The CPC have released their costed platform. Here are the key details.
Over the next 5 years, they’re proposing $78 B in new spending, nearly the exact same as the LPC
They plan to save $27B by cancelling programs like $10 a day daycare, so the net total is $51 B in spending
The big ticket items are $24 B for doubling the Canada Worker Benefit over 5 years, $13 B to stimulate business investment and $9.7 B for fiscal stabilization. #cdnpoli
Two key items that didn't have costing, the Personal Low Carbon Savings account and their promise to bring high-speed Internet to everyone in Canada by 2025. #cdnpoli
The promise of an increase in health transfers for the provinces doesn't start for another 3 years, with the majority of the $60 B over 10 years coming at the back end of those years #cdnpoli
Even without 3% growth, which is what the original CPC platform was projecting, the CPC says they are able to get to a balanced budget within ten years.
Using the PBO growth projections, they say it would take seven years (2028-29) to get to balance #cdnpoli
As for deficit numbers, here are the projections. It only went for 5 years. #cdnpoli
2021-22- $138.2 B
2022-23- $42.7 B
2023-24 - $35.6 B
2024-25 - $24.8 B
2025-26 - $24.6 B
One other point, the party did not release the supporting documents from the PBO to journalists but the PBO just released them on his website.
On health care, the PBO estimates the CPC plan will only increase health spending by $3.6 B over the next 5 years. So that means in from 2026 to 2031, they would need to spend $56.4 B to meet their $60 B over ten years election promise #cdnpoli
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To be let into Canada, a traveller needs to have finished their vaccine series with either Pfizer, Moderna, J&J or AZ, 14 days prior to arrival and get a negative test within 72 hours of arrival.
Sorry to everyone who got Sputnik or Sinopharm, you won’t be let in #cdnpoli
Travellers need to put their vaccination proof into the ArriveCAN app or website and if they don’t, they won’t be let into the country.
If your proof of vaccination isn’t in English or French, you’ll need a certified translation so the border guards can read it #cdnpoli
One of the big political debates of the day has been if we're going to 'run out' of vaccines in the coming weeks, as Premier Ford says Ontario is going to next week.
I crunched the vaccine numbers, and unlike Grade 10 math class, I'm going to show my work #cdnpoli
Two cavities. I did this on a national level because I can't predict how much each province will get but we do know the delivery schedule to Canada.
I also averaged the March Pfizer doses cause Fortin wasn’t sure of the weekly schedule yet but said we’d get to 4 M by March 31
Scenario 1 - The provinces do not increase their distribution capacity at all and give vaccines out at the 5 day rolling average (23,891 per day). If this happens, we still have way more vaccine supply than capacity. Very unlikely this scenario happens #cdnpoli
Dr. Tam says there are 14 cases of the UK variant in Canada right now #cdnpoli
Maj-Gen Fortin says Moderna arrives every 3 weeks, with the next delivery in Feb being for 171k doses.
For Pfizer, we can expect 366k doses per week in Feb. They’re not sure how many in March but they’re sticking to their number of 6 m Moderna + Pfizer by the end of March
Maj-Gen Fortin says the provinces will be able to significantly ramp up vaccine delivery in the coming weeks #cdnpoli
A technical briefing has just started on the vaccine rollout and approval process with Dr. Njoo and Dr. Supriya Sharma + Dr. Marc Berthiaume from Health Canada. Dr. Njoo says this will now be a weekly briefing.
Dr. Njoo says the needles, swabs and freezers are already being shared with the provinces, so they can quickly role out distribution when we get a vaccine. #cdnpoli
"When a vaccine is ready, Canada will be ready" - Dr. Njoo #cdnpoli
Dr. Tam, Dr. Njoo and Health Minister Patty Hajdu have arrived to announce the latest national modelling data. We reported on the projected case count and deaths last night but I’ll add some of the other data in the thread below #cdnpoli
NEW – CTV News has obtained a copy the latest national covid modelling, and it’s not good news
- If we increase our contacts, 60K covid cases per day by Dec
- If we maintain our contacts, 20k+ covid cases a day by Dec
- If we decrease our contacts, 5K covid cases a day by Dec
Some grim short term projections from PHAC as well.
By November 30th, there will be between 366K – 378K covid cases and between 11,970 – 12,120 covid deaths #cdnpoli
Dr. Tam and Dr. Njoo will have a press conference tomorrow at 9 am to present these numbers and take questions from journalists #cdnpoli