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13 Sep, 8 tweets, 2 min read
short thread on Cal recall for national folk. Things we know but you don't. #StopTheRepublicanRecall

1. The NO side will win.
2. Earlier I'd predicted that NO (pro-Newsom) will win by at least 55 percent. Polls/ tracking show that it might be 58 to 60 percent.

Key context: Newsom beat the trashbear guy 62-38 in 2018.
3. Anything less than 62 percent, and the national media (lookin' at you @politico) will spin it as BAD NEWS for Democrats. In disarray. All that.

Even if NO breaks 62 percent, somehow it's bad news for Dems. Because Politico.
4. Although Cal takes nearly a month to count all its ballots (and it should! accuracy matters!), this race will be called around 11 PM Cal time on Tuesday.
5. Why Tuesday? Because it's not going to be close. At all. AP will call it.

Why 11 PM? Because LA County (biggest voting county) does something weird with helicoptering votes from DTLA to Norwalk, and no one is gong to call anything til LA County's 1st big batch is counted.
6. Nothing uner 6.0 counts, national folk. This actually has nothing to do with the recall. If you, as a non-Cal native, understand this context, you've been following me too long. Anyway, #StopTheRepublicanRecall.
and coda 7. Yes, we need to fix this dumb recall rule. It's not just Newsom. Repubs are trying it everywhere on local Cal races they cannot win fairly. More later.
8. I forgot. One last thing for national pundits. YES, I'm tired of mask mandates and YES, I was mad at Newsom's French Laundry dinner. BUT right now I'm FURIOUS at the anti-vaxxers. and I blame THEM not Newsom for mask mandates. TL;DR I'm not a covidiot.

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More from @RL_Miller

RL Miller Profile picture
21 Jul
Very short thread.

@ClimateHawkVote is running a survey asking our folk, among other things, their climate bill wish list. Listed 12 things including carbon price/ tax/ fee and dividend.

Survey bit.ly/3kJKF7M
@ClimateHawkVote and I peeked at early results (survey is still active). And support for a #carbontax has, to be blunt, fallen off a cliff.

Or, nosedived like a peregrine falcon.
@ClimateHawkVote A #carbontax is second to last in things climate hawks want to see in a federal climate bill.

Among 11 policies + other, it ranked 10th.
Read 5 tweets
RL Miller Profile picture
21 Jul
this AM I went on a ranty thread on The Atlantic's latest bit of California-bashing, called "The California Dream is Dying," based on 1960s-70s tropes and whines. And I learned way too much about compounding pharmacies!
A compounding pharmacy is someone who makes their own Rx from raw ingredients. Turns out it's useful for things Big Pharma won't touch.
and in my thread I used the example of a grower of artisanal opium poppies making making morphine... turns out that DEA is OF COURSE going to regulate/ ban that.
Read 7 tweets
RL Miller Profile picture
21 Jul
Let's analyze the latest entry in the Eastern Publications Trash California sweepstakes, shall we? This one, in a place called "The Atlantic," called "The California Dream is Dying." bit.ly/3wTaHYv
Apparently there is no magazine called "The Pacific," but readers of "The Atlantic" CRAVE California-bashing just like NYT readers do. In fact this piece is currently the most-read piece on "The Atlantic."
And to reach this conclusion that "The California Dream is dying," the writer cites:
1. LA NIMBY homeowners
2. Central Valley Repubs
3. The owner of something called a compounding pharmacy
Read 16 tweets
RL Miller Profile picture
27 Apr
Today at @ClimateHawkVote we're spotlighting @MelanieforNM in #NM01. She's got a new ad up -- watch it! bit.ly/32SBzeL
@ClimateHawkVote @MelanieforNM What I really like about this ad -- @MelanieforNM is running on climate, clean energy, a grid bill that she passed !!! and #NM01 jobs, all while highlighting her local roots. bit.ly/32SBzeL
@ClimateHawkVote @MelanieforNM (I had to look up Burquena. It means Albuquerquean, and it's much easier to say and spell)
Read 6 tweets
RL Miller Profile picture
26 Apr
hey. Y'all in Cal (or #energytwitter generally) listening? I want to talk a moment about #AB1139, an anti-solar bill. And some other stuff. Thread, beginning.
Years ago Cal passed laws to allow solar owners to sell their excess sunshine back to the grid, aka Net Energy Metering. And it worked. #AB1139
In fact, NEM worked so well that the investor owned utilities - Cal PG&E, Sempra/ San Diego Gas & Elecric, SoCal Edison -- got cranky because it was cutting into their profits.

So NEM was revised to be somewhat less generous to homeowners, and that's called NEM 2.0. #AB1139
Read 19 tweets
RL Miller Profile picture
12 Apr
short thread on #SB467. If you follow California folk, you are seeing lots of tweets on it. What is it? Simply THE MOST GROUNDBREAKING CLIMATE BILL EVER.
#sb467 will do 3 things: create 2500' setbacks from oil wells to people's homes; ban fracking and manage the decline of California's powerful oil industry; and provide for a just transition for oil workers.

That's a lot to unpack, so let's talk about each one.
1st, public health. It's simple: when you live next to an oil well, you get sick. Many states including Texas have setback requirements. California has none.
Read 13 tweets

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