Mindo Profile picture
Sep 9, 2021 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🚨Anti FOMO Alert 🚨

Obervation on $BTC at the moment:

- We've hit the 0.618 fib of a higher time frame &clearly seen some rejection
- Based on the move, we should now build a narrative
- History has doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme Image
We can call this move a bear flag at the moment, and the key thing is to recognize how price reacts as the 0.382 fib level of a bear flag

- Note the ellipses shown here for reference Image
Now to check out some Volume Profile:

We're at the VaH of the VPVR - in a parallel channel we usually short at the tops of these, so there would have been a lot of selling interest here, coupled with the 0.618 hit of the overall HTF Image
So when we delve into the VPSV we can see that, like clockwork, the naked point of control is hit at the $44.4k ish area.

Let's look at other areas below next Image
Here are a couple more areas that are of significant interest, given the liquidity resting in these areas.

We've got a couple more confluence areas to take a look at, so bear with me (pardon the pun) Image
When we pull our fibs from the swing low to swing hight of the overall move, we see that there is a naked point of control that lines up almost perfectly with the 0.618 level. Image
That's not all though, we've also got a new tool that you haven't seen me use yet which is the fib fan tool.

Pulled from the extreme low to recent high, the fibs will be similar anyway to our horizontals, but this adds that extra bit of confluence along the way Image
So this mini thread presents a bearish case in this instance, but this at least gives you an idea of how to frame a trade for yourself.

We can't always be moonboi like, and although alts are popping, it pays to assess the king $BTC and be cautious and not FOMO in.

- Mindset

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More from @Mindset_BTC

Nov 15, 2022
Nearly a year ago, I shared Price Action Principles: Trading a Range - a free 7 part course that gives a mild intro into SMC & other concepts.

This thread is about Volume Profile from Module 3 (course is in the last tweet) with:

- VAH & VAL
- POC's
- FRVP Tool

Enjoy!
What is Value Area Trading?

We're using @tradingview's tools, so let's use their terminology:

"Volume Profile is an advanced charting study that displays trading activity over a specified time period at specified price levels."
In my own words:

In a given or visible price range, the Value Area can be defined as where 70% of the volume of price was transacted in said given or visible range

This range has a Value Area High, Value Area Low, Point of Control, & High & Low Value Nodes
Read 17 tweets
Oct 2, 2022
Here's my 100 weeks of backtested $EURUSD price action from June 15 2020 to 09 May 2022, here's what is covered:

- Occurrence of high & low of the week
- % of high and low of the week per day
- % of Mondays high / low being swept on a given day

Took me a while, hope you enjoy
The high and low of the week

Here we can determine that the low of the week fell 38/100 times on a Mon, while the high of the week was also most likely to form on this day too with 31/100 occurrences

Note that there's during the week, there's more of a spread compared to $BTC
Percentage / Chance wise, you can see that Monday is more likely to be the low of the week by a factor of 5, 2, and 3 compared to a T, W, or Th respectively

Friday is different though.

With the high of the wk, Monday leads, followed by a Thurs, then Friday.
Read 13 tweets
Aug 31, 2022
I made a free Price Action course not long ago - I'll share some detailed threads on portions of the course so you don't have to spend hours watching them when trading #Bitcoin & #Altcoins

We'll jump ahead to Module 4 - Ranges & Targets.

Why? Because I loved sharing this one!
What's in a Range?

A range is simply defined by anchoring two points on a chart based on:

A timeframe (daily, weekly, monthly etc)
Market structure
Or a combination of both

The method I use to anchor the range is a Fibonacci Tool, with values set at 1, 0.5, and 0
Range Tool Setup 1/1

1) First Select the 3rd item down on the left hand side menu
Then select "Fib Retracement"

2) Open up the settings of the Fib Retracement Tool, then set up the Fib tool to show the 0, 1, and 0.5 levels
Read 18 tweets
Aug 20, 2022
I've got a surprise for you with another strategy release on @tradingview for #Bitcoin & #Altcoins

bit.ly/Mindjacked_Sca…

- SRSI & Optional EMA's
- Different SRSI conditions for signal
- Session Filter (Set to your waking times)
- 3 Commas Integration
- TP / SL %'s

Read on:
SL / TP %

You can set the strategy to the SL & TP levels that you'd like in terms of % (make sure youamend the pos size though to suit your SL %)

The general strategy is based on Stochastic RSI & EMA's, but you can turn off the EMA's as needed, & just run with SRSI.
There's also a neat funcion called Use Exit Condition

If you set the SRSI to 80 for overbought, & 20 for oversold & you enter a short at 80, there will be a signal to close at the opposing metric.

In this case, it would be the 20 level at the SRSI condition you set for a long
Read 10 tweets
Aug 16, 2022
The Trend Continuation fibs - covered in upcoming Module 3

Of course these are originally based on the ICT fibs, but nuanced per the following for #crypto & #bitcoin

- 0.72 entry point
- A negative 0.12 level
- 0.28 level

Why though? Image
The 0.72 Entry Point:

The reason for this is simple - it's the mid point of the 0.66 and 0.786 levels of the fib, where I've personally found much better entries and setups using this Image
The negative 0.12 level:

Included in this particular suite of fibs because you're looking for a get in, get out move that simply beats previous market structure.

By entering at the 0.72 level, this -0.12 level yields a 3RR move if the SL is at 1.

It just keeps it simple Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 13, 2022
I backtested 100 weeks of $BTC #bitcoin price action from June 15 2020 to 09 May 2022, was able to determine the below:

- Occurrence of high & low of the week
- % of high and low of the week per day
- % of Mondays high / low being swept on a given day

8 hrs of research for you:
The high and low of the week

Here we can determine that the low of the week fell 43/100 times on a Mon, while the high of the week was also most likely to form on this day too with 27/100 occurrences

The rest of the days are generally similar, bar Tuesday lows & weekend highs
Percentage / Chance wise, it's obviously a no brainer in the fact that given the sample data of 100 weeks, that the % are simply a given of the numbers above
Read 12 tweets

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