What our crypto trading desk observed in the last week?
Some color on the most recent market movements and life 🧵
There were no significant changes in basis during the week, funding on perpetual swaps is still low, even negative in some cases.
Historically negative funding is associated with an excess of shorts which is a good signal for short term plays.
ATM IV has been trending lower as no major events impacted bitcoin, and price movements were smooth. However, it is good to be vigilant going toward the end of September as it is a derivatives expiration with significant Open Interest, both in Future contracts and Options.
dYdX community is discussing a proposal to modify its issuance, the proposal includes adding vesting to MM rewards, diminishing the threshold for MM to 2.5% and a gradual reduction of MM rewards. The discussion has inputs from large stakeholders such as 3AC, Wintermute and Kronos
#solana had its first serious stress test stemming from a massive transaction flood of 400k TPS, the network emergency update was successfully implemented in less than 24 hours.
#litecoin was targeted by fraudsters in a pump and dump scheme driven by a fake Litecoin/Walmart partnership, more details on our trade here
Some thoughts on DeFi from our desk on how to assess TVL and risks.
Time for a thread
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- 75% of all funds are still held inside ETH (110B$)
- 12% is held in Binance Smart Chain
- Polygon and Terra are fightning for the 3rd place
- Solana is 4th withonly 2B TVL
Should we stop at TVL or can we dig deeper? Let’s dig deeper. Is it better to have 1B$ TVL on Solana or on Terra? All collateral is not equally good, some collateral is much better than others. For example on @FTX_Official , from a collateral POV, 1$ in BUSD > 1$ in BTC > 1$ BNB
This makes sense as intuitively, when market is crashing, you can expect more volatility and less bids, on assets with less collateral weights (help.ftx.com/hc/en-us/artic…)