Everyone who dies of Covid today, got it from
Suppose on average it takes 10 days from a person being infected, to that person passing it on to the next person in the chain.

Let's say we are about 500 days into the pandemic.

If I get it today, how many people long is that chain that led to me?
The mortality of Covid infection, without vaccination, is around half a percent.

Suppose the Covid I get today, kills me.

How many people in the chain of ~50 that let do me, on average, would you expect to have died from it?
So this ratio is about right.
For every person ending up in a wooden box thanks to Covid, there are about 50 of us who were essential to delivering their death.

We didn't know that poor guy, and didn't intend him any harm.

It was, literally, an accident.
100% unintended.

But still _caused by us_.
Of the 50 unwitting assassins in the chain that offed the poor guy, 25 didn't even get a temperature or a sniffle. They joined in the general laughter at covid precautions.
That is understandable. It is comical to walk around the streets wearing a mask and giving oncoming people a wide berth.
But it is not to protect us.

It is to protect the guy at the end of the chain, that gets bumped off.
The killing machine requires all its components to work correctly. If even ONE of the 50 had managed not to get infected, or not to pass it on, maybe I would have been saved.
So that is why we take drastic steps like Lockdown,

And less disruptive steps like mask-wearing (even though annoying and ridiculous), and social distancing (even though unsociable and irritating).

And least disruptive of all, the Jab.
So congrats to the USA government on reducing the number of killings unwittingly mediated by its employees.

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More from @ProfDFrancis

14 Sep
When your patient adverse symptoms on statins, what should you do?
Here are 4 choices
When will they stop taking the statin?
Read 56 tweets
10 Sep
This is very funny.

Does anyone know if this person is actually a doctor?

Or has somehow just managed to get through medical school without noticing how science works?

If someone makes an allegation, one can

(a) ignore it,
or
(b) conduct experiments to test for it.
If you ever feel a bit dim or slow witted, just click the link below which lists hundreds of commentaries on the above tweet.

Click on it, scroll to a random point, and realise that actually, you are very fortunate to have received an education.

Ummmm...

So, should we get special, "other", disposable, people to take it, before we do?

Are people who enter clinical trials "fools"?

We just sponge off their altruism, shall we?
Read 8 tweets
6 Jul


I was just about to say, "Looks fine to me” ...
... when I suddenly noticed this.
And once you see that, the whole thing unravels.
Read 4 tweets
23 Jun
I see Prof Chloroquine has decided to sue Elisabeth Bik for annoying him by pointing out the dubious features in his claims.
The MOMENT a scientist takes legal action instead of answering the scientific questions, you KNOW the answer.

They may as well come out and say it!
So if anyone is enjoying using INSPIRION to learn simple medical stats ...

tweetorials.inspirion.org/h2/c48ed511bc7…
Read 6 tweets
22 Jun
Ahhhh, interesting that Josh brings this up!

h/t to Sanjay Kaul @kaulcsmc and DJ Cohen @djc795
for highlighting how difficult it is for people to redirect their thinking
What dose of metoprolol do you consider standard?
Here is the UK's British National Formulary (equivalent in role, I believe, to the US Physician's Desk Reference) regarding standard short-acting metoprolol.

Source: bnf.nice.org.uk/drug/metoprolo…
Read 44 tweets
30 May
A question that I thought was simple, has had enormous pushback from respondents. 50:50 are ardently espousing an answer I consider to be obviously wrong.

Suppose there is a shop which only lets you in if you bring exactly ONE child.
Each person going shopping has two children, and chooses one child to go with them, but ALWAYS takes a boy if they have a boy.

For a randomly chosen customer in the shop, if their accompanying child is a boy, what is the probability that the child at home is a girl?
Let's give it a few days to see how people vote.

Please don't give the answer away, as it will spoil the experience.
Read 21 tweets

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