Paper w/ @KonitzerTobias @_JenAllen @stephnie Howland @markusmobius @duncanjwatts "Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively Collected Behavioral Data" academic.oup.com/poq/advance-ar… confirms & extends earlier results on over-reporting news consumption in surveys
Way more people report watching FNC & MSNBC in past week than ever watch in a month, roughly as many report FNC most used station as ever watch in a month, but MSNBC more realistic reporting of most used 2/9
Plausible that social desirability bias of over-reporting news consumption much more important for Republicans reporting FNC, than other non-politically aligned news consumption patterns 3/9
Massive differences exist between "FNC Viewers" & "non-FNC Viewers" in sentiment & knowledge tricky: half of self-reported "FNC Viewers" don't actually watch Fox News, so either real difference is much bigger or actual treatment comes from larger Republican ecosystem 4/9
Results extend to online & social media news consumption, where survey self-reports far outstrip reasonable estimates from passive data. Note flexibility of passive data that can easily answer various types of outcomes a researcher may reasonability wish to explore 5/9
Passive data also captures trends missed by survey data 6/9
Sometimes survey data may be technically correct but misinterpreted by researchers: e.g. Pew defines news consumption as “information about events & issues that involve more than just your friends or family” which technically includes lots most of us would not consider "news" 7/9
Further, in eagerness to promote impact of new news sources, reporting on survey data about news consumption on social media tends to cherry-pick & exaggerate survey results, in way that survey did not technically report: e.g. of NYT misreporting 8/9
Paper goes on at length to discuss how future needs to be mixture of passive data for behavior and survey data for sentiment: together they hold the key to understanding the impact of news on the general population academic.oup.com/poq/advance-ar… 9/9

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More from @DavMicRot

13 Sep
Thoughts on my Twitter conversations today w/ a few Republican strategists about COVID-19 & vaccine mandates (1) they are desperate to avoid topic ongoing death toll (and hospitalizations) & how more vaccines will ameliorate this horrible situation: they want to talk politics ...
Important here to emphasize: the Republicans are conceding that 1,000+ people are dying per day, that vaccine mandates will get people vaccinated and save lives, but they think that they can win the politics of the fight (2) Republicans acknowledge opposition is not that big ...
Republicans counting that like abortion & guns, the can create a bunch of one-issue (anti-vax) voters, that can overwhelm the vast majority of US that are pro-vax: fortunately pro-vax group is quite motivated right now & anti-vax group is already *very anti-Democratic* ...
Read 9 tweets
13 Sep
I have a tough time separating the love & respect NYC gets from media & politicians in 9/11 with the hatred & derision it gets from media & politicians for the other 364 day per year.
From the mocking delight that so many took in NYC's suffering & death in the spring of 2020, to Republican rally cry in the summer of 2020 to bankrupt NYC to general typecasting of NYC as a scary, dangerous place, when it is, in fact both safe & prosperous, funding the rest of US
2004 Republican convention was basically a big FU to NYC: hosted in a City that hated Bush, a reelection campaign built around using 9/11 to attack Iraq AND pushing a Constitutional Amendment to ban gay marriage, mass protests were ignored & mocked by mainstream media.
Read 4 tweets
7 Sep
Every #RoshHashanah I reflect on this one prayer: Avinu Malekeinu. This prayer creates a strong juxtaposition: we provide to G-d deep reflection & merciful prayer for ourselves while, at the same time, demanding of G-d action for injustice others suffered at no fault of their own
It is easy for us to reflect inward on our own faults, sins, things we wish we had done, and seek mercy for those trespasses. But what can we say about our neighbors, the innocent, who suffer from pestilence, war, famine, captivity, destruction, iniquity, religious persecution?
For those neighbors, whether they live down the block, or around the world, we demand action from Avinu Malkeinu. But, these two concepts merge, as my rabbi once told me: if we treat our neighbors as we would treat ourselves, then we would not need mercy & the hungry would be fed
Read 4 tweets
6 Sep
We have a nostalgia for factory jobs with good pay, benefits, time-off, safety, but for most of history factory jobs sucked: low pay, no benefits, brutal schedule, dangerous. It is collective bargaining of unions that made these jobs great, not the work itself …
Now that the work has moved to service sector, healthcare, etc we need to bring the fight to these sectors, make the type of jobs that exist, with high demand for workers, great: good pay, benefits, time-off, safe …
Owners of capital have massive bargaining power over workers, they have a lot more information than the workers about the work & more flexibility about who works when, only when workers unite, to bargain collectively can they get their fair shake from the owners …
Read 4 tweets
31 Aug
Unified pro-war, pro-Republican propaganda spewed by mainstream media over the last 2 weeks should terrify all of US.
America having two main groups of news media (1) Republican propaganda (2) Pro-war, Pro-corporation mainstream media, that dips into hardcore Pro-Republican propaganda to further pro-war & project false equivalency on US: terrible equilibrium for US.
Mainstream Media (2021) tries to spin miracle (popular) withdrawal from Afghanistan into biggest disaster in US history (2016) elects Trump w/ bad-faith attacks on Clinton's email server (2010-2016) drags down ObamaCare, helping to block Medicaid expansion & elect Republicans ...
Read 5 tweets
30 Aug
George W. Bush is one of the 5 worst presidents in US history: 2 failed wars, Katrina, Great Recession, Constitutional Amendment banning gay marriage (failed).
Trump also in top 5 worst: Muslim ban (cruelty), support for white supremacist terrorist in Charlottesville & others, making US pay him to fly to his resorts (corruption), accepting support for Putin (disloyalty to US), selling our security for personal gain (authoritarianism) …
And, in his final year: complete failure to contain COVID-19 (incompetence), putting his son-in-law in charge (corruption), then orchestrating an insurrection against US when he lost re-election. Not recency bias or coincidence that last 2 Republicans both 2 of worst of all time.
Read 4 tweets

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