numbers don’t add up to Israel total population.
2. For brevity I omitted single dose vaccinated which is why the percentages don’t sum to one. Take 1-%full-%unvac to get %1dose

Note the 90.9 is a typo should be 91.9

Note the 90.9 is a typo should be 91.9

A few notes:
1. The data set I downloaded includes only data age 12+ which is why the numbers don’t add up to Israel total population.
2. For brevity I omitted single dose vaccinated which is why the percentages don’t sum to one. Take 1-%full-%unvac to get %1dose

Also, typos: 90.9 should be 91.9, and 2,170,563 should be 2,133,516.

The percentages, rates of severe cases and efficacy are unaffected -- these were just copy/paste typos in powerpoint