At the beginning of 2019, @RadioFreeTom and @ianbremmer met at the @carnegiecouncil to discuss globalization and populism. Recent @Ipsos and @wef polls bear revisiting their conclusions. 1/ carnegiecouncil.org/studio/multime…
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef The findings suggest "a mix of polarization and ambivalence among the public throughout the world about free trade, globalization, and protectionist policies." 2/ ipsos.com/en/sentiment-a…
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef Policymakers may find it difficult to reconcile findings where majorities say "expanding trade is a good thing" and that "there should be more trade barriers." 3/
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef Mixed findings on whether globalization prevents the domestic government from carrying out effective economic policies and/or undermines democracy at home. And in a related report (both prepared by @NicBoyon) ... 4/
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef @NicBoyon sentiments around the world that "the system is broken" and "our country is in decline" with rise in nativist and anti-elite sentiments. 5/ ipsos.com/en/populist-an…
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef @NicBoyon "Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina." This manifests itself in attitudes such as “Local experts don’t understand the lives of people ‘like me’” ... 6/
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef @NicBoyon and “Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people ‘like me’.” The economy is rigged, and we need a strong leader willing to "break rules" to get the job done, driving @steven_metz's concerns about what all this bodes for the future. 7/
@RadioFreeTom @ianbremmer @carnegiecouncil @Ipsos @wef @NicBoyon @steven_metz Ending with part of the discussion between @ianbremmer and @RadioFreeTom "a great symbiosis of blame here between the elites, who said, "I can deliver all this completely imaginary stuff" and the masses who said, "I'm electing you to deliver all this imaginary stuff." END

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More from @DoorstepPodcast

4 Sep
Important piece from @profmusgrave ... suggests that the climate change narrative we identified at the @carnegiecouncil may not have as much motivating power in domestic politics ... 1/
@profmusgrave @carnegiecouncil We've seen this in the discussion in recent days with @reziemba, @CarolynKissane and @v_madalina about how short-term doorstep considerations, especially pocketbook concerns about energy prices, can trump longer-term climate policy. 2/
@profmusgrave @carnegiecouncil @reziemba @CarolynKissane @v_madalina In the comments on @profmusgrave piece via @CT_Bergstrom, @gavinashun wonders about the political attractiveness of geo-engineering solutions, something @C2G2net is looking at ... 3/
Read 4 tweets
18 Aug
This @Reuters report from @Cmkahn detailing @Ipsos polling demonstrates the contradictory impulses on the part of U.S. voters, both in policy and ethical terms. 1/ reuters.com/world/us/biden…
@Reuters @Cmkahn @Ipsos "For example, a majority of the 18-to-65-year-olds who took the Ipsos survey - 68% - agreed that the war “was going to end badly, no matter when the U.S. left,” and 61% wanted the United States to complete its withdrawal of troops on schedule." 2/
@Reuters @Cmkahn @Ipsos "Yet a smaller majority - 51% - also agreed that “it would have been worth it for the United States to leave troops in Afghanistan another year,” and 50% wanted to send troops back into the country to fight the Taliban." 3/
Read 9 tweets
18 Aug
Continuing the conversation started at @RadioFreeTom and with the contributions by @JonNeeter and @bren1008, we are fundamentally grappling with the question of narratives: why do we do what we do in the world? 1/
@RadioFreeTom @JonNeeter @bren1008 This is what the @carnegiecouncil U.S. global engagement project has been trying to do since 2018 ... what are the frameworks we are using to situate our role? 2/ carnegiecouncil.org/publications/a…
@RadioFreeTom @JonNeeter @bren1008 @carnegiecouncil The Afghan disaster is putting into stark relief that we may be moving away from some of the post-9/11 assumptions and statements: 1) that in order to prevent "global terrorism" from finding homes, the United States needs to strengthen all states around the world. 3/
Read 11 tweets
17 Aug
That the Taliban feel the need to state they will guarantee women's rights (albeit "under the limits of Islam") in 2021--a statement they never felt compelled to make in 1996--suggests that they are aware that the situation today is different. 1/
Statements don't mean much unless backed by deeds, and if actions contradict the statements, then we know how much they are worth. Also of interest is an apparent recognition of the concept of sovereignty--that other states and countries live under their own laws. ... 2/
A major issue with the 1990s Taliban was their eagerness and willingness to export their revolution to neighboring states. Again, statements have to be backed up by action. 3/
Read 5 tweets
16 Aug
As we watch developments in Afghanistan and as the blame game continues in U.S. domestic politics, this might be a good time to revisit @DerekSReveron's important paradigm for understanding national security policy: the die-kill-pay (ignore) paradigm. 1/
@DerekSReveron Revisiting @LauraWalkerKC's observation here: this is the crux of the matter. The Afghan mission was one where the public has signaled they no longer want Americans to kill or be killed, so it raises the question now: what tools to prevent ... 2/
@DerekSReveron @LauraWalkerKC other bad outcomes. For instance, this--the "first female mayor" "waiting for the Taliban to come ... kill me." What options are available? 3/
Read 11 tweets
29 Dec 20
As we close out the year, an observation from co-host Nick Gvosdev ... as I grade exams of my senior students at the @NavalWarCollege and in particular questions that deal with the "liberal international order", it reinforces the importance, per yesterday's tweet, of ... 1/
politicians and thought leaders making the case for engagement. 2/
I still don't hear U.S. figures explicitly linking the low rates for home mortgages and low interest rates for car notes, among other things, to the position of the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency--in other words, taking it right to the doorstep. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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