In late July I took a look at how U.S. vaccination rates were doing by county based on both *population density* as well as the USDA Economic Research Service's Rural-Urban Continuum Code.
Today I re-ran both using the latest vaxx data *and* official 2020 Census data. 2/
Here's what it looks like via population density. While the vaxx rate does climb *slightly* as density increases, it's a surprisingly weak correlation. In fact, it's far weaker than it looks here because I had to use a LOGARITHMIC scale to fit every county. 3/
OK, but what about urban/rural status? Well, the USDA uses a 9-point scale for categorizing counties ranging from "Metro 1M+" (1) all the way down to "Nonmetro <2,500" (9). Here's what that looks like:
Again, the vaccination rate is *slightly* higher in the big urban centers than the smaller, rural counties nationally...but it's pretty weak tea.
I was honestly surprised by this, but...there it is.
โ ๏ธ Annnnnnnd there it is: COVID death rate by county since 6/30/21 by Trump 2020 vote, now including Florida, updated as of 9/15/21.
Note that besides Nebraska, this doesnโt include several thousand deaths whose county of residence is unknown. Also, some of Floridaโs deaths to date still wonโt show up for another couple of weeks.
FWIW, the death rate in the reddest bracket is 8.2x higher than in the bluest bracket. Of course, there's only a tiny number of people living in either of those, so it's probably more representative to look at the 5.5x ratio between the 80-90 & 10-20 brackets.
#ACA SEP enrollment via the 36 HC.gov states is 2.8x higher than for the same period last year (pre-#AmRescuePlan) and 3.7x higher than in 2019 (pre-COVID).
Middle-class enrollees (>400% FPL income) jumped from 2% of #ACA exchange enrollees to 7% thanks to the #AmRescuePlan's subsidy expansion.
Existing #ACA exchange enrollees are saving an additional $67/month apiece thanks to the #AmRescuePlan!
๐ฃ Update: #ACA SEP enrollment via the 36 HC.gov states 2.8x higher than for the same period last year (pre-#AmRescuePlan) and 3.7x higher than in 2019 (pre-COVID).
๐ฃ Update: Middle-class enrollees (>400% FPL) jumped from 2% of #ACA exchange enrollees to 7% thanks to the #AmRescuePlan's subsidy expansion.
Existing #ACA exchange enrollees are saving an additional $67/month apiece thanks to the #AmRescuePlan
Huh. @goldsteinamy must've gotten an embargoed copy of the final SEP enrollment report because it's still not posted at CMS *or* HHS *or* the ASPE site...but President Biden's statement on the report *is* live at WH.gov: whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/โฆ
FWIW, it looks like I was off by around ~60K enrollees nationally, although I'll have to see the report itself to be sure ("2.8 million" could easily be rounded up or down by several tens of thousands): acasignups.net/21/08/10/cms-mโฆ