Here is a thread about getting involved with NFTs...

It is not about whether NFTs are inherently valuable (it seems like an unresolved philosophical question). But simply about observing the process for the first time, and the FEES, which can be rather wild!

here we go...
It is hard to have an opinion about a new market / asset until you have actually been directly involved in some form...
...I bought my first Bitcoin many years ago, to experience the process. And I did the same with ETH too, quite a few years back. It was pretty simple, although the identification process involved a bit of a lag on some platforms at the time.
The NFT market is the new ‘hot thing’. Hence I wanted to experience the NFT buying process first hand, by simply just following the steps that pop up from simple google searches.
(as an aside: to illustrate how hot the NFT market is, we sometimes encounter developers who say they have stopped working/coding, because they simply make much more money trading NFTs)
One of the most popular NFT sites seem to be OpenSea, so that was my starting point. It is funny, that the domain is not OpenSea.com, so if you type that in, it will not work (it is io domain)
Once you are logged on, and try to make a bid (if you find something you like!), you realize that you have to have a so-called MetaMask wallet. It is not hard to set up, but you do have to download an extension to your Chrome browser.
If you do not own any crypto currencies already (or are not comfortable with the security aspects of linking accounts), you can add funds using a debit/credit card. If you are new to crypto, and getting in via NFTs, this is the obvious path.

(ps: they forgot NY in menu, odd)
Using a credit card will be expensive, however:

The exchange rate quoted on the ETH was about 6% above the market (as quoted by @tradingview )
But the all in cost of the transaction is much further off than that, as there is also a $5 transaction fee, and a $10.1 network fee.

The effective ETF rate ended up being $4831 vs a market rate of $3940 (or a 22% premium to the market rate).
Now I was (almost) ready to shop

But not quite, as there are transactions (gas fees) too, to actually do the buying .

It turned out the 'gas fee' at the time was about $60.

Hence, there was not much left for actual shopping.

(ikke tilstrakkelige midler = insufficient funds)
Even if I had paid in $115bn, the fees and the bad exchange rate mean that I had less than $40 to actually show for. (= a 65% loss of purchasing power...)

Hence, i had to lower my bids to actually do a test (down to 0.005 ETH)
So what to buy? Initially, I tried to find something that was sold for charity. But I could not find anything. So I thought, why not a Danish flag (that is unique?).
There was no minimum bid, and the cost of producing the NFT was probably near zero (although there may be fees on that end too?). So I gave it a go. And offered 0.005 ETH (or WETH I guess, to be specific).

And then I waited.
After three days, my offer expired (and there was no notification of success or failure). But I went to check on OpenSea (io not com), and it was still for auction, with the original owner still listing it (and my bid just listed as expired).
Hence, I failed to buy my first NFT, although I tried hard (for my standards). But I did learn that 65% of your fiat purchasing power can be eaten up in fees and bad exchange rates in the process (admittedly for a small transaction).
I am sure there are better paths to buy than the one that pops up in the first google search. And maybe I will try a smarter path in the 2nd attempt. But those getting into crypto/blockchain via NFT purchases do need to keep their eyes open for fees in the process.
'Service providers' can get away with huge transaction fees on speculative assets that are moving up fast enough that the transaction cost ends up being small relative to gains. But it is still a cost.
I will leave it at that. The NFT buying process is still a bit mysterious (and costly it seems). And I have still yet to experience the joy of actually owning my very own Non-Fungible Token.

Maybe this thread will generate some tips for my next (more serious) attempt.

END
(ups not $115bn but simply $115)

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More from @jnordvig

2 Sep
The perception of vaccine effectiveness has been influenced by Israel's experiences since early 2021.

There has been three faces already in 2021...
A) Hope, B) Doubts, C) Fresh Hope
A) In the first half of year, Israel's success in getting cases down to VERY low levels (combined with full reopening) created global optimism that 'normalization' was around the corner in many parts of the world.
B) But then we had a fresh spike in cases as delta emerged, and lots of coverage of break-through cases (=doubt about vaccine effectiveness)
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23 Aug
I am into feedback, even when it is not the most positive. Hence, I will use this 'feedback' as a gateway to explain our market models

They are not really prediction models. They are meant to put a lot of information that can be hard to access, in front of a a broad audience...
Here is our 'prediction model' from today. It mean to pull information together from many many different instruments and map them into a simple signal for the S&P500 based on historical correlations

It is an information aggregator, not a prediction tool

Here is our FX summary. It is meant to give a clear, objective daily overview, in vol adjusted space, so you can get a feel for global action in 5 seconds (rather than spending 5 minutes on it)

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13 Aug
We have a new Substack out, this time on a very long-term issue, the end of Bretton Woods (50 years anniversary today!).

The end of the gold-linked system, created the current fiat based system, which many love to hate (but which is hard to replace)

moneyinsideout.exantedata.com/p/the-end-of-b…
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The core counter-intuitive point is : the US economy may be driven more by global capital flows than the real (local) economy.
There is also a section on MMT in there, which often tends to wake up some sleepy economists:
Read 4 tweets
11 Jul
For wealthy countries with progressed (but not complete) vaccine roll-outs, it is time for governments to think fresh.

The main remaining challenge is that young cohorts are not yet vaccinated, and not as afraid of COVID as the older more vulnerable cohorts.

What to do???
Given that the young can give the virus to the old and start new waves, governments have a strong reason to push vaccinations hard for all ages, to avoid future hospital pressure (and avoid long-covid issues), and to avoid economic damage from fresh lockdown steps.
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I had asked @GeneralTheorist to write this Substrack because it is now valid to ask 'Who is Next?' (after El Salvador adopting bitcoin)

The tricky bit is that countries with their own currencies have very different incentives than El Salvador (operating a dollarized economy).
Seigniorage is just one aspect. But a dimension that is easy to quantify. El Salvador derives no government income from 'money printing'. Most other countries, with their own independent currency, do.

This is relevant to the 'who is next' q, and will likely exclude a long list.
"normal' countries, with their own currency, can generate government revenue from their 'money printing activities'. El Salvador had to move to a dollarized system years ago, and is therefore not comparable to those with independent monetary policy.
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13 Jun
Tomorrow, was supposed to be the day of final reopening in the UK. But the delta variant has made policy makers more cautious, and there is now an expectation of a delay.

What is the data saying? How bad is it?
In the global picture, the UK stands out as the only European country with significant case growth.

Cases levels are still far from peak, but we have seen 2-3 weeks of >50% week-on-week growth now.

And levels are now 300% of what they were 3-4 weeks ago

Still, hospitalizations are growing more modestly. Focussing on England, they are up 50% over the last 3-4 weeks, and still at very moderate levels compared to past waves.
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