"I absolutely reject that somehow, what's about to happen to women because of the #Taliban taking over the government is simply something we have to tolerate as the prince of doing business in South & Central Asia."
@BrookingsInst@MiddleEastInst "Where this really began to unravel was then when U.S. chose to make a separate deal with the #Taliban, to exclude the #Afghan govt & to set a certain date for when we'd depart... only then did we begin to see the real problem unfold."
@BrookingsInst@MiddleEastInst "When we departed, there was a very real signal: 'you are on your own'... The advisors left... When we pulled out, we took out about 18,000 contractors... the way we equipped them, they relied wholly on those contractors."
@BrookingsInst@MiddleEastInst "Targets are fleeting.. targeting assumes 'eyes on the target,' boots on the ground.. but we have none of that. We have very limited capacity to identify or monitor targets.
Over the horizon, talk about it all you want.. it's going to be a challenge."
Gen. Allen: "No, I really don't think so.. there are other terror threats that we need to be concerned about.. I'm hearing there's already a movement towards #Afghanistan."
The #Haqqani Network, in the palace, is a 360° terrorist organization."
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After 3 weeks of conflict, a new #Syria-#SDF deal has been reached -- 🧵:
- Ceasefire & pull back from frontlines;
- Gov't MOI entry to #Qamishli, #Hasakeh;
- #SDF integration as individuals into (1) 3 Brigades in 1 MOD Division & (2) 1 #Kobani Brigade in an MOD #Aleppo Division
- #SDF local Asayish to integrate under MOI command;
- #SDF heavy weapons handover;
- #SDF 'autonomous administration' dissolution & integration into gov't institutions;
- Kurdish rights guaranteed;
- Return of IDPs;
- Govt control of all national assets, infrastructure.
The #SDF integration into the state will take time. MOD 'Brigades' will be formed but the process will be on an individual basis: settlement, vetting & reintegration. Elsewhere in #Syria, this has taken weeks, sometimes months.
Presence of #PKK & #Assad remnants = complication.
As part of a US-mediated deal, the #SDF withdrew its military force from #Aleppo city's Kurdish-majority districts of Sheikh Maqsoud & al-Ashrafiyeh in April 2025 -- leaving behind "Asayish" security.
But make no mistake, that was not in any way a demilitarization of the area.
In the months since, the #SDF's Asayish force in #Aleppo have:
a) remained heavily armed, equipped with anti-tank weapons, mortars, recoilless rifles & heavy machine guns;
b) acquired additional weaponry, including suicide drones;
c) continued to dig tunnels for military use.
At every brief escalation between the #SDF's Asayish & gov't forces in #Aleppo, a huge wave of online disinformation has swept the 'information' space.
There are no clean hands here, but the #SDF's intensive effort to shape the narrative with fake news has been staggering.
In 12 days, #Syria will celebrate the 1yr anniversary of #Assad's fall.
As we approach that milestone, actors hostile to #Syria's transitional gov't have escalated their attempts to trigger spirals of violence -- from #ISIS to anti-gov't insurgents & militia in #Suwayda.
A 🧵:
Late on Nov 22, suspected anti-gov't insurgents slaughtered a Sunni husband & wife outside #Homs, setting fire to the woman's body & using their blood to write sectarian slogans on walls.
It was clearly designed to trigger a retaliatory spiral, but it was contained & no deaths.
BUT, #Alawite figures then issued a public call for protests calling for federalism (a provocative trigger for many).
#Syria gov't MOI forces were deployed en masse to protect protests. At one point, anti-gov't insurgents opened fire, but amid localized tensions; no deaths.
#Syria is set to join the Counter-#ISIS coalition, following months of confidence-building, intelligence sharing, 'tests' & at least x6 joint raids with U.S. forces.
At the core of this relationship is #Syria's Interior Ministry & General Intelligence Directorate --not the MOD.
#Syria's MOI (under Minister Anas Khattab) & General Intelligence (led by Hussein Salama) have coordinated closely with U.S. intelligence, @USSOCOM, @CENTCOM & @CJTFOIR since the Spring of 2025, on 2 goals:
- Defeating #ISIS
- Removing remnants & weapons of #Iran & its militias
@USSOCOM @CENTCOM @CJTFOIR In May, #Syria's MOI was provided with US intelligence on a huge network of #IRGC bunkers, safe-houses, tunnels & weapons caches centered around the village of al-Hari near al-Bukamal -- across the #Iraq border.
Days of #Syria MOI raids followed, seizing tonnes of weaponry.
#Suwayda has witnessed a recent spike in clashes between rival #Druze militias, while an #Assad regime General in command of the region's 'National Guard' has fired 2 commanders & all their men, stirring major tensions.
A key trigger was a recent visit by an American.
A 🧵:
Roughly a week ago, a controversial American "Tim Ballard" -- a QAnon follower, forced from his own NGO on sexual misconduct allegations, then expelled from the Mormon Church -- visited #Suwayda.
While there, he met #Druze cleric Hikmat al-Hijri & 'National Guard' commanders.
While in #Suwayda, Ballard told many of those he met that he was close to President Trump & was there on a "mission" on behalf of #America.
That created a narrative that a US gov't delegation was in #Suwayda, meeting with #Druze leaders -- something that'd have been huge news.
When #SDF leader Mazloum Abdi signed a framework agreement with #Syria's President al-Sharaa in March, it triggered nationwide celebrations rivaled only by #Assad's fall.
Yet 7 months later, none of the deal has been realized & now the 2 sides are engaged in heavy fighting. 🧵
In the past 7 months, the #SDF has come under *intense* US pressure to be flexible & move forward on a deal to integrate into the #Syria state.
But that pressure appears to have created a dynamic in which the #SDF has hardened its positions & backtracked on multiple commitments.
Since May 2025, locals in urban centers of #Raqqa & #Hasakeh have reported a *huge* intensification of #SDF tunnel construction -- and photos & video footage shows an extraordinary network of covered tunnel entry points in places like Tabqa, Raqqa, Hasakeh & more.