With another IPO around the corner, InvestKaar unpacks the prospectus, business model, and financials, so it becomes easy for you to decide.
Transaction details:
Airlink is looking to raise 3.9bn by offering 60mn shares to the public. At a base price of Rs65/sh, IPO size will be Rs5.8bn, and at the cap price of Rs91/sh, the amount will rise to Rs8.1bn
The proceeds will be utilized to finance working capital needs
* Industry: Rs258bn industry and growing fast
The market is divided into the following:
Premium (priced at Rs80k+), high-end (priced between Rs48k-80k), mid-end (between Rs16k-48k), and low-end (Rs16k and less).
Mid-end generates the most sales (73%) followed by low-end at 17%
About Airlink:
- Airlink is a mobile phone distributor and has expanded into retail with 14 stores - market share btw 17-21%
- It has distribution agreements with Samsung, TCL, Huawei Tecno, Itel and is a sub-distributor for Apple products.
- It is growing fast, CAGR of 36% for revenues and 49% for mobile phones sold in the last 5 years.
- It has established its own assembling plant to assemble 400k units per month. Currently, they are assembling 150k units per month
Business Model - Follow the cash
Distribution is a working capital cycle business. The higher a company rolls its cash, the better its earnings would be. Cash conversion cycle for mobile distributor:
Airlink Working Capital Cycle:
Growth Opportunities:
- Switching from feature to smartphones. Only 18% of the Pakistani population owns a smartphone
- Increasing adoption of 3G and 4G (100mn users now vs 29mn in FY16) due to more use cases
- Local assembly may bring down phone prices
Risks:
- The economic slowdown may lead to a slower cash conversion cycle
- Growth in market share of brands that Airlink doesn’t distribute (OPPO, VIVO, and Infinix)
👉The reason behind #TELE’s price rally for the last eight months was finally officiated yesterday - Its wholly-owned subsidiary, Supernet is going for listing at PSX. 1/10
👉Share offering:
Supernet’s total offering through book building would be 29.5mn shares. Out of the total, 18.3mn shares will be newly issued while the remaining, 11.2mn shares, will be offloaded by Telecard, reducing Tele’s share in Supernet to 75%. 2/10
The book-building hasn’t been announced yet – Earlier there were rumors that it will be listed on GEMs board – this needs to be followed! 3/10
👉Penny stocks12 have gained a lot of popularity in recent years. As investors, we all have been enticed to invest in such stocks, committing relatively smaller capital and waiting and hoping for a turnaround story to emerge to realize large gains.
These small-cap stocks do become all the more popular when discounts rates are low – remember the rally in 2007 or 2016 or 2021? We try to explain the reasons behind this today.
👉DR impacts all but penny stocks more:
Changes in DR impact all the stocks due to the discounting principle at work. Simply put, a company’s fair value will increase in a lower interest rate scenario and vice versa. Let us show you how?