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Rounding the Earth Profile picture
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15 Sep, 3 tweets, 2 min read
#TheKunlangeta Part III: Art, Mental Health, and Gaslighting: A Review of the 2019 Joker Film, Part 1.

I revisited the topic because it feels strangely connected to the present pandemonium.

roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/art-mental-h…
#TheKunlangeta Part IV: ...

roundingtheearth.substack.com/p/art-mental-h…
I know these articles (and the movie) are bound to make a lot of people uncomfortable, but I spent time and care doing my best to make the payoff worth it.

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More from @EduEngineer

Rounding the Earth Profile picture
24 Aug
British Airways lost 4 out of 4000 pilots in one month during mass vaccination.
Similarly, JetBlue lost 5 out of less than 4000.

Using reasonable assumptions, I compute p-values of 0.0140 and 0.0025:

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Actually, the p-value for JetBlue is a little lower, but I used 4000 pilots to be quick, when the actual number is under 3800.

I used actuarial tables under an assumption of a smooth age distribution of 30-60.
#CoincidenceTheory is alive and well.
Read 5 tweets
Rounding the Earth Profile picture
21 Aug
Are the @CDCgov (@CDCDirector; @RWalensky) and @US_FDA (@DrWoodcockFDA) really going to watch these vaccines get approval jammed through while dozens of scientists and statisticians with analyses pointing to substantial mortality are ignored---without any risk-benefit analysis?
That's what this looks like---the exact opposite of sound regulation. Can we just drop the facade that our regulatory agencies are distinct from pharmaceutical corporations?

bmj.com/content/374/bm…
Young adult mortality in Israel during vaccine rollout:

steve-ohana.medium.com/young-adult-mo…
Read 18 tweets
Rounding the Earth Profile picture
14 Aug
@RWMaloneMD, @stephanieseneff, and others have been warning of antibody-dependent enhancement for a while. When presented with data, I said, "I don't think the statistics yet look like ADE. They're consistent with vaccines being more effective against mild cases...but...
When I see the inversion we're seeing in this chart, that tells me that there is a "change of state" in the system. What would cause the change of state? It's not just that the vaccines aren't working. That would be convergence of the graphs. But inversion may be the first sign.
I take that back for the moment...the chart should be normalized to (per million) or something like that. So, we're still heading toward convergence. I'm speaking too quickly, so forgive that...but my concern is growing, and for a real reason. The data tells a story.
Read 4 tweets
Rounding the Earth Profile picture
11 Aug
This is a thread about the dangers of narcissism.

This is not about casual narcissism suffered by people coddled a little much in childhood. This is about a more serious defect...
Have you ever read a news report about some man or woman who killed their kids or their whole family? Most all of us have, but perhaps we grimace with disgust, think "WTF", and quickly let the story drain from our minds. I did that for years.
But at some point, I read an article in an old anonymous blog called The Last Psychiatrist (worth looking up) that made me think deeper and read more. A personal experience made me dig even deeper...
Read 12 tweets
Rounding the Earth Profile picture
8 Aug
He could not handle even one word of exchange with me.

Image
The @Quillette folks don't show a lot of courage for discussion unless perhaps they're choosing their ground to target somebody's time? Image
Read 4 tweets
Rounding the Earth Profile picture
2 Aug
I'm performing an analysis on what happens to CFR in nations after starting mass vaccination.

If somebody has time to work with me on this project who has excellent data handling skills, and can spare a couple of days, contact me.

In the meantime, I'm going to drop results...
India began mass vaccination Jan 16. CFR has gone up a bit. These are not mRNA vaccines. The rise in CFR may be that efficacy favors reducing milder cases more than the deadlier ones. Image
The U.S. (primarily mRNA) began mass vaccination Dec 21, 2020. CFR has been on the decline, but went up, and too quickly for the 12 day AB lag to build up in any significant part of the population. Image
Read 37 tweets

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