Pluto Rx in Capricorn-Saturn from 6/29
Saturn ruling sign & term, should be quite nasty, these 4' among worst in zodiac. Though some bond rally & covid again, muted impact for markets.
FOMC has twisted everything:
Bad news = QE pumping = good for markets
Could worst astro produce big top? Maybe, but depends on taper schedule; more likely is slow taper & gradual hike so perhaps big blow-off top next year 2022
Neptune in Pisces-Mars from 1/23, Rx from 6/25
Expected volatility & larger moves both ways; this term in play a while
Uranus in Taurus-Jupiter from 7/7, Rx from 8/19
Think this is helping tech & cryptos with Jupiter in Aqu
*
Saturn Rx in Aqu-Ven 6/18
Saturn worse out of term Jupiter, & helping safe havens lift when triggered; but not hitting that hard in big picture
Might take direct?
Jupiter Rx in Aqu from 7/28, into Aqu-Mars 9/6
From 1945, 1980, 2000, Jupiter in term Mars is best for indexes in bull markets
But, here Mars weaker by position so judgment call - Libra data not terrible though, actually moderate positive overall
Mars wrapping up Virgo, > Libra 9/15
Issue is term position
Virgo-Saturn 28' -end tough one
Libra-Saturn 0-6' bad for Mars due to sign & term weakness
This should pressure risk assets end of story
Nodes
NN in Gem-Merc from 9/1 (out of Gem-Jup)
Again historical edge for stocks, but perhaps worse for cryptos due to term ruler position
Mercury extra impact in weeks ahead, stationing & Rx
SN in Gem-Jup from 5/10, no change
Mercury in sign & term of Venus from 9/17 - 10/5
In that time Venus all in Sco
Mercury also sqr Pluto while slow, Dir & Rx, 9/20-22, again 9/28-10/1
Seems like should be shakeup; also recall Mercury trine Pluto 8/26 was pretty bad for cryptos, key swing low!
Sun & Ruler
Sun in Virgo, ruled by Mercury
Mercury speed under 1' 9/13 on some risk factor, per historical stock index data
Venus in Scorpio
Data actually quite fine for stocks in bull markets - Venus takes charge and the confidence / aggression factor is good for buying when environments support
Mars in Libra is mutual generosity (no aspect, so no reception, but similar idea)
Mercury in Libra as sign OK, issue is the term positions ahead -
Terms
Mars (for emphasis) > term Saturn late 9/11 > Libra-Saturn late 9/14 > term Mercury 9/24, but Merc challenged here
Venus term Mars > term Venus 9/16 late may help rebound > term Merc 9/20 w/ Merc in trouble
Merc likely helping some cryptos avoid larger damage here in Libra-Jupiter from 9/10 - early 9/17
Sun term Jupiter 9/9 (interesting for stocks), into term Mars 9/13 - with Mars quite weak
All these basic positions - now to understand impact, how has say over who?
Mars ruling Venus by sign & term
Jupiter by term already, Sun by term ahead for about 1 week
And very weak
This is strong component of risk-off view
Not just Mars weak; Mars also impacting Venus, Sun & Jupiter, that's a lot
Moon
Q1-2 in Sag, Cap, Aqu
Of 3 three, Sag weakest for both stocks & cryptos
Cap & Aqu have very strong for cryptos esp with Jupiter in Aquarius, so even if lower somewhere in here is strong bounce
Now aspects
Sun opp Neptune early Tues 9/14 - thinking risk-off, could be big tank
Venus sqr Saturn 9/16-17 (wee hours)
Sun trn Pluto late 9/16
Don't see how risk-assets hold up with these in play same time as Mars weak
Interesting concept - 20MA, then 2 standard deviations away from it create the bands - you can also edit the MA
It does work - like all market indicators, nuance required for best results
If really interested read the book by the creator
Here's BTC with just the daily BBs
So how does this work?
Sometimes taking reversal trade on band is awesome, sometimes slaughtered
Context is key
Slope matters a lot
Divergence is what the pros look for
To explain...
Power move, up or down, is high & close outside the band with the band sloping strongly in direction of the trend - this usually (not always) means continuation
You have to review charts to get this concept but now I will mark arrows with this power move outside band
Stocks have gone further & smoother than I ever imagined at start of 2021, unprecedented rally with SPX above smoothly rising D50MA since election except, count them, 2 days!
Obv aided by US tech, GOOGL +60%, MSFT +32%, banks also up decently, energy, pretty broad
And whether market tops on the "worst astro" (maybe just in?) or has even more massive blow-off next year with Jup in Pisces remains to be seen
Near term however, everything lining up for Sept smash
All major index TA
VIX, with VXX SVXY nearly there
Astro many ways weak ahead!
Preferred scenario is risk assets down to end Sept & then another low 10/8-10/10
For stocks probably not easy as aggressive dip buyers have made a lot of $, and indexes come back over and over
This is a sharp counter-trend call but that's how I see it
Now some of these lines will make more sense to those who read TA threads
DJI exceeded QR1 AugR1 combo for 2 trading days, since then levels as resistance; slight poke above QR1 9/2 (small red arrow)
Broke SepP 9/7 (orange)
Broke D50MA 9/9
Back under YR1 9/10 (red)
This is significant technical deterioration in short amount of time
Medium term levels acting as resistance
Pivot status change
Break of D50 & yearly level
Review
Astro
TA (just a bit)
Sum with next forecast
Check threadreader post after each section
Read what sections interest you
This process has resulted in many accurate takes on major asset classes - focus on indexes, cryptos & safe haven trades
Many - but not all - accurate statements from last week:
From spread,
Indexes: "Prefer 9/6-8 trading top, then lower into following weeks"
Good for indexes so far, main futures made highs 9/2-7 and tests 9/6, leader NQ 9/7 high, then all lower
This gets check!
Cryptos: "Same, but less damage expected, could stretch to 9/10 top"
Ugh, 9/6 key high, but more damage
Hottest coins SOL ALGO LUNA highs closer to 9/10, and ATOM pushing higher today
I don't have different astro on every coin, only general conditions, TA for the rest
It is true that many alts are rocketing higher - combo of Saturn in Aqu, Jupiter Rx in Aqu, NN in Gemini and Mercury in Libra all + for cryptos
But why BTC weak, & others new highs, & which ones, don't know, why combine timing with technicals
BTC
Issue is both important support & resistance nearby, so having battle effect - and concern this could continue for a while with Mercury stationing in Libra
Support:
Lower daily Bollinger (green)
Sharply rising 50MA (purple)
Sept pivot (orange) which has held for 2 days & tested for several, only 1 fractional break
Resistance:
Falling D200MA (black arrow)
YR2 acting as resistance (could turn into support)
Falling 10 & 20 MAs (red)