The Arg fell in less than half an hour after Ghani’s exit to a group who, we now know, belong to the Haqqani faction of Taliban.
How could the Haqqani terrorists so quickly reach Kabul from their positions outside the capital city?
How could the Haqqani terrorists so quickly reach Kabul from their positions outside the capital city?
It seems like they were working with their accomplices inside the Arg and had prior positions inside the city. Before the defense minister was able to act to defend the president’s office, they got to Arg.
This blitzkrieg-like attack gives rise to the suspicion that President Ghani and the Haqqani group, who belong to the same Pashtun tribal confederacy as him, i.e. the Qaljayis, were conspiring together; Arg was given to the Taliban in conjunction with Ghani’s escape.
The one man who could have stopped the Taliban take-over, i.e the defense minister, was kept away.
...
The two grand tribal confederacies, Qaljayis and Dorranis, have long competed with one another. Their power struggle is a theme of Afghanistan’s political history.
...
The two grand tribal confederacies, Qaljayis and Dorranis, have long competed with one another. Their power struggle is a theme of Afghanistan’s political history.
In their search for a strong supporter, Qaljayis became closer to Pakistan (the current Pakistani prime minister...is also a Qaljayi.) Meanwhile, Dorrani politicians found themselves closer to Qatar which, given its sheer wealth, has become a major powerbroker in the region.
The same theme that animated the Ghani-Karzai clash will now see a clash between Sirajuddin Haqqani, a Qaljani who considers himself a caliph, and Hibatullah Akhundzada, a Dorrani who prefers the Commander of the Faithful title.
If Akhundzada is actually alive and finally appears in front of TV cameras, the competition will intensify.
We can thus conclude that the leadership of Taliban, too, is engulfed with ethnic and tribal conflicts between Dorranis and Qaljayis and these tensions could add to
We can thus conclude that the leadership of Taliban, too, is engulfed with ethnic and tribal conflicts between Dorranis and Qaljayis and these tensions could add to
the challenges and increasing rivalries. This is especially true since we have yet to see proof that Akhundzada is indeed alive and well.
...
Sirajuddin Haqqani is close to capturing an effective caliphate for himself; the power is going to be
...
Sirajuddin Haqqani is close to capturing an effective caliphate for himself; the power is going to be
completely transferred from Dorranis to Qaljayis. This explains why the supporters of Mr. Haqqani have taken into calling him Caliph — they are paving the way to his reaching the top Taliban leadership position.
english.aawsat.com/home/article/3…
english.aawsat.com/home/article/3…
It is interesting to note, my line of thought also matches this wavelength - but not on the lines of a tribal confederacy.
https://twitter.com/cbkwgl/status/1435315604878098433
But a word of caution. Yaqoob is a Khilji, not a Durrani.
https://twitter.com/cbkwgl/status/1435589193774682114
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