This firefight in Somalia took place on the day before Analyst/Political Commentator @AbdiwahabSheik7's abduction.

Somalia’s Politicians Play with Fire – Again… via @CrisisGroup
I can't help but notice that this article is un-bylined and was very quickly tweeted by @Dibjir, the boss of @SahanResearch whose twitter account basically consists of a running commentary of this affair, taking a firmly pro Roble line. Image
I very much hope that neither @Dibjir nor his fellow Horn of Africa misinformation peddler @rashidabdi, both ex-@CrisisGroup had anything to do with it's creation, but I suspect that this is an unrealistic hope.
This is @AbdiwahabSheik7's tweet on the day of the showdown at the Somalia National Intelligence service.

The following day he was abducted in downtown Nairobi by four men in a FWD vehicle with a clearly visible number plate.
Kenyan Police have denied involvement in his abduction.

Abdiwahab's wife has accused Roble of asking the Kenyan Govt. to arrest her husband.

A Habeus Corpus writ has been filed against the Kenyan Govt. in relation to the abduction.
Back in July, shortly after the TPLF launched its offensive on Afar and Amhara - the offensive that the US/EU and UN failed to acknowledge till the end of August - Abdiwahab, a staunch and informed critic of the TPLF tweeted this.
And moments later @RAbdiAnalyst replied saying this.

The tweet is the beginning of a thread looking a little more deeply at @SahanResearch and its lengthy and unique role in Horn of Africa misinformation operations.
All of which begs some questions:

What connection is there between Roble's NISA appointee and the EU/UK/TPLF?

Who is paying and consuming SAHAN's so called intelligence?

What is @Dibjir really doing in Somalia, and is he doing it with UK/EU blessing?
While these questions right now relate to Somalia, very similar questions could be asked about @SahanResearch and the War in Tigray.

Who have they been working for whist running interference for the TPLF?

Does the @CrisisGroup have any ongoing connection to them?
And if he EU/UK/US/UN are clients of @SahanResearch, what are these clowns telling them?

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More from @althecat

16 Sep
The Ethiopian-Tigray Crisis-War has reached what looks like a turning point. The rumours, which are everywhere, that @POTUS @JoeBiden is about to sanction Ethiopia and Eritrea are clearly being telegraphed for a reason.
@POTUS @JoeBiden E.G. this is one of the most recent ones. And this one is weirdly specific. "18 Hours". sounds like there will be a press conference or something.
Apparently the announcement of the sanctions has been approved. On the day that @KarenBassTweets was due to depart for Ethiopia on CODEL (Congressional Delegation) visit. However this seems to have been postponed, now till 27th-29th September. Which is odd.
Read 24 tweets
16 Sep
Translation into English of Somalia President Farmaajo’s statement suspending Somalia PM Roble @MohamedHRoble (aka Rooble)’s powers. [ Translation by @Mohamud_M_A ] Image
And some speculation on possible immediate reasons for Roble’s removal by President Farmaajo @M_Farmaajo.
Read 4 tweets
15 Sep
Ministry of Peace Statement released today on Facebook. Thread...

"Humanitarian assistance is a service that should be provided to any victim in need without any preconditions." Minister of Peace HE Muferihat Kamil.
"An estimated 4.5 million people have been affected due to the attacks in Amhara and Afar regions by the terrorist group TPLF following the Ethiopian government's decision for a unilateral ceasefire.
"More than 550 thousand people have recently been displaced from their homes, in addition to those already in the camps as a result of TPLF's desire to expand its attacks on innocent civilians.
Read 19 tweets
15 Sep
Great so we now know who is responsible for this report. .

@AvvZaki @OmarSMahmood @Mutiga, why is the abduction of @AbdiwahabSheik7 missing from the report?

It's clear this abduction is part of the story after he was abducted off the streets of Nairobi on Sept. 9th.
And why are PM Roble's numerous - on their face overtly destructive - actions in relation to the coming election [including his visit to Kenya] brushed over in a narrative which focuses almost exclusively on a unproven allegation about the death of Ikran Tahlil?
Furthermore @CrisisGroup @alanboswell

& authors of this report: @AvvZaki, @OmarSMahmood,

What is the role of the former UN observer @Dibjir and his shadowy Sahan Research intelligence group - staffed by former @CrisisGroup personnel - in all of this?
Read 36 tweets
15 Sep
There are at least 2 significant omissions from this @CrisisGroup .
1. Roble's unsanctioned visit to Kenya, directly against the explicit instructions of Farmaajo to discuss very sensitive matters of FP including the maritime boundary dispute.
2. The abduction of @AbdiwahabSheik7
@CrisisGroup @AbdiwahabSheik7 The report is almost certainly written by or strongly influenced by @Dibjir and @SahanResearch - which is not an independent actor in all this. It has an agenda.

The bad blood between Matt Bryden (@Dibjir) and Farmaajo is extremely well known.
The @CrisisGroup report makes two recommendations. The first that Farmaajo should not dismiss Roble. Image
Read 15 tweets
14 Sep
This is a good Ethiopian New Year's thread from @CrisisGroup.
@CrisisGroup And this is a great Ethiopian New Year report from UNSG @AntonioGuterres…
Anyone with their eyes open knows that this world is in a very very dangerous place at present. We have threats coming at us in all directions. But the greatest threat of all comes from pure physics, and if we do not take collective action to address global warming we are doomed.
Read 11 tweets

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