CEA’s latest blog outlines the economics of legalizing unauthorized immigrants. 1/ whitehouse.gov/cea/blog/2021/…
Immigrants make important contributions to the U.S. economy. Most directly, immigration increases potential economic output by increasing the size of the labor force. 2/
Immigrants have also been shown to increase innovation, a key factor in generating improvements in living standards. 3/
Hunt & Gauthier-Loiselle find that a 1 percentage point increase in the population share of immigrant college graduates increases patents per capita by 9 percent to 18 percent. 4/ pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.125…
About 73 percent of unauthorized immigrant adults ages 18 to 65 were employed in any given year from 2014 to 2019, roughly equal to the employment rates of non-citizen legal residents and U.S. citizens. 5/
Permanent legal status would likely allow these workers to be more productive, gains that could be realized through a variety of channels. 6/
In addition, permanent legal status would allow currently unauthorized immigrants to pursue and accept jobs for which their skills are well-suited, rather than being restricted to particular sectors of the economy, such as agriculture, construction, and leisure & hospitality. 7/
In a market economy, employees' productivity influences their pay. As a result, productivity improvements—through better job matches, investments in skills, and increases in physical and mental health—should be reflected in increased wages among the legalized immigrants. 8/
Research on DACA (which allowed certain Dreamers to obtain work authorization) found that the wages of DACA-eligible Dreamers rose 4 to 5 percent by 2016 relative to those not eligible. 9/ scholar.harvard.edu/files/gborjas/…
These findings signify that even though these unauthorized immigrants may currently be working in the United States, providing them with legal permanent status would increase their effective labor supply and improve U.S. economic growth. 10/
Though some argue that increased take-up of social programs would generate a substantial fiscal cost to the government, the productivity of the newly-legalized would likely increase, which would benefit all in the United States by expanding economic output. 11/
Further, the ensuing increase in wages and compliance with tax requirements would increase their contributions to public sector finances, and their children would benefit from their new legal status, suggesting longer-term benefits to the immigrants and the rest of society. /end

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More from @WhiteHouseCEA

16 Sep
CEA’s latest blog outlines how the Build Back Better Agenda—which includes the Bipartisan Infrastructure Deal, reconciliation package, and new regulations—reduces emissions while keeping energy costs low for consumers. 1/
Since most greenhouse gas emissions come from energy production, and the costs of energy take up over 8 percent of the income of the typical American low-income household, many fear that reducing carbon emissions will place a burden on consumers through higher prices. 2/
These plans address these concerns in four ways. 3/
Read 10 tweets
14 Sep
The Census Bureau’s annual estimates of income and poverty showed the important role government action played in alleviating poverty and income loss in 2020, when the pandemic led to an economic shutdown and widespread job losses. 1/
Real median household income—which excludes pandemic stimulus payments—fell in 2020, reflecting a decline in the number of people with earnings. 2/
The decline was particularly large for Asian households and relatively small for Black households, although Asian households continued to have the highest median income and Black households the lowest. 3/
Read 15 tweets
14 Sep
Inflation as measured by CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month in August—slightly below expectations and below July’s rate of 0.5%. The deceleration largely reflected a fall in car prices and also in pandemic-affected services. 1/
Core inflation—without food/energy—rose 0.1% month-over-month, below expectations and below July’s rate of 0.3%. 2/
Year-over-year, headline inflation rose by 5.3% while core inflation rose by 4.0%. The deceleration in the year-over-year core measure was more marked than the deceleration in the headline measure, reflecting the relatively faster price growth in food and energy. 3/
Read 10 tweets
27 Aug
Personal income rose by 1.1% in July, a larger increase than market expectations, as compensation grew at a strong pace and government support increased due to the first monthly installment of the Child Tax Credit. 1/
Aggregate compensation (reflecting both number of employees and wages/benefits paid) grew at 0.9 percent month-over-month, a strong pace. For comparison, there were only 9 months from January 2008 to January 2020 where compensation grew at a faster pace. 2/
Government support increased over the month as Child Tax Credit payments went out, even as spending on unemployment insurance and economic impact payments decreased. 3/
Read 10 tweets
23 Aug
The infrastructure and Build Back Better plans are designed to be long-term packages that increase the capacity of the economy through investments in physical infrastructure, human capital, clean energy, housing, and health care. 1/
Such investments, as discussed in CEA’s latest blog, should be expected to have little effect on inflationary pressures in the short-term and ease such pressures over the long term. 2/ whitehouse.gov/cea/blog/2021/…
Other factors that push against the inflationary effects of these plans include the sharp reversal of fiscal impulse, as well as the plans’ payfors. 3/
Read 15 tweets
11 Aug
Inflation as measured by CPI increased 0.5% month-over-month in July—at expectations and below June’s rate of 0.9%. The deceleration largely reflected a lessening of price pressures from the motor vehicle sector. 1/
Core inflation—without food/energy—rose 0.3% month-over-month—below expectations and well below June’s rate of 0.9%. 2/
Year-over-year, headline inflation rose by 5.4% while core inflation rose by 4.3%. While both measures had been accelerating in recent months, year-over-year growth did not accelerate for either measure this month. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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